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Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 January 2026

Sohrab Amiri*
Affiliation:
Spiritual Health Research Center, Lifestyle Institute, Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Jannat Mashayekhi
Affiliation:
Spiritual Health Research Center, Lifestyle Institute, Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
*
Corresponding author: Sohrab Amiri; Email: amirysohrab@yahoo.com
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Abstract

This study focuses on the national and subnational estimation of prevalence, incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) related to self-harm and suicide mortality in Iran. These indicators of disease burden were analyzed over the period from 1990 to 2021, with stratifications based on sex, age and geographic location. Additionally, the percentage change observed between 1990 and 2021 was documented. The age-standardized prevalence rate (per 100,000) of self-harm decreased from 173.92 (95% UI: 146.13–208.75) in 1990 to 131.2 (95% UI: 110.55–156.67) in 2021, reflecting a percentage change of −0.25% over the period. In terms of self-harm prevalence in 2021, males had a higher rate (137.62 per 100,000) compared to females (124.82 per 100,000). The findings of the current study revealed that, despite significant challenges such as demographic shifts, economic instability and the impacts of war, the trends in self-harm incidents and suicide mortality rates in Iran have generally been on the decline. Additionally, it was observed that suicide-related deaths were more prevalent among males when compared to females. However, when examining self-harm behaviors over previous decades, these acts appeared to be more frequent among females.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press

Impact statement

One of the important factors in self-harm and suicide mortality is geographical differences, which lead to cultural and religious differences. Consequently, during these years, the nation grappled with a range of issues stemming from the aftermath of war, including an elevated incidence of mental health disorders, economic instability and pressures associated with international policies. Recognizing the significant role of mental health in enhancing overall community well-being, health policies should prioritize expanding access to mental health care services. This can be achieved through proactive initiatives that focus on education at various levels, including community programs, schools, universities and health centers. Efforts should aim to improve mental health literacy while addressing cases requiring psychological interventions, thereby reducing the economic and social impact of mental health issues.

Introduction

Self-harm and suicide represent significant health and social challenges on a global scale (Knipe et al., Reference Knipe, Padmanathan, Newton-Howes, Chan and Kapur2022). The World Health Organization (WHO) conceptualizes self-harm as the act of intentionally causing injury to oneself as a means of managing or expressing severe emotional distress and internal conflict. While individuals engaging in such behavior typically do not aim to end their lives, the potential consequences can nonetheless be fatal. Common manifestations of self-harm include deliberate poisoning through the ingestion of an excessive amount of medication or harmful substances, self-inflicted wounds through cutting or burning, head-banging against solid objects or inflicting physical pain by punching or striking oneself against hard surfaces. Although suicidal intent is generally absent among those who engage in self-harm, the risks associated with these actions remain profoundly serious (World Health Organization, 2019). Suicide can be defined as “the act of intentionally carrying out an action to kill oneself” (World Health Organization, 2019).

The WHO estimates that over 700,000 individuals lose their lives to suicide annually worldwide (World Health Organization, 2023). In 2019, the global age-standardized suicide rate stood at 9.0 per 100,000 people, with men exhibiting a higher rate of 12.6 per 100,000 compared to women, who had a rate of 5.4 per 100,000 (World Health Organization, 2021). Although suicide mortality rates are more common in males, self-harm is more common in females (Knipe et al., Reference Knipe, Padmanathan, Newton-Howes, Chan and Kapur2022). Self-harm and suicide result from the interaction of complex factors and are influenced by variables such as age, sex, ethnicity and geography (Knipe et al., Reference Knipe, Padmanathan, Newton-Howes, Chan and Kapur2022).

The region encompassing North Africa and the Middle East, including Iran, has experienced significant challenges in recent decades, marked by rapid population growth, ongoing conflicts and persistent warfare. The nations within the Middle East exhibit substantial ethnic and demographic commonalities, as noted (Moradinazar et al., Reference Moradinazar, Mirzaei, Moradivafa, Saeedi, Basiri and Shakiba2022). Islam serves as the predominant religion across these countries. While historically, the rate of suicide has generally been low in most Islamic societies, contemporary evidence suggests a concerning upward trajectory in this phenomenon (Pritchard and Amanullah, Reference Pritchard and Amanullah2007; Mirhashemi et al., Reference Mirhashemi, Motamedi, Mirhashemi, Taghipour and Danial2016). In Iran, the overall suicide rate is 5.3 per 100,000, with rates of 7 and 3.6 for males and females respectively (World Health Organization, 2014). Some determinants of suicide in Iran include family conflict, marital problems, economic constraints and educational failures (Nazarzadeh et al., Reference Nazarzadeh, Bidel, Ayubi, Asadollahi, Carson and Sayehmiri2013).

