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Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 June 2025

Thach Tran*
Affiliation:
Global and Women’s Health, Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University , Melbourne, Australia
Hau Nguyen
Affiliation:
Global and Women’s Health, Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University , Melbourne, Australia
Jane Fisher
Affiliation:
Global and Women’s Health, Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University , Melbourne, Australia
*
Corresponding author: Thach Tran; Email: Thach.tran@monash.edu
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Abstract

This study aimed to describe changes over time in the prevalence and associated factors of suicidal behaviours among 13– to 15–year–olds in Southeast Asian countries. It is a secondary analysis of cross-sectional data from the Global School-based Student Health Surveys conducted in Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines and Thailand in 2007/2008 and 2015/2016. Each survey included a nationally representative sample of students aged 13–15 years. Data on suicidal thoughts, plans, attempts, and associated factors—including health risk behaviours, experiences of physical violence and bullying, social difficulties, and parental supervision—were collected using self-report questionnaires. The population attributable fraction for each risk factor was calculated using multiple logistic regression. The prevalence of suicidal behaviours ranged from 0.7% (Myanmar) to 17.3% (Philippines) in 2007/2008, and from 8.6% (Indonesia) to 20.9% (Thailand) in 2015/2016. Being physically attacked or bullied and experiencing social difficulties were the most consistent and significant risk factors across countries and time points. Female gender, poverty, alcohol consumption, and drug use also contributed to risk at varying levels. Suicidal behaviours have risen alarmingly in several Southeast Asian countries. These findings suggest the urgent need for coordinated action by policymakers, health professionals, educators, and families to prevent adolescent suicidal behaviours.

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Research Article
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This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained prior to any commercial use.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Weighted proportions (95% CI) of health risks

Figure 1

Table 2. Weighted proportions (95% CI) of suicidal behaviours in the past 12 months

Figure 2

Table 3. Population attributable fractions (PAF) for associated factors of suicidal thoughts and/or plan in the past 12 months

Figure 3

Table 4. Population attributable fractions (PAF) for associated factors of suicide attempt in the past 12 months

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Author comment: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR1

Comments

22 Oct 2024

Professor Judy Bass

Editor-in-Chief

The Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health

Dear Professor Bass,

We are pleased to submit our manuscript, “Suicidality among Adolescents in Four South East Asian Countries – Trends and Contributing Factors,” for consideration for publication in The Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health, Special Issue "Self-harm and Suicide: A Global Priority.

While the importance of adolescent suicidality is well-recognized in high-income countries, it has not been adequately addressed in low- and middle-income countries. This study aimed to examine changes in the prevalence and factors associated with adolescent suicidality in Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines, and Thailand—four middle-income countries in Southeast Asia—during 2007/08 and 2015/16, to inform policy and intervention efforts.

The data show that suicidality was prevalent in all countries, with the highest rates observed in Thailand and the Philippines. The prevalence of suicidality increased across all countries during the study period, with the largest rises in Myanmar (10%) and Thailand (7.9%). Being physically attacked, bullied, and experiencing social difficulties were the most significant and consistent risk factors for suicidality among adolescents across countries and time points.

These findings strongly suggest that adolescent suicidality requires more attention from policymakers, as well as from the health, social, and education sectors, and parents. Locally appropriate, multicomponent interventions targeting multiple risk factors within society, schools, and families are urgently needed to mitigate this public health crisis.

We are grateful for your consideration of this manuscript, which we believe would be of interest to readers of The Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health.

Yours sincerely,

Thach Tran, PhD, BEc, MIRB, MSc

Senior Research Fellow

Global and Women’s Health

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine

Monash University

Review: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

- Please, summarize the primary research gaps or why this study is unique and necessary, as this can enhance the justification for the study

- Additionally, some at-risk groups need to be evaluated (street children, refugee children). You can use following articles

https://doi.org/10.1111/jcap.12275

https://doi.org/10.1080/14659891.2023.2275007

- Emphasize practical implications or specific strategies that professionals (health care, social workers…) could adopt based on the findings, such as approaches to mitigate suicide and coping styles of adolescents

- Summarize the key findings more succinctly, focusing on direct implications for clinical practice and policy.

- Ensure all cited works are recent where possible, especially in a fast-evolving field like

- It would be helpful to provide an effect size for the significant findings in the regression models to illustrate the practical significance of the results.

Review: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The results are interesting, but I’m very surprised about the high proportions of ideators who go on to make attempts. This in very atypical.. 4% suicide attempt (SA) in Indonesia among 8.6% with suicide ideation (SI), representing 47% conditional risk. These conditional risks are even higher in the other countries: 79% in Myanmar, 96% in Philippines, and 70% in Thailand. You need to focus on these conditional risks, compare them to prior studies in other countries, and look specifically at risk factors for the transitions.

