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Longitudinal changes in home confinement and mental health implications: a 17-month follow-up study in England during the COVID-19 pandemic

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 March 2022

Feifei Bu
Affiliation:
Department of Behavioural Science and Health, Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London, UK
Andrew Steptoe
Affiliation:
Department of Behavioural Science and Health, Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London, UK
Daisy Fancourt*
Affiliation:
Department of Behavioural Science and Health, Institute of Epidemiology & Health Care, University College London, London, UK
*
Author for correspondence: Daisy Fancourt, E-mail: d.fancourt@ucl.ac.uk
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Abstract

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has brought about significant behavioural changes, one of which is increased time spent at home. This could have important public health implications. This study aimed to explore longitudinal patterns of ‘home confinement’ (defined as not leaving the house/garden) during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the associated predictors and mental health outcomes.

Methods

Data were from the UCL COVID-19 Social Study. The analytical sample consisted of 25 390 adults in England who were followed up for 17 months (March 2020–July 2021). Data were analysed using growth mixture models.

Results

Our analyses identified three classes of growth trajectories, including one class showing a high level of persistent home confinement (the home-confined, 24.8%), one changing class with clear alignment with national containment measures (the adaptive, 32.0%), and one class with a persistently low level of confinement (the unconfined, 43.1%). A range of factors were associated with the class membership of home-confinement trajectories, such as age, gender, income, employment status, social relationships and health. The home-confined class had the highest number of depressive (diff = 1.34–1.68, p < 0.001) and anxiety symptoms (diff = 0.84–1.05, p < 0.001) at the end of the follow-up than the other two classes.

Conclusions

There was substantial heterogeneity in longitudinal patterns of home confinement during the COVID-19 pandemic. People with a persistent high level of confinement had the worst mental health outcomes, calling for special attention in mental health action plans, in particular targeted interventions for at-risk groups.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Descriptive statistics of the sample before and after weighting (N = 25 390)

Figure 1

Fig. 1. Estimated growth trajectories of home confinement for each latent class from the unconditional GMM model (Model I).

Figure 2

Table 2. Predictors of the latent class membership from Model II (N = 25 390)

Figure 3

Fig. 2. Estimated depressive and anxiety symptoms at the end of the follow-up by class membership from Model III (Notes: Categorical predictors were set to use the reference and continuous variables to the mean, additionally controlling for depressive/anxiety measure at baseline respectively.).

Supplementary material: File

Bu et al. supplementary material

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