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The role of the cryosphere for runoff in a highly glacierised alpine catchment, an approach with a coupled model and in situ data

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 September 2024

Astrid Lambrecht*
Affiliation:
Bavarian Academy of Sciences and Humanities, Munich, Germany
Christoph Mayer
Affiliation:
Bavarian Academy of Sciences and Humanities, Munich, Germany
*
Corresponding author: Astrid Lambrecht; Email: astrid.lambrecht@keg.badw.de
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Abstract

Runoff from heavily glacierised catchments, its seasonality and the contribution from different storage units are highly relevant for assessing the seasonal and long-term water supply and flood prediction. Modelling studies on runoff from such basins often use simulated meteorological input (e.g. downscaling products) based on remote observations. We investigate the contribution of snow, firn and ice to runoff in the Vernagtferner basin (Ötztal Alps) from 2020 to 2022, using a physical modelling chain driven by a local observation network. We use the SNOWPACK model to simulate snow/ice development at observation sites and the Alpine3D model to calculate accumulation and melt at the catchment scale. Basin discharge is estimated using a gridded version of the HBV-ETH model. This approach largely reproduces observed glacier mass balances, while modelled and measured basin discharge are in good agreement. Snowmelt dominates discharge in the early melt season, while ice melt becomes increasingly important during summer. This is in strong contrast to the near-equilibrium mass balances in the 1980s, when ice melt played a minor role for annual discharge. The strong reduction of the accumulation area leads to a fundamental change from a snowmelt regime to an ice melt regime, which is especially pronounced in 2022.

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Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society
Figure 0

Figure 1. The catchment of Vernagtferner (blue line) with the location of the meteorological stations (HVP, AWS-A, Ablatometer and PS), the snow thickness measurements for the winter mass balance (orange dots) and the gauging station PS (Pegelstation Vernagtbach). Orthophoto from summer 2018 (3D RealityMaps).

Figure 1

Table 1. Meteorological variables measured at the different stations: Pegelstation Vernagtbach (PS), Ablatometer (ABL), AWS-A and Hochvernagtplateau (HVP)

Figure 2

Figure 2. Schematic workflow for the simulation of the snow and ice evolution and the meltwater discharge of Vernagtferner with the coupled model design. The red boxes deliver input from in situ data. The blue boxes represent the model units, while the output is processed with a Matlab script. SNOWPACK provides total precipitation based on snow thickness and other parameters for the Alpin3D, which simulates the spatially distributed runoff components. HBV finally calculates the total discharge from the basin.

Figure 3

Table 2. Mass balance values of Vernagtferner for the model period, based on field observations and model results

Figure 4

Figure 3. Comparison of the simulated and measured snow thicknesses/ice levels at the three automatic stations on Vernagtferner after model calibration. During the shaded periods, only precipitation information at Pegelstation Vernagtbach was available for calibration.

Figure 5

Table 3. Simulated (sim) and measured (meas) point mass balances in mm w.e. at the station locations and the deviation in per cent

Figure 6

Figure 4. Difference between measured and modelled snow thicknesses at the end of winter, based on annual mass balance monitoring (the coloured circles represent all measurements of the simulation period 2019–2022). In addition, the modelled distributed mass balance for the balance year 2019/20 is displayed in the background (accumulation area in white and grey), in comparison with the measured accumulation area for this period (black outline).

Figure 7

Figure 5. Lower panel: Daily mean values of aggregated runoff at the grid-scale, simulated by Alpine3D (blue), the resulting glacier discharge calculated by HBV-ETH (orange) and the discharge measured at the gauging station Pegelstation (red). Upper panel: Ratio of modelled to measured runoff (green) and modelled melt to measured runoff are shown (grey).

Figure 8

Table 4. Modelled (gridscale: Q_A3D, in the river: Q_HBV) and measured seasonal runoff (Q_meas) for periods in summer with discharge measurements until 30th September at the PS gauge

Figure 9

Figure 6. Fraction of snow, ice and firn melt as well as rain in the direct, simulated glacier-wide runoff Q0 (daily mean values expressed as discharge in m3 s−1) for the ablation periods 2020 (a) and 2022 (b). In addition, the basin-wide snowmelt is shown as dark green line. The differences between snow fraction in the runoff and total snowmelt during the beginning of the melt season contributes to the groundwater storage.

Figure 10

Figure 7. Relative contribution of snow (blue), ice (grey) and firn (orange) to the total discharge of the glacierised drainage area. The area of the circles is proportional to the total meltwater production on the glacier, indicated in the right lower corner for the individual years. Rain is not included in the total budget.

Figure 11

Figure 8. Temporal evolution of the runoff composition from different storage units (snow, firn and ice) and rain compared to the total runoff (a). Snow melt is shown as basin wide snow melt and snow melt on the glacier only. The enlarged plot (b) illustrates the firn melt in particular (with a different y-axis scale).

Figure 12

Figure 9. Snow cover on Vernagtferner for the approximate date when meltwater production and gauge discharge reach the same level (27 July 2020, 24 July 2021, 20 June 2022).

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