During the past decades, Iran has been affected by economic turmoil, war and international politics (Danaei et al., Reference Danaei, Farzadfar, Kelishadi, Rashidian, Rouhani, Ahmadnia and Arhami2019). After the end of the war in 1988, Iran entered a period of construction in health and nonhealth infrastructures, which led to an increase in gross domestic product (Bank, Reference Bank2021). Demographic transition has led to population growth, a change in fertility, increased life expectancy, aging and epidemiological transition (Farzadfar et al., Reference Farzadfar, Naghavi, Sepanlou, Saeedi Moghaddam, Dangel, Davis Weaver and Larijani2022; Bhattacharjee et al., Reference Bhattacharjee, Schumacher, Aali, Abate, Abbasgholizadeh, Abbasian and Vollset2024; GBD 2021 Causes of Death Collaborators, 2024). Access to mental health care services has not been developed in response to the growth of mental disorders (Farzadfar et al., Reference Farzadfar, Naghavi, Sepanlou, Saeedi Moghaddam, Dangel, Davis Weaver and Larijani2022). The prevalence of mental health issues has gained considerable attention since the conclusion of the Iran–Iraq war. This concern is further underscored by the findings of the Iranian Mental Health Survey, which indicates a substantial occurrence of psychiatric disorders within the country (Sharifi et al., Reference Sharifi, Amin-Esmaeili, Hajebi, Motevalian, Radgoodarzi, Hefazi and Rahimi-Movaghar2015; Danaei et al., Reference Danaei, Farzadfar, Kelishadi, Rashidian, Rouhani, Ahmadnia and Arhami2019). This study focuses on estimating the prevalence, incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with self-harm and suicide mortality in Iran at both national and subnational levels, using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021.

Methods

Protocol

This manuscript was produced as part of the GBD Collaborator Network and following the GBD Protocol.

Data source

This research was based on the GBD 2021 (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). The extracted burden of disease indicators included prevalence, incidence, DALYs, years lived with disability (YLDs), years of life lost (YLLs) and death for 371 diseases and injuries, along with estimates of healthy life expectancy. These estimates are provided for sex and age groups, and for 204 countries and territories, including subnational estimates for 21 countries (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). Data sources used in GBD 2021 included 100,983 data sources (19,189 new data sources for DALYs), 12 new causes and other important methodological updates (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). These indicators were examined at the national and subnational levels in Iran. More details of GBD 2021 are presented elsewhere (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024).

Case definitions

Self-harm in GBD 2021 is “deliberate bodily damage inflicted on oneself resulting in death or injury. ICD-9: E950-E959; ICD-10: X60-X64.9, X66-X84.9, Y87.0” (2021, 2024; Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). This contains two subclasses: (i) Self-harm by firearm, defined as “Death or disability inflicted by the intentional use of a firearm on oneself. ICD-9: E955-E955.9; ICD-10: X72-X74.9” (2021, 2024; Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024); and (ii) Self-harm by other specified means, defined as “Death or occurrence of deliberate bodily damage inflicted on oneself resulting in death by means of self-poisoning, medication overdose, transport, falling from height, hanging or strangulation or other mechanisms not including firearms. ICD9: E950-E954, E956-E959; ICD10: X60-X64.9, X66-X67.9, X69-X71.9, X75-X75.9, X77-X84.9, Y87.0” (2021, 2024; Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024).

Estimation framework

YLDs were calculated “with a microsimulation process that used estimated age-sex-location-year-specific prevalent counts of nonfatal disease sequelae (consequences of a disease or injury) for each cause and disability weights for each sequela as the input estimates at varying levels of severity by an appropriate disability weight” (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). YLLs were calculated as “the product of estimated age-sex-location-year-specific deaths and the standard life expectancy at the age death occurred for a given cause” (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). DALYs were calculated as the sum of YLDs and YLLs (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024).

Statistics

All-age count estimates and age-standardized rate prevalence (per 100,000) were calculated for prevalence, incidence, DALYs and death. Each of the disease burden indicators was examined in the period of 1990–2021, stratified by sex, age and location, and the % change between 1990 and 2021 was reported. The 95% uncertainty interval (UI) was reported for each of the reported estimates. More details about data, data processing and modeling are provided elsewhere and are related to GBD 2021 (Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). GBD 2021 complies with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (Stevens et al., Reference Stevens, Alkema, Black, Boerma, Collins, Ezzati and Horton2016) and analyses were completed using Python (version 3.10.4), Stata (version 13.1) and R (version 4.2.1).