Review: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR4

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

This is, in summary, an interesting study aimed to describe changes over time in the prevalence of and factors associated with suicidality experienced by adolescents in four middle-income countries in Southeast Asia. The authors found that the rates of suicidality in 2007/08 ranged from 0.7% (in Myanmar) to 17.3% (in the Philippines), and in 2015/16, from 8.6% (in Indonesia) to 20.9% (in Thailand). Importantly, being physically attacked or bullied, along with experiencing social difficulties, were the most significant and consistent risk factors for suicidality across countries and time points. Finally, being female, experiencing poverty, consuming alcohol, and drug use also contributed to the risk of suicidality at varying levels.

The authors may find my comments/suggestions below.

First, as throughout the same section, the authors correctly focused on the importance of understanding the determinants of suicidality, they should also mention the Covid-19 pandemic which affected different segments of the population to varying degrees and stress the general increased psychosocial related issues not only during the difficult periods of Covid-19 but even in the years post-covid, which enhanced the vulnerability of patients to stressful situations. Thus, according to this background, the article published on BMC Psychiatry (PMID: 34560856) may be mentioned within the main text.

Moreover, as the most relevant aims/objectives of the present review paper have been reported extensively, the main hypotheses underlying this study might be reported in a similarly detailed manner.

Relevantly, the data sources and other sections might be reduced in length in order to reduce redundancy for the general readership.

I suggest to replace throughout the main text the general term “suicidality” with “suicidal behavior” according to the most recent nomenclature.

Notably, the authors could immediately present and discuss, in the first lines of the Discussion and Conclusion sections, the most relevant study findings of this paper instead of focusing on the most important aims/objectives that should have been adequately stressed elsewhere.

In addition, the most relevant limitations/shortcomings of the present study could to be reported more extensively for the general readership.

Finally, what is the take-home message of this manuscript? While the authors stressed the suicidality is prevalent among adolescents in Southeast Asian countries and is of increasing concern as the problem is expanding in many countries, the conclusive remarks of this study might be provided in a more detailed manner for the readers. What are, specifically, the main implications of these findings? How the present results may be generalized? Here, some additional information are required and might be useful for the readers.

Review: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR5

Conflict of interest statement

NIL

Comments

Thank you for the opportunity to review this paper.

1) It would be helpful if the authors defined the meaning of the term suicidality early in the paper eg APA defines suicidality as the risk of suicide, usually indicated by suicidal ideation or intent, especially as evident in the presence of a well-elaborated suicidal plan.

2) Line 37 the reference for O’connor 2011 should have I believe a capital C.

3) I note that Cohen’s kappa score and re-test agreement of 0.47 and 77% seem to imply a reasonable result, however, McHugh ML. Interrater reliability: the kappa statistic. Biochem Med (Zagreb). 2012;22(3):276-82. PMID: 23092060; PMCID: PMC3900052, reports the kappa as moderate inter-rater reliability, while the 77% sits in what some perceive as the acceptable range. It may be useful for the authors to include in the paper sections that address strengths and limitations, as this may assist in addressing some other issues.

4) I would suggest the authors include more information regarding gender issues in the introduction, as one of the aspects they explore in the discussion is the role of gender-based violence and higher rates of self-harm in females (Gillies, D., Christou, M. A., Dixon, A. C., Featherston, O. J., Rapti, I., Garcia-Anguita, A., ... & Christou, P. A. (2018). Prevalence and characteristics of self-harm in adolescents: meta-analyses of community-based studies 1990–2015. Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 57(10), 733-741.)

5) The authors postulate that a higher prevalence of suicidality in the Philippines and Thailand may relate to violence, bullying etc, but I could not see a reference to justify this statement.

These are small issues that I believe can be readily addressed by the authors.

Recommendation: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR6

Comments

Dear Prof Tran,

Thank you for your submission to this special issue. This is a highly relevant and important issue. As you have seen, we have reviews from highly regarded experts in the field. Please do take time to address each one carefully and provide references to where the changes have been made or justification on why they have not been made.

In addition to the reviews, here are a few additional points I would like to add:

1. One key limitation not addressed is that the number of suicide attempts do not include suicide (deaths). Please address this in the limitations.

2. It is often the case that ethics is required for secondary data use. Please confirm that this is not the case from your primary institution.

3. Please clarify whether Southeast Asia refers to a geographical Southeast Asia, or a WHO definition of Southeast Asia (in which case Philippines would wall within another region).

4. Please be specific when reporting numbers and sample sizes, avoid using approximately, but rather report the specific number in the main text as this is critical information.

