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Extreme heat and mental health: systematic review and qualitative investigation of risk and protective factors

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 July 2026

Lea Baecker
Affiliation:
Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, UK
Maisie Khan
Affiliation:
Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, UK
Udita Iyengar
Affiliation:
Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, UK
Alaleh Tadayon
Affiliation:
Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, UK
Andrea Mechelli*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, UK
*
Corresponding author: Andrea Mechelli; Email: andrea.mechelli@kcl.ac.uk
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Abstract

Background

Extreme hot weather poses increasing risks to mental health. Yet, factors affecting vulnerability are under-researched. This mixed-method study integrates a systematic review and qualitative investigation to identify risk and protective factors for heat-related mental health issues, leading to the co-development of a screening tool. This could inform future research and, pending validation in clinical settings, support mental health professionals in assessing vulnerability among service users.

Methods

We searched PubMed and Web of Science for publications on extreme heat, mental health, and risk/protective factors. In addition, we conducted six focus groups with 21 people with lived experience of heat and/or mental illness and 12 healthcare professionals. Transcripts were analyzed using thematic content analysis and informed the co-development of the screening tool.

Results

Out of 764 articles identified by the systematic review, 47 were included. Evidence emerged for age, sex, existing mental illness, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status as risk factors. However, findings were inconsistent between studies, likely due to differences in study population and methodology. Protective effects included good physical health, social support, and exposure to green spaces. Our qualitative investigation identified additional risk and protective factors related to: (1) behavioral adaptability, (2) personal heat sensitivity, and (3) disparities in heat exposure. The resulting screening tool, HEAT-MH (Heat Exposure Assessment Tool for Mental Health), contains 15 questions on previous experiences of heat, general health, and lifestyle.

Conclusions

The mental health impacts of extreme heat depend on a range of risk and protective factors, including demographic, socioeconomic, health, and lifestyle characteristics.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Timeline of focus groups. The six focus groups were divided into three stages. Each stage contained one focus group with people with lived experience and one with healthcare professionals. The topic guides per stage were largely the same between groups, though where people with lived experience were asked about their own experiences during extreme heat, healthcare professionals were asked about their clients. Within each stage, participants were first asked to freely name and discuss potential risk and protective factors before being asked to provide feedback on either a list of potential factors identified in a preliminary literature search (stage 1) or a draft of the screening tool developed in the previous stage (stages 2 and 3). When providing feedback on the drafts, participants were asked to rate the importance, the clarity of expression, the order of questions, and identify if any factors were missing. Further information on the topic guides is provided in Supplementary Material S4.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Figure 2. PRISMA flow diagram.Figure 2. long description.

Figure 2

Table 1. Overview of the quantitative studies included in the systematic reviewTable 1. long description.

Figure 3

Table 2. Overview of the qualitative articles included in the systematic reviewTable 2. long description.

Figure 4

Table 3. Proposed screening tool ‘HEAT-MH’ (Heat Exposure Assessment Tool for Mental Health) co-developed with focus group participantsTable 3. long description.

Supplementary material: File

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