Results

Prevalence of self-harm in Iran from 1990 to 2021

Age-standardized rate prevalence (per 100,000) of self-harm in 1990 was 173.92 (95% UI: 146.13–208.75) versus 131.2 (95% UI: 110.55–156.67) in 2021, thus indicating a decrease; the percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was −25%. All-ages count estimates of self-harm in 1990 were 65,834 (95% UI: 55,038–79,967) versus 122,781 (95% UI: 103,040–147,165) in 2021; the percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was 0.86%. While the age-standardized rate has shown a decline, the absolute count estimates have increased over recent decades, primarily due to population growth (Table 1 and Figure 1).

Table 1. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) prevalence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 1. Trend in prevalence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Incidence of self-harm in Iran from 1990 to 2021

The age-standardized incidence rate of self-harm per 100,000 population was 57.34 (95% UI: 46.67–69.95) in 1990, compared to 46.01 (95% UI: 36.07–57.53) in 2021. This reflects a percentage change of −0.20% over the period, indicating a downward trend. All-ages count estimates increased from 32,083.13 (95% UI: 25,531–40,402) in 1990 to 40,908.57 (95% UI: 32,066.60–50,434.56) in 2021; the percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was 0.28%. Between 2000 and 2010, the estimated incidence of self-harm showed an overall increase, peaking in 2005. Nevertheless, when adjusted for age, the incidence rates indicate a declining trend (Table 2 and Figure 2).

Table 2. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) incidence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 2. Trend in incidence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

DALYs of self-harm in Iran from 1990 to 2021

Age-standardized rate DALYs (per 100,000) of self-harm in 1990 was 350.18 (95% UI: 287.04–382.31) versus 226.63 (95% UI: 202.91–250.46) in 2021; the percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was −0.35% and showed a decreased DALYs. All-ages count estimates increased from 188,787 (95% UI: 148,375–206,949) in 1990 to 203,257 (95% UI: 183,865–225,136) in 2021vs. ; the percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was 0.08 (Table 3 and Figure 3).

Table 3. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) DALYs of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 3. Trend in DALYs of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Suicide mortality in Iran from 1990 to 2021

Age-standardized rate (per 100,000) of suicide mortality in 1990 was 6.26 (95% UI: 5.26–6.9) versus 4.12 (95% UI: 3.72–4.58) in 2021; the percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was −0.34% and showed a decreased trend. The incidence of suicide-related mortality in 2021 amounted to 3,708 individuals. This figure indicates an increase when compared to 1990, during which the recorded number of suicide deaths was 3,069 (Table 4 and Figure 4).

Table 4. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) of suicide mortality in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 4. Trend in suicide mortality in Iran, 1990–2021.

The sex-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality in Iran

There are differences between males and females in the prevalence, incidence, DALYs and suicide mortality of self-harm. In 1990, the prevalence of self-harm was lower in males than in females. For males, the age-standardized rate (per 100,000) was 136.66 (95% UI: 116.78–162.01); for females, it was 212.79 (95% UI: 176.25–258.02). In 2021, the prevalence of self-harm was higher in males (137.62 per 100,000) than in females (124.82 per 100,000). Since 2015, a notable shift in the prevalence rates of self-harm among men and women has been observed, signaling an epidemiological transformation. By 2021, the incidence of self-harm reached a total of 64,913 cases among males (95% UI: 54,867–76,963) and 57,867 cases among females (95% UI: 48,020–70,468) (Table 5 and Figure 5).

Table 5. Sex-specific prevalence, incidence, and DALYs of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 5. Sex-specific prevalence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

The incidence of self-harm in males and females has had a different trend. Since 1990, the incidence of self-harm in males has shown a relatively stable trend with a slight increase. In contrast, a decreasing trend can be seen in females; however, in 2020, the incidence was close to that of males, and in 2021, it shows an increasing trend again (Table 5 and Figure 6). In 2021, age-standardized rate of suicide mortality (per 100,000) in males was 6.04 (95% UI: 5.14–6.67), and in females was 2.14 (95% UI: 1.85–2.74). The suicide mortality rate in males compared to females has been higher since 1990 and has increased over time. In 2021, there were 2,398 suicide mortality among males, compared with 906 suicide mortality among females (Table 6 and Figure 7).

