Introduction
Global trade is causing an increasing number of species to be transported outside of their native ranges, and many of these species subsequently establish self-perpetuating populations in new environments (Elton Reference Elton1958, Richardson Reference Richardson2011). Many of these alien species are relatively benign additions to native biota, but some have major impacts in their recipient environments. Managing such impacts is an important task for biodiversity conservation, since invasive alien species often have major impacts on biodiversity (e.g. Clavero and Garcia-Berthou Reference Clavero and Garcia-Berthou2005), and can cause economic damage. The most cost-effective management option for harmful alien species is to prevent their arrival in the first place (Keller et al. Reference Keller, Lodge and Finnoff2007), and border-control risk assessments have been implemented in many parts of the world to this end (Kumschick and Richardson Reference Kumschick and Richardson2013). However, this is not an option for already established alien species, for which other management approaches such as eradication, containment, or impact mitigation are required.
It has been estimated that around 400,000 species have been introduced to areas outside of their native geographic ranges (Pimentel et al. Reference Pimentel, McNair, Janecka, Wightman, Simmonds, O’Connell, Wong, Russel, Zern, Aquino and Tsomondo2001), posing a massive management challenge. One response has been to compile lists of alien species to categorise and prioritise species for management (Burgiel and Perrault Reference Burgiel, Perrault, Simberloff and Rejmánek2011), and various lists purporting to identify some of the most harmful alien species have been developed (Lowe et al. Reference Lowe, Browne, Boudjelas and De Poorter2004, Streftaris and Zenetos Reference Streftaris and Zenetos2006, Vilà et al. Reference Vilà, Basnou, Gollasch, Josefsson, Pergl and Scalera2009). The most prominent of these are the “100 of the World’s Worst” list compiled by the IUCN Invasive Species Specialist Group (Lowe et al. Reference Lowe, Browne, Boudjelas and De Poorter2004), hereafter called IUCN100, and the “100 of the Worst” invaders in Europe collated within the DAISIE (Delivering Alien Invasive Species Inventories in Europe) project (Vilà et al. Reference Vilà, Basnou, Gollasch, Josefsson, Pergl and Scalera2009), hereafter called DAISIE100. These lists include a variety of taxa, including animals, plants and microorganisms. Neither was intended to be a definitive catalogue of the worst invaders, but rather they were developed to showcase the diversity of alien species and the diversity of impacts they can have. Thus, the selection of species for inclusion on the lists was based on the severity of impacts on biological diversity and/or human activities, the illustration of important issues of biological invasion and the representation of several taxonomic groups (Lowe et al. Reference Lowe, Browne, Boudjelas and De Poorter2004, Vilà et al. Reference Vilà, Basnou, Gollasch, Josefsson, Pergl and Scalera2009). The actual choice of species was based largely on expert opinion, and the primary purpose of the lists was to raise awareness about invasive alien species and their impacts in general. The lists nevertheless provide specific targets for action by decision makers and the public, and therefore focus attention on a few key examples rather than “diluting” communication efforts with the full spectrum of alien species and related issues (Luque et al. Reference Luque, Bellard, Bertelsmeier, Bonnaud, Genovesi, Simberloff and Courchamp2014). While the main intended purpose of these lists was to educate the public, they have also been used by the scientific community, with more than 1,300 citations for the IUCN100 list in the scientific literature (Google Scholar March 2015). Furthermore, they have provided guidance for policy documents (Shine et al. Reference Shine, Williams and Gündling2000, Genovesi and Scalera Reference Genovesi and Scalera2007).
