| Variable | Unit | Definition | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dependent variable: fall | 1 or 0 | City Party secretary is investigated within this year | Media reports, procuratorate and CCDI websites |
| Patron fall | 1 or 0 | Patron falls within the same year and/or has previously fallen | Media reports, procuratorate and CCDI websites |
| Growth in share of provincial GDP | % | Growth in city’s share of provincial GDP in 2012 over 2011 | Provincial Statistical Yearbooks |
| Media mentions | Number | Number of times a Party secretary’s name appears in a cluster of 164 central papers and 469 local papers in 2011, normalized by number of local papers in that province | China Core Newspapers Full-Text Database |
| GDP per capita 2011 | % | GDP per capita in 2011 | Provincial Statistical Yearbooks |
| NERI state–market relations | 0–10 | Province’s score on state–market relations | NERI Report 2016 |
| NERI rule of law | 0–10 | Province’s score on rule of law | NERI Report 2016 |
| Variable | Mean | Standard deviation | Count = 0 | Count = 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth in share of provincial GDP (2012) | 0.01 | 0.04 | − | − |
| Media mentions (2011) | 10.86 | 9.17 | − | − |
| Prefecture GDP per capita (2011) (Yuan) | 37,242 | 25,817 | − | − |
| NERI government–market relations (2012) | 5.13 | 2.67 | − | − |
| NERI rule of law (2012) | 4.17 | 2.16 | − | − |
| Client of 18th Politburo member | − | − | 1,194 | 678 |
| Client of 18th PSC member | − | − | 1,812 | 60 |
| Client of Sun Zhengcai | − | − | 1,830 | 42 |
| Patron fall | − | − | 1,739 | 133 |