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ROMIPLOSTIM AND ELTROMBOPAG FOR IMMUNE THROMBOCYTOPENIA: METHODS FOR INDIRECT COMPARISON

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 September 2012

Katy L. Cooper
Affiliation:
email: k.l.cooper@sheffield.ac.uk
Patrick Fitzgerald
Affiliation:
University of Sheffield
Kerry Dillingham
Affiliation:
Amgen Limited
Kawitha Helme
Affiliation:
Amgen Limited
Ron Akehurst
Affiliation:
University of Sheffield
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Abstract

Objectives: Immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) causes increased platelet destruction and suboptimal platelet production, increasing risk of bleeding. This analysis uses a Bayesian metaregression model to indirectly compare effectiveness of the thrombopoietin mimetics romiplostim and eltrombopag for increasing platelet counts, and contrasts the results with those of non-Bayesian approaches.

Methods: Ten databases were searched during 2010. Placebo-controlled trials of 24 weeks’ duration were included. An indirect comparison was undertaken using Bayesian metaregression, which includes all trials in a single model. This was compared with previous analyses in which data for each intervention were combined using simple pooling, logistic regression or meta-analysis, followed by indirect comparison of pooled values using the Bucher method.

Results: Two trials of romiplostim and one of eltrombopag were included. The indirect evidence suggests romiplostim significantly improves overall platelet response compared with eltrombopag. Bayesian metaregression gave an odds ratio (OR) for eltrombopag versus romiplostim of 0.11 (95 percent credible interval 0.02–0.66); p values and Bayesian posterior probabilities ranged from 0.01 to 0.05 for all analyses. There was no significant difference in durable platelet response in any of the analyses, although the direction of effect favored romiplostim (OR = 0.15; 95 percent credible interval, 0.01–1.88); p values and Bayesian posterior probabilities ranged from 0.08 to 0.40 across analyses. Results were relatively consistent between analyses.

Conclusions: Bayesian metaregression generated similar results to other indirect comparison methods, and may be considered the most robust as it incorporates all data in a single model and accounts appropriately for parameter uncertainty.

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Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - SA
The online version of this article is published within an Open Access environment subject to the conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike licence . The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use.
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2012
Figure 0

Table 1. Characteristics and Quality of Included Trials

Figure 1

Table 2. Baseline Patient Characteristics

Figure 2

Table 3. Overall and Durable Platelet Response Rates for Romiplostim and Eltrombopag

Figure 3

Table 4. Indirect Comparison of Eltrombopag and Romiplostim

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