The IUCN100 list includes three bird species: the Common Myna Acridotheres tristis, European Starling Sturnus vulgaris and Red-vented Bulbul Pycnonotus cafer. Four different bird species are present on the DAISIE100 list: Canada Goose Branta canadensis, Ruddy Duck Oxyura jamaicensis, Ring-necked Parakeet Psittacula krameri and Sacred Ibis Threskiornis aethiopicus. The impacts of alien birds can be severe (Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014), resulting in substantial costs (Pimentel Reference Pimentel2002). However, there are more than 400 bird species with established alien populations somewhere in the world (Dyer and Blackburn unpubl. data), and 175 species introduced to Europe (www.europe-aliens.org) and exactly what merits these exemplar species to be chosen as among the 100 worst, rather than any of the others, is not always clear. Here, we attempt to clarify this question using a recently developed impact scoring system, based on semi-quantitative scenarios, to assess the impacts of the seven alien bird species on these lists. We used the scores we derived to compare the impacts of these species with those of a sample of other alien birds, as a means to explore the selection of the species, and to discuss potential caveats with respect to the lists. We aim to test whether the birds on the “100 worst” lists are indeed worthy of this dubious honour. Furthermore, we discuss the utility and benefits of a transparent system for alien species listing. Finally, we suggest such an approach for alien species listing according to their impacts using a semi-quantitative method that includes a systematic review of the literature on a species’ impacts. It is therefore more objective than using expert opinion alone, and can support decisions related to alien species management and help to resolve disputes about their impacts.
Methods
To find the relevant studies where the impacts of the seven listed bird species were mentioned, we conducted a thorough literature search on ISI Web of Knowledge and Google Scholar, using the species’ scientific names as the search terms. We filtered titles and abstracts to find publications on impact and studied the relevant literature in more detail for the scoring. In addition, we included references cited therein, and information in online databases on alien species (www.issg.org/database/welcome, www.europe-aliens.org, www.nobanis.org) as well as primary literature and catalogues on alien birds (Lever Reference Lever2005, Long Reference Long1981). Grey literature was also included where appropriate. Only impacts recorded in the alien ranges of the species were considered. The identified impacts were then categorised using the generic impact scoring system (GISS) originally developed for mammals (Nentwig et al. Reference Nentwig, Kühnel and Bacher2010), and subsequently extended and applied to birds (Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014) and various other taxa (Kumschick et al. Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Dawson, Heikkilä, Sendek, Pluess, Robinson and Kühn2012, Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015, Vaes-Petignat and Nentwig Reference Vaes-Petignat and Nentwig2014, van der Veer and Nentwig Reference van der Veer and Nentwig2014). The GISS covers environmental and economic impacts, each of which it divides into six distinct impact categories. Environmental impacts consist of competition, predation, herbivory, hybridisation, transmission of diseases and impacts on the ecosystem as a whole, other than the ones covered by the other categories. Economic impacts in the scoring system consist of impact on agriculture, forestry, human health, livestock, infrastructure and human social life.
Each of the categories includes verbal descriptions of scores ranging from 0 (no impact detectable) to 5 (highest impact possible at a site). Impacts recorded in the literature can be matched against these scenarios to derive a numerical estimate of the magnitude of a species’ impact in a given category. We then calculated two measures as an indication of a species’ overall impact on the recipient system. On the one hand, we summed these estimates over the respective 6 or 12 categories as suggested in the original publication by Nentwig et al. (Reference Nentwig, Kühnel and Bacher2010) and others who used the scoring system subsequently to give an estimate of a species’ environmental impact, economic impact, and total impact (environmental plus economic). As a second measure, we used the maximum score reached in any category as an indicator of a species’ most severe impact. A similar approach was suggested by Blackburn et al. (Reference Blackburn, Essl, Evans, Hulme, Jeschke, Kühn, Kumschick, Marková, Mrugała, Nentwig, Pergl, Pyšek, Rabitsch, Ricciardi, Richardson, Sendek, Vilà, Wilson, Winter, Genovesi and Bacher2014) to facilitate the listing of alien species; in Blackburn et al.’s system it is harder to achieve a high score due to slight changes in the description of the categories, and it exclusively includes impacts on the environment, but the general idea remains the same. We compared these scores to those previously calculated for alien bird species in Europe by Kumschick and Nentwig (Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010), updated for worldwide impacts by Kumschick et al. (Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015), and for alien bird species in Australia (Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014), updated using a literature search as described above to assess the impacts of these species outside of their Australian ranges (this study).
The GISS has been proven useful to compare impact magnitudes between taxa as different as animals and plants, and can therefore provide an objective means to support alien species listing processes. More detailed descriptions of the GISS and its uses can be found in previously published studies (Nentwig et al. Reference Nentwig, Kühnel and Bacher2010, Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Kumschick et al. Reference Kumschick, Alba, Hufbauer and Nentwig2011, Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Dawson, Heikkilä, Sendek, Pluess, Robinson and Kühn2012, Reference Kumschick, Bacher and Blackburn2013, Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015, Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014, Vaes-Petignat and Nentwig Reference Vaes-Petignat and Nentwig2014, Blackburn et al. Reference Blackburn, Essl, Evans, Hulme, Jeschke, Kühn, Kumschick, Marková, Mrugała, Nentwig, Pergl, Pyšek, Rabitsch, Ricciardi, Richardson, Sendek, Vilà, Wilson, Winter, Genovesi and Bacher2014).