Figure 6. Sex-specific incidence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Table 6. Sex-specific suicide mortality in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 7. Sex-specific suicide mortality in Iran, 1990–2021.

The age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality in Iran

In 2021, the age-specific rate of suicide mortality (per 100,000) was highest among individuals aged 15–39 years, at 6.82 (95% UI: 6.09–7.48). For both males and females, the highest age-specific rate of suicide mortality (per 100,000) was among individuals aged 15–39 years, at 10.01 (95% UI: 8.57–11.06) and 3.51 (95% UI: 3–4.42), respectively (Table 7 and Figure 8).

Table 7. Age-specific suicide mortality in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 8. Age-specific suicide mortality in Iran, 1990–2021.

The burden of self-harm and suicide mortality stratified by provinces

The subnational burden of self-harm and suicide mortality showed that the highest age-standardized prevalence rate per 100,000 in 2021 was in Ilam (188.33 [95% UI: 157.11–223.85]), and the lowest was in Zanjan (106.84 [95% UI: 90.84–127.12]) (Table 1 and Figure 9). The highest self-harm counts were in Tehran (18,736 [95% UI: 15,979–22,234]), and the lowest was in Semnan (945 [95% UI: 799–1,128]) (Table 1 and Figure 10). The highest age-standardized suicide mortality rate per 100,000 was in Ilam (10.68 [95% UI: 4.58–12.93]) (Table 4 and Figure 11).

Figure 9. Age-standardized rate (per 100,000) prevalence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021.

Figure 10. All-ages prevalence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021.

Figure 11. Age-standardized suicide mortality rate (per 100,000) in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021.

Discussion

The present study aimed to investigate the impact of self-harm and suicide mortality across different sex and age groups in Iran from 1990 to 2021. It additionally sought to estimate the prevalence, incidence, disability and mortality rates associated with these issues, analyzing data at both national and subnational levels to provide a comprehensive understanding of their distribution and burden.

Over the past three decades, the patterns of self-harm and suicide mortality in Iran have exhibited a decline. The prevalence, incidence, disability attributed to self-harm and the rates of suicide mortality have shown noticeable reductions compared to figures from 1990. The conclusion of the war against Iran in 1988 marked a period when mental health disorders escalated due to the psychological impacts of war-related trauma. Consequently, the rates of self-harm and suicide mortality in 1990 and the subsequent years were significantly elevated. However, over time, these rates transitioned into a sustained downward trajectory, with notable decreases in the prevalence, incidence and disability associated with self-harm, as well as reductions in suicide mortality observed up to 2021.

Studies indicate that war has a profound impact on the mental health of civilians, leading to a noticeable rise in both the prevalence and incidence of mental disorders (Baingana et al., Reference Baingana, Bannon and Thomas2005; Lopez-Ibor et al., Reference Lopez-Ibor, Christodoulou, Maj, Sartorius and Okasha2005; Murthy and Lakshminarayana, Reference Murthy and Lakshminarayana2006). A newly published meta-analysis reveals a notable rise in mental health disorders in regions affected by conflict and war (Lim et al., Reference Lim, Tam, Chudzicka-Czupała, McIntyre, Teopiz, Ho and Ho2022). Wars often lead to a rise in displaced populations, heightened migration, economic instability and the spread of physical illnesses (Lim et al., Reference Lim, Tam, Chudzicka-Czupała, McIntyre, Teopiz, Ho and Ho2022). Consequently, this can result in a rise in mental health disorders within the community, potentially contributing to an increase in instances of self-harm and suicide-related fatalities.

During the past decades, Iran has been affected by economic turmoil and international politics (Danaei et al., Reference Danaei, Farzadfar, Kelishadi, Rashidian, Rouhani, Ahmadnia and Arhami2019). During the 1980s, Iran witnessed a marked increase in the birth rate, which led to a significant increase in population growth. This increase in population growth affected all aspects of the health system, so there was an increased demand for health infrastructure, health care and especially mental health-related care. Effective and efficient measures were taken to increase health and health care, but in the area related to mental health care, access to mental health services did not grow proportionately (Farzadfar et al., Reference Farzadfar, Naghavi, Sepanlou, Saeedi Moghaddam, Dangel, Davis Weaver and Larijani2022), and this was one of the factors that affected mental health.

