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Hydrodynamics of Markets

Hidden Links between Physics and Finance

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 November 2024

Alexander Lipton
Affiliation:
ADIA Lab

Summary

An intriguing link between a wide range of problems occurring in physics and financial engineering is presented. These problems include the evolution of small perturbations of linear flows in hydrodynamics, the movements of particles in random fields described by the Kolmogorov and Klein-Kramers equations, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Feller processes, and their generalizations. They are reduced to affine differential and pseudo-differential equations and solved in a unified way by using Kelvin waves and developing a comprehensive math framework for calculating transition probabilities and expectations. Kelvin waves are instrumental for studying the well-known Black-Scholes, Heston, and Stein-Stein models and more complex path-dependent volatility models, as well as the pricing of Asian options, volatility and variance swaps, bonds, and bond options. Kelvin waves help to solve several cutting-edge problems, including hedging the impermanent loss of Automated Market Makers for cryptocurrency trading. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.

Information

Figure 0

Figure 1 Newton’s letter to Oldenburg, 1676.

Reproduced by kind permission of the Syndics of Cambridge University Library.
Figure 1

Figure 2

Figure 2

Figure 2

Figure 3

Figure 3 Kelvin waves corresponding to two different orientations of the initial wave vector β0 and a0. (a), (b) β(0)=sinπ/4,0,cosπ/4,a0=0,sinπ/4,0; (c), (d) β(0)=sinπ/3,0,cosπ/3,a0=0,sinπ/3,0. Other parameters are as follows: T=100,ω=1,s=0.5. In the first case, at stays bounded, while at explodes in the second case. This explosion means that the underlying elliptic flow is unstable. Author’s graphics.

Figure 4

Figure 4 Kelvin waves in the viscous fluid with viscosity ν=0.07. Other parameters and initial conditions are the same as in Figure 3. Viscosity dampens the instability but, generally, does not suppress it entirely. Author’s graphics.

Figure 5

Figure 5

Figure 6

Figure 5

Reproduced by kind permission of the Editors of Annals of Mathematics.
Figure 7

Figure 6 A thousand trajectories of a typical Kolmogorov process. Parameters are as follows: T=5,dt=0.01,f=0.2,σ=0.8. (a) xt, (b) yt, (c) xˉT,yˉT, (d) contour lines of ϖ0,0,0,T,x˜,y˜. Author’s graphics.

Figure 8

Figure 7 A thousand trajectories of a typical free particle. Parameters are as follows: T=5,dt=0.01,κ=0.8,σ=1.0. (a) xt, (b) yt, (c) xˉT,yˉT, (d) contour lines of ϖ0,0,0,T,x˜,y˜. Author’s graphics.

Figure 9

Figure 8 A thousand trajectories of a harmonically bounded particle. Parameters are as follows: T=5,dt=0.01,κ=0.2,ω=0.5,σ=0.5. (a) xt, (b) yt, (c) xˉT,yˉT, (d) contour lines of ϖ0,0,0,T,x˜,y˜. Author’s graphics.

Figure 10

Figure 9 Contour lines of ϖ0,0,0,T,x˜,y˜ for an anomalous Kolmogorov process with T=1.5,a=2.5,b=1.5 . Author’s graphics.

Figure 11

Figure 10 T.p.d.fs for three Feller processes with different parameters and regularity conditions. (a) χ=0.1,κ=1.2,ε=0.2,y0=0.15,tˉmax=3; (b), (c) χ=0.1,κ=1.2,ε=0.6,y0=0.15,tˉmax=3. For the first and second processes, the probability of yˉ≥0 is equal to one. For the third process, this probability, shown as a function of time in (d), is less than one. Author’s graphics.

Figure 12

Figure 11 A thousand trajectories of a representative t.p.d.f. for the degenerate augmented Feller process. Parameters are T=3,dt=0.01,χ=0.1,κ=1.2,ε=0.2,x=0 ; y0=0.15. (a) xt, (b) yt, (c) xˉT,yˉT, (d) contour lines of ϖ0,0.15,0,T,x˜,y˜. Author’s graphics.

Figure 13

Figure 12 A thousand trajectories of a representative nondegenerate augmented Feller process. Parameters are T=3,dt=0.01,χ=0.2,κ=2.0,ε=0.2,ρ=−0.5,x=0 , y0=0.15. (a) xt, (b) yt, (c) xˉT,yˉT, (d) contour lines of ϖ0,0.15,0,T,x˜,y˜. Author’s graphics.

Figure 14

Figure 13 A representative implied volatility surface generated by the Heston model. Parameters are the same as in Figure 12. Author’s graphics.

Figure 15

Figure 14 The constant sum, constant product, and mixed-rule curves, along with the relative prices of TN2 in terms of TN1 and the associated impermanent losses; α=10. Author’s graphics.

Figure 16

Figure 15 The exact impermanent loss and its approximations via log and enthropy contracts. The corresponding parameters are T=3,dt=0.01,χ=0.2,κ=2.0,ε=0.2,ρ=−0.5,v=0.15. Author’s graphics.

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