Results
On the global IUCN100 list, the Common Myna attained the highest summed impact score of the three listed bird species, with a total impact score of 31. It received maximum scores of 5 for impacts through competition (aggression towards the endangered Tahiti Flycatcher Pomarea nigra; Blanvillain et al. Reference Blanvillain, Salducci, Tutururai and Maeura2003) and predation (Table 1). The European Starling scored 23 in total, with highest scores of 4 in two categories. The Red-vented Bulbul scored 11 points in total and received a maximum score of 5 due to its potentially devastating impact on the endangered Tahiti Flycatcher and other Pomarea species endemic to the south-eastern Pacific (Blanvillain et al. Reference Blanvillain, Salducci, Tutururai and Maeura2003).
Table 1. Impact scores of the 15 alien birds introduced to Australia and Europe reaching the highest impact scores. Species listed in IUCN100 are highlighted. Data from Kumschick and Nentwig (Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010), Evans et al. (Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014), Kumschick et al. (Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015) and this study.
Two of the three species listed on the global IUCN100 list - the Common Myna and European Starling - attain high total impact scores relative to other bird species, including impacts on environment and economy (Table 1). They are exceeded in total impact only by four or five species, respectively. There may in fact be other birds with impacts higher than the ones on the IUCN100 list, but only alien birds in Europe and Australia have been systematically assessed to date (Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014). Despite that, and in contrast, the Red-vented Bulbul’s total GISS score was less than half those of the Common Myna and European Starling, and lower than or similar to that of many other alien birds which are absent from the IUCN100 list (Table 1).
In contrast to the IUCN100, which is a global list, DAISIE100 consists only of alien species introduced to Europe. It includes the species with the highest total score reached by any bird assessed to date (total score of 38), namely the Canada Goose (Table 2). The four bird species represented amongst DAISIE100 all score higher than other species introduced to Europe and/or have a maximum impact of 5 (Ruddy Duck Oxyura jamaicensis through hybridisation).
Table 2. Impact scores of the 20 alien birds introduced to Europe which scored impacts > 1, with species listed in the DAISIE100 list highlighted. Data from Kumschick and Nentwig (Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010) and Kumschick et al. (Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015).
The main types of impact for the > 50 alien bird species studied in Australia and Europe were competition, disease transmission to wildlife and/or humans, and agriculture, where over 25% of the selected species from each continent had an impact in the respective categories. Looking at Europe only, hybridisation was the most prominent category and almost 58% of alien birds in Europe had reported impact. Considering the representation of these impact mechanisms in the lists, we found that all had impacts through competition and all but two (ruddy duck and sacred ibis) on agriculture. The Common Myna and European Starling have also been reported to be important hosts of diseases for wildlife, while the Canada Goose and Ring-necked Parakeet are of human health concern (Table 1 and 2). This largely represents the most important mechanisms of impacts for alien birds globally. Hybridisation is represented on the DAISIE100 list by the Ruddy Duck, while none of the three bird species on the IUCN100 list had reported impacts in this category.
Discussion
We used the semi-quantitative GISS (Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010), an impact scoring system developed to compare highly diverse impacts between species and higher taxa, to assess the impacts of the bird species on the IUCN100 and DAISIE100 lists. This study clarifies how these species compare to other alien birds in terms of the severity of their impacts, and which specific components of impact, or which issues related to alien species’ invasions, they represent.
The highest total scores reached by the birds assessed to date except for the Canada Goose were mainly caused by bird species native to Europe, namely the House Sparrow Passer domesticus (33 points), the Rock Pigeon Columba livia and the Mallard Anas platyrhynchos (both 32 points). This explains why they are missing from DAISIE100, but all these species reach higher scores than the three species listed on IUCN100 as well. Five other alien bird species (Spotted Dove Streptopelia chilensis, European Blackbird Turdus merula, Tree Sparrow Passer montanus, Sacred Ibis and Ring-necked Parakeet; Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014, Kumschick et al. Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015, this study) have been found to have a total impact higher than or equal to the score of 11 achieved by the Red-vented Bulbul (listed on IUCN100). The two of these species which have been introduced to Europe (Sacred Ibis and Ring-necked Parakeet) are represented on DAISIE100.