On the other hand, the stigma related to mental disorders is one of the issues that, although it has faded over time, still stands; therefore, the request related to mental health care has always been associated with stigma (Corrigan et al., Reference Corrigan, Druss and Perlick2014; Taghva et al., Reference Taghva, Farsi, Javanmard, Atashi, Hajebi and Khademi2017). Another effective factor in mental disorders in Iran during recent decades is due to economic turmoil. Studies have shown that mental disorders, as well as self-harm and suicide, increase as a result of economic crises (World Health Organization. Regional Office for E., 2011; Marazziti et al., Reference Marazziti, Avella, Mucci, Della Vecchia, Ivaldi, Palermo and Mucci2021). Some of the consequences of economic crises, such as unemployment, poverty and hyperinflation, are associated with an increase in mental disorders, such as depression and suicide, and disrupt mental health (Paul and Moser, Reference Paul and Moser2009; Amiri, Reference Amiri2022a, Reference Amiri2022b).

A part of the economic turmoil was caused by the sanctions imposed on Iran (Kokabisaghi, Reference Kokabisaghi2018), which intensified especially since 2011. Although the factors affecting mental disorders, especially self-harm and suicide mortality, have had cumulative effects in Iran over the past decades, unlike depression and anxiety disorders, the prevalence of self-harm and suicide mortality is low in Iran, and it is lower than the world average and many countries with a high level of social welfare. The dominant religion of Iran is Islam, and in most Islamic countries, the suicide rate is low (Pritchard and Amanullah, Reference Pritchard and Amanullah2007; Mirhashemi et al., Reference Mirhashemi, Motamedi, Mirhashemi, Taghipour and Danial2016; Lew et al., Reference Lew, Lester, Kõlves, Yip, Chen, Chen and Ibrahim2022). This could be partly due to the role of religion. In Islam, suicide and self-harm are prohibited, and the sanctity of life is emphasized in Islamic teachings (Ali, Reference Ali2000). Of course, less access to mental health care alone is not the determining factor. There is a stigma attached to suicide for families (Wyllie et al., Reference Wyllie, Robb, Sandford, Etherson, Belkadi and O’Connor2025). The stigma associated with suicide is important in Iranian culture (Masoomi et al., Reference Masoomi, Hosseinikolbadi, Saeed, Sharifi, Jalali Nadoushan and Shoib2022). One significant obstacle to accessing mental health services in Iran is the social stigma surrounding psychiatric issues (Taghva et al., Reference Taghva, Farsi, Javanmard, Atashi, Hajebi and Khademi2017). Research conducted in Iran indicates that women often attempt to conceal their suicide attempts due to the fear of being stigmatized by society (Azizpour et al., Reference Azizpour, Taghizadeh, Mohammadi and Vedadhir2018), and the burden of this stigma causes many individuals and families to not seek mental health care despite the need for mental health professionals and mental health care providers (Tay et al., Reference Tay, Alcock and Scior2018). Suicide is heavily stigmatized in predominantly Muslim countries like Iran, and similarly, other religious communities are not immune to this issue (Shoib et al., Reference Shoib, Armiya’u, Nahidi, Arif and Saeed2022).

The differences between sexes in self-harm and suicide mortality have consistently drawn the attention of researchers. Studies exploring these disparities reveal that suicide mortality is notably higher among males compared to females. Data published by the WHO further supports this finding, highlighting that, on a global scale, the age-standardized suicide rate for males is 2.3 times greater than that of females (World Health Organization, 2021). Major depressive disorder constitutes a significant factor contributing to suicide. While its prevalence is observed to be twice as high among females compared to males, the likelihood of suicide among females is markedly lower, amounting to only one-fourth of the probability seen in males (Murphy, Reference Murphy1998). The higher incidence of suicide among men has been attributed to several factors, including contrasting behavioral and emotional tendencies between genders. Men often prioritize independence and decisiveness, perceiving the admission of needing assistance as a sign of weakness, which leads them to avoid seeking help. On the other hand, women tend to emphasize interdependence and are more likely to seek support from friends and accept help readily, contributing to differing responses in times of emotional distress (Murphy, Reference Murphy1998).

