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Influenza-attributable burden in United Kingdom primary care

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 July 2015

D. M. FLEMING*
Affiliation:
9 Dowles Close, Birmingham, UK (independent consultant)
R. J. TAYLOR
Affiliation:
Sage Analytica, Bethesda, MD, USA
F. HAGUINET
Affiliation:
GSK Vaccines, Wavre, Belgium
C. SCHUCK-PAIM
Affiliation:
Sage Analytica, Bethesda, MD, USA
J. LOGIE
Affiliation:
GSK R&D, Uxbridge, Middlesex, UK
D. J. WEBB
Affiliation:
GSK R&D, Uxbridge, Middlesex, UK
R. L. LUSTIG
Affiliation:
Sage Analytica, Bethesda, MD, USA
G. MATIAS
Affiliation:
GSK Vaccines, Wavre, Belgium
*
* Author for correspondence: D. M.Fleming, 9 Dowles Close, Birmingham, B29 4LE, UK. (Email: dmfleming9dc@btinternet.com)
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Summary

Influenza is rarely laboratory-confirmed and the outpatient influenza burden is rarely studied due to a lack of suitable data. We used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and surveillance data from Public Health England in a linear regression model to assess the number of persons consulting UK general practitioners (GP episodes) for respiratory illness, otitis media and antibiotic prescriptions attributable to influenza during 14 seasons, 1995–2009. In CPRD we ascertained influenza vaccination status in each season and risk status (conditions associated with severe influenza outcomes). Seasonal mean estimates of influenza-attributable GP episodes in the UK were 857 996 for respiratory disease including 68 777 for otitis media, with wide inter-seasonal variability. In an average season, 2·4%/0·5% of children aged <5 years and 1·3%/0·1% of seniors aged ⩾75 years had a GP episode for respiratory illness attributed to influenza A/B. Two-thirds of influenza-attributable GP episodes were estimated to result in prescription of antibiotics. These estimates are substantially greater than those derived from clinically reported influenza-like illness in surveillance programmes. Because health service costs of influenza are largely borne in general practice, these are important findings for cost-benefit assessment of influenza vaccination programmes.

Information

Type
Original Papers
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2015
Figure 0

Table 1. Outcomes: general practitioner consultations (CPRD)*

Figure 1

Fig. 1. Attribution modelling showing excess GP episodes attributable to influenza A and B and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in children aged 5–17 years. The pattern was observed to be the same for other age groups. ‘All other’ refers to GP episodes not attributable to influenza or RSV. The denominator is the UK population.

Figure 2

Fig. 2. Seasonal rates (with 95% confidence intervals) of GP episodes for respiratory disease (broadly defined) attributable to influenza A, influenza B and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).

Figure 3

Table 2. Persons consulting a general practitioner in a mean season (number and rate/100 000 population) attributable to influenza in the UK, by age (1995–2009)

Figure 4

Table 3. Persons consulting a general practitioner in a mean season (rate/100 000 population) for outcomes attributed to influenza A and B by comorbid risk status

Figure 5

Fig. 3. The percentage of the estimated burdens for several outcomes attributed to influenza A and influenza B by five age groups (mean across seasons). The total number of GP episodes for each outcome was: respiratory disease (broadly defined) (n = 857 996), bronchitis and bronchiolitis (n = 248 727), influenza-like illness (n = 265 123), pneumonia and influenza (n = 197 769), otitis media (n = 68 777), antibiotic use (n = 604 042).

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