For comparing the highest score reached in any one category, impact can be minor (score 1 or 2), moderate (score 3), major (score 4) or massive and in some cases irreversible (score 5) (similar to Blackburn et al. Reference Blackburn, Essl, Evans, Hulme, Jeschke, Kühn, Kumschick, Marková, Mrugała, Nentwig, Pergl, Pyšek, Rabitsch, Ricciardi, Richardson, Sendek, Vilà, Wilson, Winter, Genovesi and Bacher2014). In this context, the Red-vented Bulbul and Common Myna both have massive impacts according to the GISS due to competition with endangered birds on islands in the south-eastern Pacific (Blanvillain et al. Reference Blanvillain, Salducci, Tutururai and Maeura2003), whereas the highest impact recorded for the European Starling (agricultural damage) is “only” considered to be major (e.g. Brugger et al. Reference Brugger, Nol and Phillips1993). Therefore, of the three bird species on the IUCN100 list, only the Common Myna reaches both a high total score, due to its considerable impacts in many different categories, and the highest maximum score in a single category, through its threats to globally endangered species. Several other bird species not listed as among the IUCN100 reach the same maximum score of 5 in one or several of the impact categories (Table 1).
The authors of the IUCN100 list stated that the magnitude of impact is not the only criterion upon which species were included - another consideration was the “illustration of important issues of biological invasion” (Lowe et al. Reference Lowe, Browne, Boudjelas and De Poorter2004). A comparison of the types of impacts displayed by the Common Myna, European Starling and Red-vented Bulbul to those of other alien bird species reveals that the most common components of alien bird impacts are represented by the chosen species. The three bird species listed are all important agricultural pests (Lowe et al. Reference Lowe, Browne, Boudjelas and De Poorter2004), while two of the three species potentially threaten globally endangered native birds on islands through aggressive behaviour and competition for nesting sites. In fact, the Red-vented Bulbul and Common Myna overlap considerably in these habitats, and their impacts in this respect cannot always be clearly separated (e.g. Thibault et al. Reference Thibault, Martin, Penloup and Meyer2002, Blanvillain et al. Reference Blanvillain, Salducci, Tutururai and Maeura2003). Consequently, the important issues of biological invasion represented by these three bird species overlap somewhat.
The DAISIE100 list represents the issues alien birds cause in Europe and captures many of the worst avian invaders (Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010 and this study). The Common Myna has a higher global impact than three out of the four birds in DAISIE100, but these impacts have not been expressed in Europe. For most of the other species listed in Table 2 (except the two Estrilda species and Amandava amandava) the impacts were recorded in Europe.
Hybridisation and introgression are among the known threats that alien animal species pose to recipient communities (Rhymer and Simberloff Reference Rhymer and Simberloff1996), and these have been argued to be important mechanisms of impact for alien birds as well (Baker et al. Reference Baker, Harvey and French2014, Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Kumschick et al. Reference Kumschick, Alba, Hufbauer and Nentwig2011, Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015). Several alien bird species, mainly ducks and geese (Anseriformes), readily hybridise with native species (e.g. Table 2). A high profile example is the Ruddy Duck, which hybridises with the endangered White-headed Duck O. leucocephala in Spain (Hughes Reference Hughes, Holmes and Simons1996, Munoz-Fuentes et al. Reference Munoz-Fuentes, Vila, Green, Negro and Sorenson2007); due to its high impact on an endangered species its inclusion on DAISIE100 is justified, even though its total impact is relatively low. Another example is the Mallard, native to Europe, which hybridises with several other duck species worldwide, including the American Black Duck A. rubripes (Mank et al. Reference Mank, Carlson and Brittingham2004), Grey Duck A. superciliosa (Hitchmough et al. Reference Hitchmough, Williams and Daugherty1990, Tracey et al. Reference Tracey, Lukins and Haselden2008), the endemic Yellow-billed