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Has bitcoin been dethroned too quickly? The cryptocurrency return networks

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 November 2024

Barbara Będowska-Sójka*
Affiliation:
Department of Econometrics, Poznań University of Economics and Business, Poznań, Poland
Piotr Wójcik
Affiliation:
Department of Data Science, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
Sabrina Giordano
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, Statistics and Finance ‘Giovanni Anania’, University of Calabria, Italy
*
Corresponding author: Barbara Będowska-Sójka; Email: barbara.bedowska-sojka@ue.poznan.pl
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Abstract

This study aims to explore the dependencies on the cryptocurrency market using social network tools. We focus on the correlations observed in the cryptocurrency returns. Based on the sample of cryptocurrencies listed between January 2015 and December 2022 we examine which cryptos are central to the overall market and how often major players change. Static network analysis based on the whole sample shows that the network consists of several communities strongly connected and central, as well as a few that are disconnected and peripheral. Such a structure of the network implies high systemic risk. The day-by-day snapshots show that the network evolves rapidly. We construct the ranking of major cryptos based on centrality measures utilizing the TOPSIS method. We find that when single measures are considered, Bitcoin seems to have lost its first-mover advantage in late 2016. However, in the overall ranking, it still appears among the top positions. The collapse of any of the cryptocurrencies from the top of the rankings poses a serious threat to the entire market.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. The density of correlation coefficients in subsequent 2-yearly periods.Note: The density functions are based on daily correlations.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Networks with either MST filter or the WTA approach.Note: For a graph on the left we used the MST filter, while that on the right utilizes the WTA approach with the threshold for correlation coefficient equal to 0.4. The size of the node depends on the centrality degree of a particular node. The width of links represents the strength of the dependence between two nodes measured by the correlation coefficients. The higher the correlation is, the darker the color of the edge. A graph on MST has 160 nodes and 159 edges, while the WTA graph has 21 nodes and 49 edges.

Figure 2

Figure 3. The network based on the combination of MST and WTA built for the data listed for at least 2338 days of the sample.Note: The size of nodes is proportional to the degree of each coin. The higher the correlation, the darker the color of the edges. Only the first five crypto assets with the highest degree are labeled with a cryptocurrency ticker. The remaining nodes are plotted as black dots.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Networks with both MST filter and the WTA approach in two-year periods based on daily data.Note: We label only the first five cryptocurrencies in the degree ranking. The higher the correlation, the darker the edge. The higher the degree, the larger the size of a node.

Figure 4

Table 1. The degree of the major players among cryptocurrencies in two-year periods

Figure 5

Figure 5. The ranking of cryptocurrencies based on a single centrality measure.Note: The results for 10 cryptocurrencies with the highest centrality measure in the sample are shown. Bars represent positions in the ranking from the first (red) to the fifth (orange).

Figure 6

Figure 6. Entropy-weighted TOPSIS ranking of cryptocurrencies.Note: The ranking is obtained by the entropy-weighted TOPSIS method considering the four centrality measures: degree, betweenness, closeness, and eigenvector centrality as decision criteria. The results for 10 cryptocurrencies with the highest ranking in the sample are shown. Bars represent positions in the ranking from the first (red color) to the fifth (orange).

Figure 7

Table 2. A list of digital assets whose names appeared in the network plots and the centrality measure rankings