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Assessing the pace of language change via estimated loan word volumes: Implications for Irish

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 April 2026

Dustin Bowers*
Affiliation:
Independent Researcher, Eugene, OR, USA
Elliott Lash
Affiliation:
Georg-August-Universität, Göttingen, Germany
*
Corresponding author: Dustin Bowers; Email: dustin.a.bowers@proton.me
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Abstract

Assessing the pace of language change in historical settings can be impeded by a lack of contemporary documents. Loan word adaptation can provide an additional window on this problem. Given a series of formerly productive phonological processes and a well studied donor language, a search algorithm equipped with a simple phonotactic probability model can estimate how many loans entered before each phonological period ended. The population of loans during a period is a plausible proxy for the duration of the period, so periods with few loans could have been subject to rapid change. Our approach is illustrated with the Latin loans in Irish, shedding light on a period that pre-dates substantial written records. This period includes the development of rhythmic syncope in Irish, a process that has garnered interest due to its resistance to analysis in parallel but not serial models of phonology (McCarthy 2008, inter alia). Strikingly, our model finds that few loans entered during the rhythmic syncope phase of Irish, which is consistent with the process quickly becoming unproductive, as has been found for other languages (Bowers 2019, inter alia).

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Linguistic Society of America
Figure 0

Figure 1. Timeline of key events and sources. Positions above the line reflect approximate dates.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Portion of loan vocabulary that matches phonotactic statements in the loan vocabulary against the portion of matches in the overall Latin vocabulary, for each parameter set. Circles mark unadjusted parameters (summarized with a solid line), while crosses mark adjusted parameters (summarized with a black dashed line). The dashed white line marks perfect agreement between Latin and the loan vocabulary.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Portion of vocabulary matching both members of a pair of phonotactic expressions, for both the Latin nominal lexicon and the loan vocabulary, plotted against the expected amount of overlap given the raw probabilities obtained from the Latin nominal lexicon and the assumption that phonotactic expressions are independent of each other. Circles mark parameter pairs from the unadjusted parameter set (summarized with a solid line), while crosses mark parameter pairs from the adjusted parameter set (summarized with a black dashed line). The dashed white line marks perfect agreement between the expected amount of overlap and the observed amount of overlap.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Phonological periods over number of accumulated loans. Lines connect the mean value over 10 simulations for each period in the phonotactic extrapolation model with adusted and unadjusted parameters; the naive model values (white dashed line) were obtained by direct calculation in (13). Points represent allocations for individual simulations, and are semi-transparent to overcome overplotting. The gray background shape demarcates the possible space of loan allocations.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Possible timeline of phonological period duration where period duration is proportional only to the volume of loans allocated by the phonotactic extrapolation model with unadjusted parameters. The end of [p]$ \to $[k] and syncope are arbitrarily set to 431 and 600 CE, respectively. Dotted lines mark periods where we explicitly posit overlap with a prior process, solid lines mark periods of independent application.