This study represents the first comprehensive endeavor to analyze trends in self-harm and suicide in Iran since 1990, offering gender- and age-specific estimates. However, it is subject to certain limitations extensively discussed within the framework of the GBD study. Challenges include issues related to the quality and collection of primary data, as well as inconsistencies in data availability. Moreover, the risk factors assessed are constrained by the exclusion of various potentially significant risk factors and covariates. The impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic further complicates the interpretation and analysis of findings. A more detailed discussion on the methodological constraints inherent in the GBD study is available in other sources (Brauer et al., Reference Brauer, Roth, Aravkin, Zheng, Abate, Abate and Gakidou2024; Ferrari et al., Reference Ferrari, Santomauro, Aali, Abate, Abbafati, Abbastabar and Murray2024). GBD estimates are often derived from modeled data, particularly in contexts where the quality of surveillance systems is insufficient or constrained

Health implications

The gathered data highlights the trends of suicide and suicide mortality in Iran over the past three decades. Despite notable advancements in physical health within the Iranian healthcare system during this period, demographic shifts and lifestyle changes have exposed gaps in addressing mental health. Efforts to improve awareness around mental health and ensure broader access to mental health services have remained insufficient. To address these challenges effectively, it is crucial to prioritize mental health literacy and expand access to care as key components in health policy development.

Conclusion

The present study showed that despite demographic changes, economic turmoil and war, self-harm and suicide mortality have had a decreasing trend in Iran. Suicide mortality in males was higher than in females, self-harm was more common in females in past decades, and in recent years, it was lower than in males.

Open peer review

To view the open peer review materials for this article, please visit http://doi.org/10.1017/gmh.2025.10104.

Abbreviations

DALYs

disability-adjusted life years

GBD

global burden of disease, encapsulating a comprehensive assessment of health losses due to diseases and injuries worldwide

ICD

International Classification of Diseases, providing a standard framework for categorizing health conditions

SEV

summary exposure value, quantifying exposure levels to specific risk factors

YLDs

years lived with a disability

YLLs

years of life lost due to premature death

Data availability statement

The data sources of this study were taken from GBD 2021, which is publicly available. In this way, the data can be accessed through the links below: https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-results/ https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-compare/

Acknowledgments

The data sources of this study were taken from GBD 2021, which is publicly available.

Author contribution

Sohrab Amiri: Conceptualization, extraction, analysis, writing and revision.

Jannat Mashayekhi: Writing and revision.

Financial support

The study received no financial support.

Competing interests

The authors declare none.

Ethics statement

The data sources of this study were taken from GBD 2021, which is publicly available.

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Figure 0

Table 1. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) prevalence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 1

Figure 1. Trend in prevalence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 2

Table 2. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) incidence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 3

Figure 2. Trend in incidence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 4

Table 3. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) DALYs of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 5

Figure 3. Trend in DALYs of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 6

Table 4. All-ages counts and age-standardized rate (per 100,000) of suicide mortality in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 7

Figure 4. Trend in suicide mortality in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 8

Table 5. Sex-specific prevalence, incidence, and DALYs of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 9

Figure 5. Sex-specific prevalence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 10

Figure 6. Sex-specific incidence of self-harm in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 11

Table 6. Sex-specific suicide mortality in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 12

Figure 7. Sex-specific suicide mortality in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 13

Table 7. Age-specific suicide mortality in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021

Figure 14

Figure 8. Age-specific suicide mortality in Iran, 1990–2021.

Figure 15

Figure 9. Age-standardized rate (per 100,000) prevalence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021.

Figure 16

Figure 10. All-ages prevalence of self-harm in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021.

Figure 17

Figure 11. Age-standardized suicide mortality rate (per 100,000) in Iran, stratified by provinces, 1990–2021.

Author comment: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R0/PR1

Comments

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Review: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Percentage change was use for establishing trend. While percentage change is great for doing the trend in the data. I encourage adding a moving average as the data seem to be noisy. There were instance that the percentage change was negative and some positive. The trends in the data seems to have a lot of noise even though it is from the Global survey.

If this comment is not deemed relevant, will accept the paper as it is still well discussed.