Duck A. undulata in South Africa (Hockey et al. Reference Hockey, Dean and Ryan2005, Lever Reference Lever2005) and potentially also with endemic species in Australia (Guay and Tracey Reference Guay and Tracey2009). Both the Ruddy Duck and Mallard are threatening at least one endangered or endemic native bird species with extinction, or have already led to local extinctions (Baker et al. Reference Baker, Harvey and French2014), yet this significant impact mechanism is not captured on the list of IUCN100 for birds. For a few other animals on the list, hybridisation is mentioned as a (potential) impact on the Global Invasive Species Database (www.issg.org/database/welcome/), namely the Crab-eating Macaque Macaca fascicularis (potential hybridisation with Macaca mulatta), Brown Trout Salmo trutta (Fumagalli et al. Reference Fumagalli, Snoj, Jesenek, Balloux, Jug, Duron, Brossier, Crivelli and Berrebi2002), Red-eared Slider Trachemys scripta elegans (Powell and Incháustegui Reference Powell and Incháustegui2009), and Red Fox Vulpes vulpes; the impact of the last is on a subspecies and probably of less conservation concern (Sacks et al. Reference Sacks, Moore, Statham and Wittmer2011). The Brown Trout however has massive impacts and its hybridisation with endemic Marble Trout Salmo marmoratus has led to this species being considered one of the most endangered freshwater fish of the Adriatic basin (Delling et al. Reference Delling, Crivelli, Rubin and Berrebi2000). The Red-eared Slider potentially contributes to the threatened status of two native pond turtles in the Dominican Republic (Powell and Incháustegui Reference Powell and Incháustegui2009).
Lists of harmful species such as the IUCN100 are important tools to educate the public about sensitive issues, but they are also crucial for alien species management and can influence policy (Shine et al. Reference Shine, Williams and Gündling2000, Genovesi and Scalera Reference Genovesi and Scalera2007). Both the IUCN100 and DAISIE100 lists have probably largely served their intended purposes to raise awareness of problems associated with invasive species. However, a more robust and repeatable framework is needed for scientific purposes, and to prioritise alien species for management. Ranking species with diverse impacts based on expert opinion alone is likely to give subjective outcomes, and could be misleading.
Furthermore, depending on the scale of the assessment and the distribution of the species, a different set of species will be considered as “the worst”. For example, there is no overlap between the worst birds listed on IUCN100 and DAISIE100. For policy implications based on such lists it is crucial to consider these factors. Also, there are clearly many species not featured in the IUCN100 or DAISIE100 lists that have huge impacts, and an unintended consequence of this may be that their absence creates the impression that they are not worthy of management actions or studies on their impacts.
As Luque et al. (Reference Luque, Bellard, Bertelsmeier, Bonnaud, Genovesi, Simberloff and Courchamp2014) note in their discussion of the IUCN100 list, “… it [is] very hard to rank diverse species with such varied impacts”. Nevertheless, the ranking of diverse alien species according to impact severity is possible if a formal quantitative or semi-quantitative framework is adopted, and such a ranking has now been performed several times for different taxa and regions (e.g. Nentwig et al. Reference Nentwig, Kühnel and Bacher2010, Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Evans et al. Reference Evans, Kumschick, Dyer and Blackburn2014, Vaes-Petignat and Nentwig Reference Vaes-Petignat and Nentwig2014, van der Veer and Nentwig Reference van der Veer and Nentwig2014, Kumschick et al. Reference Kumschick, Bacher, Marková, Pergl, Pyšek, Vaes-Petignat, van der Veer, Vilà and Nentwig2015). A unified classification system for alien species based on exactly such a procedure was also proposed recently (Blackburn et al. Reference Blackburn, Essl, Evans, Hulme, Jeschke, Kühn, Kumschick, Marková, Mrugała, Nentwig, Pergl, Pyšek, Rabitsch, Ricciardi, Richardson, Sendek, Vilà, Wilson, Winter, Genovesi and Bacher2014), and we provide another application of a semi-quantitative ranking framework in this study based on a combination of the total impact and the maximum impact recorded in any one category.
