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Can autocratic power influence the media in democracies? Evidence from China's expulsion of American journalists

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 February 2025

Ruilin Lai*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Washington University in St. Louis, St Louis, MO, USA
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Abstract

Can autocratic governments influence foreign media? This study finds that political pressures from autocrats can motivate the media in democracies to tone down their negativity. Exploiting China's sudden expulsion of American journalists in March 2020, I show that US news outlets targeted by the expulsion adopted a more positive tone toward China in their subsequent coverage, compared to outlets that were not targeted. Further analyses confirm that the observed pattern is not due to unexpelled outlets presenting more negative coverage of China, and that the expulsion has similar chilling effects on media outlets that could have been affected. The findings highlight the overt threats autocracies pose to media freedom, a fundamental pillar of democratic societies.

Information

Type
Research Note
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of EPS Academic Ltd
Figure 0

Figure 1. Changes in news tone.

Figure 1

Table 1. Effect of the expulsion on news tone

Figure 2

Table 2. Effect of the expulsion on news tone (compared to China Daily)

Figure 3

Table 3. Effect of the expulsion on news tone on Russia and Iran

Figure 4

Table 4. Effect of the expulsion on news tone of outlets that could not face expulsion

Figure 5

Table 5. Effect of the expulsion on news tone of outlets that could face expulsion

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