Review: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

Advantages: Relevance and Importance: This study offers a thorough national and subnational overview of suicide and self-harm in Iran, a region with distinct social and political factors influencing mental health. Suicide and self-harm are serious public health issues worldwide. Use of GBD Data: To ensure methodological rigor and comparability with other studies, the manuscript makes appropriate use of the large and standardized GBD dataset. Detailed Stratification: For policymakers and healthcare planners, the stratification by sex, age, and location improves the specificity and usefulness of the results. Clear Trend Presentation: In spite of sociopolitical obstacles, the manuscript highlights significant epidemiological changes over the course of three decades. Opportunities for Development: Flow and Clarity: Repetitive sentences or ideas that could be shortened for clarity and conciseness can be found in some sections, particularly the abstract and introduction. For instance, the abstract contains two repetitions of methods and results. To improve readability, make sure that the transitions between sections are more seamless. Interpretation of Data: According to the manuscript, the absolute number of self-harm cases rose while the age-standardized prevalence of self-harm declined. For readers who are not familiar with these metrics, the discussion should highlight and provide a clearer explanation of this significant epidemiological phenomenon (population growth and demographic changes affecting counts). It would be helpful to clarify whether the reported "-0.25" change in the prevalence of self-harm is a percentage, annual rate, or rate ratio. Units that are clear are crucial. Statistical Information: The manuscript would benefit from more detailed explanations of how uncertainty was managed and the implications of overlapping intervals on statistical significance, even though the use of 95% uncertainty intervals is appropriate. Statistical Detail: While the use of 95% uncertainty intervals is appropriate, the manuscript would benefit from clearer explanations on how uncertainty was handled and implications of overlapping intervals on statistical significance. Details about data quality, potential biases in the GBD estimates for Iran, and limitations inherent to modeling self-harm and suicide mortality data (such as underreporting due to stigma or misclassification) should be elaborated. Discussion and Context: The discussion briefly mentions demographic changes, economic turmoil, and war but could be expanded to interpret how these factors might influence the observed trends and what interventions might address the burden effectively. Comparison with neighboring countries or global trends could contextualize Iran’s situation better. Formatting and Minor Corrections: There are some formatting issues, such as repeated abstract text and abrupt line breaks, which need correction before publication. The use of citations in the text needs to be consistent and formatted according to journal guidelines. Minor grammatical improvements are needed for clarity (e.g., “self-harm harm” in the introduction should be “self-harm”). Additional Suggestions: Including visual aids such as trend graphs and maps would enhance the manuscript’s impact, especially for the subnational analysis. Consider adding a brief policy recommendation section based on findings to guide future mental health interventions in Iran.

Comments

The manuscript is very important and timely, as there is more attention to the issue of mental health and prevention of suicide, globally and also in the area. The GBD 2021 data were employed to analyze long-term trends and estimated national and subnational burden of self-harm and suicide in Iran, it is a solid foundation for future studies.

The authors succinctly point to important trends, such as an overall reduction in the prevalence of self-harm across each time period (31 years) and gender inequalities in the rates of both self-harm and suicide This manuscript does a good job of identifying some of the clear findings such as the decline in the prevalence of self-harm across the 31-y time frame and enduring disparities in both the rates of self-harm and suicide mortality by gender. Sex, age and.isSuccessful.Patient sex, age and

location adds significant depth to the analysis and allows for more targeted interpretation. However, I believe the paper could be further strengthened by elaborating on some contextual factors that may have influenced these trends, such as changes in health service availability, sociopolitical developments, stigma, or policy shifts in Iran.

The observed increase in absolute suicide deaths, despite a reduction in age-standardized rates, is an important point that reflects population growth and demographic transitions. Including more interpretation of this dynamic would add value to the discussion.

Overall, the manuscript makes a valuable contribution to the literature on mental health and mortality in the Eastern Mediterranean region. With a few additions related to contextual interpretation and policy implications, the paper would be even more impactful for public health professionals and decision-makers.

Recommendation: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R0/PR4

Comments

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Decision: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R0/PR5

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Author comment: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R1/PR6

Comments

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Review: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R1/PR7

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Line 34, 35: As the population increases, the need for mental health care will also increase.

Who said this, what made you say this, while suicide is mental health related indicator of a country, the quick assumption that increasing population has an increase ot the needs of mental health care is too quick to jump without reference to the data. Also the data is nto even talking about mental health care needs. The article premise may be coming from suicide population but it should not be said in an academic article. This may be said in an opinion piece, but in an academic article, it is best to cite or try to make an appropriate and coherent discussion as to why you say this. Because after this line you proceed to say that the population needs will also increase, indicating education, employment, welfare service etc. While there are papers highlighting its relationship, your paper just bluntly says it. It would be best to cite at this point. Also, that’s not your topic.

I’m not sold out on the highlighted part. it feels an opinion piece rather than an academic discussion on the implications of the data. It gives an idea what could be its effect and cause but it feels lacking, maybe an article specifying this things you’ve said.

