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Recommendations for the use of early cost-effectiveness analysis to inform the health technology development process with an application to cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 December 2025

Ronan Mahon*
Affiliation:
University of Galway, Ireland PharmaQuant International LLC, Ireland
Saswata Paul Choudhury
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India
Sekhar Kumar Dutta
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India
Abhirup Dutta Majumdar
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India Environmental Sustainability in HTA Working Group, Health Technology Assessment international, Canada
Bikramaditya Ghosh
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India
Chetna Demla
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India
Anns Thomas
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India
Debalina Dey
Affiliation:
PharmaQuant Insights Pvt Ltd, India
*
Corresponding author: Ronan Mahon; Email: ronan.mahon@universityofgalway.ie
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Abstract

Objectives

Cost-effectiveness analyses are used to help to inform resource-allocation decision-making in healthcare systems. The manufacturers of new health technologies may choose to employ “early cost-effectiveness analysis” (eCEA) to inform the technology development process in anticipation of a value-based assessment if and when the technology is launched. We aim to provide guidance on how eCEA can effectively inform health technology development processes, presenting novel methodological approaches to address key decision-making questions.

Methods

We present three core health technology development questions that eCEAs can address, as well as recommendations for deriving and presenting insights from eCEA models. A hypothetical treatment for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) called “dummymab” demonstrates the analytic techniques and presentation formats.

Results

We provide guidance for addressing: 1. What is a health technology’s value-based price (VBP) under a range of scenarios? 2. To what extent do different attributes of the technology contribute to its value? 3. Regarding what model parameters is further evidence most valuable? A novel net benefit approach for value driver analysis provides more reliable estimates than traditional ‘switch-on’ methods by avoiding parameter interaction effects. The manufacturer-perspective value-of-information framework enables evidence prioritization aligned with commercial decision-making while maintaining cost-effectiveness principles.

Conclusions

eCEA can systematically inform technology development through value-based price estimation, value driver identification, and evidence prioritization. Implementing development decision-making based on eCEA insights can foster alignment with value-based principles of HTA-orientated decision-making systems while supporting more efficient resource allocation in technology development.

Information

Type
Method
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Key differences between launch and early CEA in terms of estimands and decision-making perspectives.

Figure 1

Table 1. Total QALYs, total costs, and disaggregated costs of the base case analysis

Figure 2

Figure 2. Scenario analysis results in terms of VBP per annum per patient (GBP).

Figure 3

Figure 3. Value drivers of dummymab using the ‘net benefit’ method expressed as GBP per patient. The green bars indicate where an attribute is adding to the value of dummymab, whereas the red bars indicate where an attribute is reducing the value of dummymab.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Dummymab EVPPI from the manufacturer perspective (GBP/patient).

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