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Ice shelf evolution combining flow, flexure, and fracture

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 September 2025

Chris Bézu*
Affiliation:
Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA Now at the Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Bradley Paul Lipovsky
Affiliation:
Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Daniel R. Shapero
Affiliation:
Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Alison F. Banwell
Affiliation:
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, School of Geography and Natural Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
*
Corresponding author: Chris Bézu; Email: c.m.bezu@uu.nl
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Abstract

Ice shelves regulate ice sheet dynamics, with their stability influenced by horizontal flow and vertical flexure. MacAyeal and others (2021) developed the theoretical foundation for a coupled flow-flexure model (the “M21 model”), combining the Shallow Shelf Approximation with thin-beam flexure, providing a computationally efficient tool for studying phenomena like ice shelf rumpling and lake drainage. However, the M21 model relies on proprietary software, is unstable under compressive flow conditions, and does not incorporate fracture processes critical for capturing ice-shelf damage evolution. We present an open-source version of the M21 model addressing these limitations. Using the free Python libraries Firedrake and icepack, we introduce a plastic failure mechanism, effectively limiting bending stresses and thereby stabilizing the model. This enhancement expands the viscous M21 model into a viscoplastic flow-flexure-fracture (3F) framework. We validate the 3F model through test cases replicating key ice shelf phenomena, including marginal rumpling and periodic surface meltwater drainage. By offering this tool as open-source software, we aim to enable broader adoption, with the ultimate aim of representing surface meltwater induced flow-flexure-fracture processes in large-scale ice sheet models.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society.
Figure 0

Figure 1. Conceptual schematic of the plasticity treatment. The second tensor invariant, JII, corresponds to the radial distance from the origin (with $\dot{\kappa}_{xy}$ omitted for 2D representation). The green region, bounded by the yield curve $r = \dot{\kappa}_c$, corresponds to the viscous flexure regime of M21. When $\dot{\boldsymbol{\kappa}}$ falls outside this boundary, plastic failure is enforced by scaling $\dot{\boldsymbol{\kappa}}$ by α such that $J_{II}(\alpha\dot{\boldsymbol{\kappa}}) = \dot{\kappa}_c$. The red arrow’s magnitude represents the plastic correction, quantified as $(\alpha - 1)J_{II}(\dot{\boldsymbol{\kappa}})$.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Steady-state flow model obtained before introducing differential ablation. (A) Steady state flow speed, calculated as $|\vec{u}| = \sqrt{u_x^2 + u_y^2}$. (B) Steady state thickness field. The dashed circle represents the high-albedo zone upon which the pedestal will grow.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Differential ablation and the formation of moat-rampart structures after ten years of simulated time. (A) Vertical deflection η. Outside the pedestal, net upward deflection offsets surface ablation, elevating the ice shelf. (B) Surface elevation change along the centerline. A circular depression (moat) extends 2.5 m below the pre-ablation state, while a raised rim (rampart) forms along the pedestal edge. (C) Plastic deformation. Two concentric rings emerge, one at the pedestal boundary and another within the moat. (D) Plastic deformation depicted along the centerline.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Temporal and spatial evolution of net deflection and plastic deformation over a 100-year simulation. (A) Net deflection along the dashed line indicated in (C) as a function of time. (B) Plastic deformation along the dashed line shown in (D) as a function of time. (C) Spatial distribution of near-terminus net deflection at the end of the 100-year simulation. (D) Spatial distribution of near-terminus plastic deformation at the end of the 100-year simulation.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Time evolution and spatial patterns of the modeled supraglacial lake. (A) Plastic deformation (bold, black) and water level (thin, blue) where they attain their maxima across the domain Ω, which occurs at the deepest point of the lake. The drainage threshold (γ = 1) is shown by the dotted line. (B–D) Evolution along the centerline (y = 4 km, shown as dashed lines in E and F). (B) Net vertical deflection, showing upward flexure of lake margins after drainage, also visible as a raised ring in (F). (C) Plastic deformation, highlighting post-drainage concentric rings, shown in 2D in (E). (D) Water depth. (E) Plastic deformation at the end, showing concentric rings. (F) Ice flexure at the end of the simulation, showing a raised rim.

Figure 5

Table A1. Glossary of symbols used in this paper, grouped by category, with definitions, units, and references to the equation or in-text location where they first appear.