In addition, the highlighted part again, "Of course, less access to mental

health care alone is not the determining factor, the stigma associated with mental

disorders is very important in Iranian culture, and the burden of this stigma causes

many individuals and families to not seek mental health care despite the need for

mental health professionals and mental health care providers. Especially in cases of suicide, many families try to hide the cause of death to avoid the stigma it

causes"

what made you say this, was there a qualitative study that explored those cases of suicide where the family had stigma about it and failed to seek help or assistance with regards to it.

I agree that this things are true but the thing is, it feels more of an opinion rather than an academic discussion. To improve it, I suggest find papers or articles that explore these things you have said and this would allow you explain it properly and have you backed up.

Recommendation: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R1/PR8

Comments

The interpretation of demographic effects is important, especially the observation that absolute suicide deaths increased despite declining age-standardized rates, due to population growth and demographic transition. This point deserves deeper quantitative illustration, for example by presenting population growth alongside mortality trends in a supplementary figure. The discussion mentions war, economic turmoil, sanctions, and stigma, but these factors could be integrated more systematically, perhaps in a subsection linking major socio-political events to observed changes in self-harm and suicide. Although the introduction references global suicide rates, the discussion could benefit from direct comparison with other Middle Eastern countries to clarify whether Iran’s trends are unique or consistent with regional patterns. While the manuscript follows the GBD protocol, readers unfamiliar with the framework may struggle with terminology such as YLDs, YLLs, and DALYs. A brief paragraph simplifying these terms would improve accessibility.

The results are thorough but at times repetitive. Multiple sections restate that age-standardized rates decreased while absolute counts increased. This point could be consolidated to avoid redundancy. Figures are informative but could be enhanced with clearer labeling of years, uncertainty intervals, and inflection points such as the 2005 peak in incidence. Tables 5–7 on sex- and age-specific differences could be more impactful if the main message was summarized graphically, for example with a ratio of male-to-female suicide mortality over time.

The discussion section situates findings in historical and cultural context but could be more structured. It would help to first summarize key findings, then provide interpretation in relation to demographics, conflict, and economic pressures, and finally highlight policy implications. The role of religion is mentioned briefly but could be supported with empirical studies. The limitations section should more explicitly acknowledge that GBD estimates rely on modeled data in contexts where surveillance quality is limited.

The abstract could state more clearly the public health significance of findings. Currently it emphasizes descriptive trends but does not fully connect to policy relevance. The impact statement repeats several elements of the abstract and should instead focus on how the findings could inform interventions or health system planning. References need careful correction as some are inconsistently formatted, for example “Bank, T. W. (2 .(021GDP per capita …”. Multiple WHO references list “Regional Office for the Eastern” rather than “World Health Organization. Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean.” Figure captions should be expanded to include sample size, data source, and a one-sentence interpretation.

The manuscript is understandable but requires substantial language polishing for clarity and professionalism. Grammar and syntax should be corrected, for example “The number of suicide mortality in 2021 was 3,708 individuals” should be “The number of suicide deaths in 2021 was 3,708,” and “percentage change from 1990-2021 was -0.25” should be “The percentage change from 1990 to 2021 was -25%.” Repetition should be reduced, for example the phrase “prevalence, incidence, disability, and mortality rates” is overused. Typos include “compeletly teransperant” instead of “completely transparent” and “Demographic translation” instead of “demographic transition.” Some references are truncated or inconsistently capitalized. Formatting errors such as missing spaces before parentheses (for example “world(Knipe…”) should be fixed. Many sentences are too long and should be split for clarity, for example the sentence on population increase and suicide deaths in the discussion could be shortened into two simpler sentences.

Decision: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R1/PR9

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Author comment: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R2/PR10

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Review: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R2/PR11

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

line 127 and 128 “This manuscript was produced as part of the GBD Collaborator Network and following the GBD Protocol.”

It would make the paper better if this summarized rather than referred.

Case definitions (line 142 to 152)

In the title, it states self-harm and suicide, however, in the case definition, it lacks definition on what suicide is and how suicide and self-harm differentiates from each other. To improve, I suggest adding discussion on its difference in the case definition.

This is great work; I look forward to having it done published. Iran’s mental health (suicide and self-harm statistics) trend has to be in the journals. Goodluck and keep it up! You’re doing a great work!

Recommendation: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R2/PR12

Comments

Thanks for addressing all concerns, the manuscript is of great value.

Decision: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R2/PR13

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Author comment: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R3/PR14

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Recommendation: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R3/PR15

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Decision: Sex- and age-specific burden of self-harm and suicide mortality: A national and subnational study in Iran — R3/PR16

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