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With pulling ties, electoral participation flies: factors mobilising turnout among non-resident Finnish voters

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2026

Johanna Peltoniemi*
Affiliation:
The Welfare State Research and Reform Unit, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, P.O. Box 30, 00271 Helsinki, FI, Finland
Miroslav Nemčok*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, Blindern, Postboks 1097, 0317 Oslo, Norway
Hanna Wass*
Affiliation:
Faculty on Social Sciences, University of Helsinki, P.O Box 54, 00014 Helsinki, Finland
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Abstract

Increasingly many citizens residing abroad maintain connections to their country of origin and follow its national elections. Considering that this group constitutes a growing share of the national electorate, it is essential to better understand factors that motivate electoral participation. In this study, we explore the role of economic, social and cultural ties in a unified analysis of turnout among Finnish citizens residing abroad. We rely on individual-level register data that cover the entire Finnish expatriate electorate (n = 96,290) and match their personal background characteristics (e.g. property ownership, length of stay abroad, language) with official turnout from the 2019 Finnish parliamentary elections on the bases of personal identification codes. In line with the theoretical expectations, the results provide strong empirical evidence that non-resident citizens who maintain connections to the country of origin are more likely to vote in homeland elections.

Information

Type
Special Issue Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Copyright
Copyright © 2023 The Author(s)
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Pulling ties homeland elections

Figure 1

Table 1 Association between economic, social and cultural ties and on propensity to vote in the 2019 Finnish parliamentary elections among citizens residing abroad: Results of binomial logistic regression

Figure 2

Fig. 2 Visualisation of the main findings. The marginal effects are divided into four panels in line with the tested hypotheses. Visualisations are based on odds ratios from Model 10 in Table 1. Positive odds ratio indicates that the person with a given characteristic is more likely to vote compared to a person without any of the factors included in Model 10 (the “constant” from the model). In the case of the “length of stay abroad” (lower left panel), visualisation is based on predicted probabilities of voting depending on how long ago the person emigrated from Finland

Supplementary material: File

Peltoniemi et al. supplementary material

Tables A1-A3
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