The new impact classification scheme (Blackburn et al. Reference Blackburn, Essl, Evans, Hulme, Jeschke, Kühn, Kumschick, Marková, Mrugała, Nentwig, Pergl, Pyšek, Rabitsch, Ricciardi, Richardson, Sendek, Vilà, Wilson, Winter, Genovesi and Bacher2014) and the GISS used in this study (see also Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010) offer the means for more objective listing of alien species impacts, and for ranking or scoring species in a way that could inform policy and management. Not only do these schemes provide semi-quantitative assessments of impacts (which facilitates comparisons between species and across taxa), but they also give an indication of the mechanisms whereby the impacts are caused (e.g. Kumschick and Nentwig Reference Kumschick and Nentwig2010, Kumschick et al. Reference Kumschick, Alba, Hufbauer and Nentwig2011). This provides an important overview of the “issues of biological invasions” and can improve the choice of alien species for the “worst invaders” lists.
It is clearly desirable to work towards regularly updated lists of key target species for management, as the status of species as aliens changes (for better or for worse) over time. One reason why existing lists such as the IUCN100 have limited use for management is that they do not provide the basis for reporting on any progress with management unless a species is eradicated. Only one of the IUCN100 listed taxa has so far been eradicated – rinderpest in 2010 (World Organisation for Animal Health 2011). This species was replaced by giant salvinia Salvinia molesta on the list in 2013 after a voting process by invasion scientists (Luque et al. Reference Luque, Bellard, Bertelsmeier, Bonnaud, Genovesi, Simberloff and Courchamp2014). Eradication of widespread alien species which have major impacts is seldom, if ever, possible to achieve (Pluess et al. Reference Pluess, Jarošík, Pyšek, Cannon, Pergl, Breukers and Bacher2012). However, it is possible with the right management strategies to prevent a species from reaching its maximum impact, and thereby decreasing its impact to a degree that would warrant taking the species off a “worst invaders” list. As a non-avian example, the biological control of prickly-pear cactus Opuntia ficus-indica (Zimmermann and Moran Reference Zimmermann and Moran1991) and other alien plants (e.g. van Wilgen et al. Reference Van Wilgen, de Wit, Anderson, Le Maitre, Kotze, Ndala, Brown and Rapholo2004) has led to a drastic reduction of their distribution and impacts.
Management can cause the impacts of alien species to decline over time, but many species in the early stages of an invasion (Blackburn et al. Reference Blackburn, Pyšek, Bacher, Carlton, Duncan, Jarošík, Wilson and Richardson2011) are likely to increase in their impacts if they get established and start spreading (there is a significant “invasion debt”: Essl et al. Reference Essl, Dullinger, Rabitsch, Hulme, Hülber, Jarošík, Kleinbauer, Krausmann, Kühn, Nentwig, Vila, Genovesi, Gherardi, Desprez-Loustau, Roques and Pyšek2011). Some alien species have arguably attained impacts more significant than the listed species in the period since the IUCN100 list was developed more than a decade ago. The way this list, and many other lists directly relevant to policy, were created, however, does not easily allow for adjustments of the status of alien species. In contrast, other schemes, such as that proposed by Blackburn et al. (Reference Blackburn, Essl, Evans, Hulme, Jeschke, Kühn, Kumschick, Marková, Mrugała, Nentwig, Pergl, Pyšek, Rabitsch, Ricciardi, Richardson, Sendek, Vilà, Wilson, Winter, Genovesi and Bacher2014), facilitate the movement of species through different impact classes as their impacts either increase or decrease. Progress in management can therefore be quantified by adjusting the impact status if certain management actions (e.g. containment) have led to decreased impact, even if the actions have not led to eradication. Reporting changes in threat intensity would be very helpful for tracking progress towards the Aichi targets for biodiversity protection of the Convention on Biological Diversity (http://www.cbd.int/sp/targets/).
Selecting the “worst” alien species according to a transparent system or guidelines, and backing up such a selection with quantitative data, would not affect the educational purpose of any list so derived, but could lead to a more balanced representation of the types of impact and related issues that alien species can cause. Furthermore, from a scientific perspective, using a transparent and quantitative system would ensure that the most harmful species can be identified, and would also improve the utility of a list in terms of management and monitoring of progress due to increased flexibility, as elaborated in this study.
Acknowledgements
SK acknowledges financial support from the Swiss National Science Foundation, and the Drakenstein Trust through the DST-NRF Centre of Excellence for Invasion Biology. DMR acknowledges additional support from the National Research Foundation, South Africa (grant 85417).