5. In the results, please specify whether the increases in values seen in multiple countries were statistically significant.

6. At the moment, it is not immediately apparent which of the analyses were used for which of the results. Please clarify, and add specific metrics in text where being referenced e.g., for significant findings.

7. Given the narrow age range of the sample, please include the age range sample in the title.

8. Please specify under which classification do these four countries fall in middle income. From my understanding, several of these countries are not middle income, but middle-upper income under the World Bank classification.

9. In the discussion and conclusion, please avoid using phrases such as ‘confirms’ and ‘suicidality is prevalent’, as the study was not confirmatory in its hypothesis, and prevalent is a relative term. Please add to the discussion how these values compare to global and regional averages.

Thank you very much for your submission, and I look forward to seeing a revision soon.

Warm Regards,

Dr. Sandersan Onie

Decision: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R0/PR7

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R1/PR8

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Review: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R1/PR9

Conflict of interest statement

no

Comments

congratulations

Review: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R1/PR10

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

1. I don’t understand how the short review of theories of psychological mechanisms is relevant to this paper, especially as you tell us at the end of the review that none of these theories address why any of the factors you consider might be predictors. My inclination would have been not to mention these theories but instead focus on past evidence about modifiable risk factors of the sort you can study.

2. At the end of the intro you are unclear about whether you’re looking at predictors of suicidal behavior, predictors of changes in suicidal behaviors (i.e., predictors that increased in prevalence but not in slopes), predictors that because more important over time because their slopes increased, or some combination of these things. I’m taking notes as I go along, which means that I do not currently know which of these things you look at. But you need to be clearer at the onset.

3. Page 5 line 29: K=0.47 is pretty bad! You should comment on this as a limitation in the discussion section.

4. Page 8 lines 8018: We need to know what proportion of the observed increase I suicidal behaviors over time in each country can be attributed to these increases in risk factors. You could use a demographic rate decomposition to do this. Or equivalently you could look at the slope of the outcome on time in a model pooled across years that did not control for predictors and then again in a model that controlled for predictors. The proportion drop in the coefficient for time can be interpreted as the association between change in risk factor prevalence and chance in outcome prevalence assuming no change in slope. It gets trickier if there is also a change in slope, which would require a formal demographic decomposition.

5. Section 3.4. PRF is a joint function on prevalence of risk factors and slopes. If a PRF changes over time it could be due either to changes in prevalence a/o slope, Do you want to know why PRF changed over time within a single country for a given predictor? If so, you need a demographic rate decomposition. This is an old technique, but nonetheless very useful. See this explanation https://www.census.gov/library/publications/1993/demo/p23-186.html#:~:text=Decomposition%2C%20on%20the%20other%20hand,death%20rates%2C%20for%20example). And I‘m sure there are more recent treatments you can find on Google.

6. Having now looked at the entire paper, I see that you did not address the question of why change in the outcome was more substantial in some countries than others – and, in particular, whether the changes in prevalence involved changes in prevalence of predictors, changes in slopes, a combination, or factors unrelated to the predictors considered. The material you present is interesting but rather incomplete because of ignoring this complexity. While I think the paper is fine as is without going into this detail, it would be a shame not to do so.

Recommendation: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R1/PR11

Comments

Dear Authors,

Thank you for making these extensive edits. The manuscript is looking closer and closer to an acceptable version. As you can see, one reviewer would still like to see some changes and highlight some key points. If you could address these and resubmit, I would consider acceptance.

One point from me is to avoid the word ‘adolescents’, as while 13-15 year olds fall within the adolescent category, the age range is too narrow to refer to the term ‘adolescents’. Please replace with 13-15 year olds, instead.

Thank you and all the best,

Dr Sandersan Onie

Decision: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R1/PR12

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R2/PR13

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Recommendation: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R2/PR14

Comments

Dear Prof Tran,

Thank you for making the revisions to the manuscript. This is an important contribution to suicide prevention knowledge in key underrepresented areas. I would only request one minor edit before acceptance:

While the results of the decomposition analysis are touched upon in the discussion, for readers who many not be familiar to the decomposition analysis, could you add a few lines in the methods/results and discussion on a) how are the results interpreted, and b) what does this mean?

Thank you and all the best,

Dr. Sandersan Onie

Decision: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R2/PR15

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R3/PR16

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Recommendation: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R3/PR17

Comments

Dear Prof Tran,

I am now satisfied that you have made the edits and am happy to accept the manuscript.

Thank you and all the best,

Sandersan Onie

Decision: Suicidal behaviours among 13- to 15-year-olds in four southeast Asian countries: Trends and contributing factors — R3/PR18

Comments

No accompanying comment.