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Bayesian Modeling of Wood-Age Offsets in Cremated Bone

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 February 2020

Helene Agerskov Rose*
Affiliation:
Foundation of Museums of the State of Schleswig-Holstein – Centre for Baltic and Scandinavian Archaeology, Schleswig, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
John Meadows
Affiliation:
Foundation of Museums of the State of Schleswig-Holstein – Centre for Baltic and Scandinavian Archaeology, Schleswig, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel – Leibniz-Laboratory for AMS Dating and Stable Isotope Research, Kiel, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany
Mogens Bo Henriksen
Affiliation:
Odense City Museums – Archaeology, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark
*
*Corresponding author. Email: helene.rose@zbsa.eu
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Abstract

Experimental studies have shown that significant carbon exchange occurs between bone-apatite and the pyre atmosphere during cremation, which can cause a calendar date offset between the radiocarbon (14C) event and the date of cremation. There are limited empirical data available to assess the magnitude of such wood-age offsets, but the aim of this paper is to test if they can be modeled statistically. We present new 14C dates on modern bone cremated in realistic open-air experiments and on archaeological samples of cremated bone and associated organic material. Experimental results demonstrate a wide range of carbon exchange with a mean of 58.6 ± 14.8%. Archaeological results indicate that the wood-age offsets have an approximately exponential distribution. We test whether the default Charcoal Outlier_Model in OxCal v4.3, developed to reduce the impact of wood-age offsets in dates of charcoal, is appropriate for cremated bone, but find that it slightly underestimates apparent offsets. To counter the intrinsic age of both pyre fuel and unburned bio-apatite, we instead propose a bespoke Cremation Outlier_Model, which combines an exponential distribution of calendar age offsets with a minimum offset, and provides better estimates of the actual dates of cremations.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© 2020 by the Arizona Board of Regents on behalf of the University of Arizona
Figure 0

Table 1 Pyre fuel for experimental pyres with dendro dates and values of F14C and 14C age (Hua et al. 2013; Levin et al. 2013; Reimer et al. 2013; Hammer and Levin 2017).

Figure 1

Table 2 Animal bone for experimental pyres with slaughter dates and values of F14C and 14C years. 2017 values are extrapolated from the 14C activity of the previous decade (Hua et al. 2013; Levin et al. 2013; Hammer and Levin 2017).

Figure 2

Table 3 Radiocarbon results on the archaeological data set from Aarre urnfield cemetery (West Jutland, Denmark). Replicate measurements have been tested for consistency and combined following Ward and Wilson (1978).

Figure 3

Figure 1 Differences (yr) between calibrated 14C results on context-associated material and CB. Archaeological data set from Aarre urnfield cemetery, grouped by grave. Distributions in black are differences relative to short-lived samples and gray distributions are differences relative to medium- to long-lived samples. Differences that plot on or to the right of the vertical zero line imply that a sample is contemporaneous with or more recent than the CB calibrated date.

Figure 4

Table 4 Radiocarbon results on the experimental data set.

Figure 5

Figure 2 Calibrated 14C results on the experimental data set. Results from pyre no. 9 are calibrated using the IntCal13 Northern Hemisphere atmospheric 14C data set (Reimer et al. 2013). Results from pyres no. 8 and 11 are calibrated using the Bomb13NH1 (AD1650–2010) calibration curve (Hua et al. 2013) with additional data points from the Hammer and Levin datasets of atmospheric 14C activity from Jungfraujoch in the Swiss Alps (Levin et al. 2013; Hammer and Levin 2017).

Figure 6

Figure 3 Experimental F14C results with 1σ uncertainties: (a) pyre no. 8 sheep, (b) pyre no. 11 sheep, (c) pyre no. 11 cattle and (d) pyre no. 9 cattle. Endmember values of animal and wood indicated directly in the figures.

Figure 7

Figure 4 Results of % carbon exchange plotted against different measurement parameters of the experimental data set: (a) % carbon exchange plotted against CI, (b) % carbon exchange plotted against cremation duration (hr) and (c) % carbon exchange plotted against δ13C values.

Figure 8

Figure 5 Constrained differences between selected short-lived samples and CB (see text) summarized in a KDE_Plot. Differences calculated using weighted means of short-lived samples from grave A95 (2399 ± 19 14C yr, df = 1, T’ = 2.8 (5% = 3.8) and grave A278 (2423 ± 18 14C yr, df = 1, T’ = 1.6 (5% = 3.8)). Median offset of 62 yr and a 1-σ range of 173 yr. Black bar indicates the 1σ range and crosses the median values of individual differences.

Figure 9

Figure 6 Density plot of % carbon exchange from the experimental data set (gray bars). The added curve depicts 1000 random numbers drawn from a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation derived from the experimental data set.

Figure 10

Figure 7 Chronological Model 2 of all 14C results from Aarre urnfield cemetery (a) with a bespoke cremation outlier model applied to CB dates. In the middle left plot (b) is the posterior distribution of the outlier offsets (5–98 yr with 68% probability). In the middle right plot (c) is the effective prior and in the lower plot (d) the estimated timescale for wood-age offset in CB (posterior distribution in gray and uniform prior shown in outline).

Figure 11

Figure 8 Chronological Model 4 applying a Cremation OM to experimentally CB (a). In the middle left plot (b) is the posterior distribution of the outlier offsets (2–7 yr with 68.2% probability). In the middle right plot (c) is the effective prior and in the lower plot (d) the estimated timescale for wood-age offset in CB (posterior distribution in gray and uniform prior shown in outline).

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