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Toward a Global System of Human Mobility: ThreeThoughts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 April 2017

T. Alexander Aleinikoff*
Affiliation:
Director, Zolberg Institute for Migration and Mobility, The New School.
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Extract

Migration is already a significant global phenomenon, and it is likely to becomemore so. According to a recent World Bankreport, there are two hundred million international migrants. Thestudy reports that “migration pressures” will continue “forthe foreseeable future.” It will take “decades” to closeincome gaps between developed and developing countries; in 2015, the ratiobetween the average income of the high-income countries and that of thelow-income countries stood at 70:1. A “well-documented demographicdivergence” will add further pressure: “Population aging willproduce large labor-market imbalances and fiscal pressures in high-incomecountries as the tax base narrows and the cost of caring for the oldsurges.” This increase in demand will complement an increase in supply.“If current fertility and national employment rates remain as they are inthe developing world,” the Bank reports, by 2050 “nearly 900million [will be] in search of work.” Climate change and disasters willhave a more modest impact on the international level, although “increaseddrought and desertification, rising sea levels, repeated crop failures, and moreintense and frequent storms are likely to increase internalmigration.” And these numbers—measuring persons outside their homecountry for more than a year—do not include hundreds of millions ofpersons who cross international borders for shorter periods of time: tourists,students, temporary workers, business persons, asylum-seekers.

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Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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Copyright © 2017 by The American Society of International Law and T. Alexander Aleinikoff