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Cancer Incidence and Mortality in 260,000 Nordic Twins With 30,000 Prospective Cancers

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 April 2019

Axel Skytthe
Affiliation:
Danish Twin Registry, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
Jennifer R. Harris
Affiliation:
Division of Health Data and Digitalisation, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
Kamila Czene
Affiliation:
Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
Lorelei Mucci
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
Hans-Olov Adami
Affiliation:
Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden Clinical Effectiveness Research Group, Institute of Health and Society, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
Kaare Christensen
Affiliation:
Danish Twin Registry, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
Jacob Hjelmborg*
Affiliation:
Danish Twin Registry, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Biodemography, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
Niels V. Holm
Affiliation:
Danish Twin Registry, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark Department of Oncology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
Thomas S. Nilsen
Affiliation:
Department of Health Studies, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway
Jaakko Kaprio
Affiliation:
Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland Institute for Molecular Medicine FIMM, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
Eero Pukkala
Affiliation:
Department of Social Sciences, University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland Finnish Cancer Registry, Institute for Statistical and Epidemiological Cancer Research, Helsinki, Finland
*
Author for correspondence: Jacob Hjelmborg, Email: jhjelmborg@health.sdu.dk

Abstract

The Nordic countries have comprehensive, population-based health and medical registries linkable on individually unique personal identity codes, enabling complete long-term follow-up. The aims of this study were to describe the NorTwinCan cohort established in 2010 and assess whether the cancer mortality and incidence rates among Nordic twins are similar to those in the general population. We analyzed approximately 260,000 same-sexed twins in the nationwide twin registers in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden. Cancer incidence was determined using follow-up through the national cancer registries. We estimated standardized incidence (SIR) and mortality (SMR) ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) across country, age, period, follow-up time, sex and zygosity. More than 30,000 malignant neoplasms have occurred among the twins through 2010. Mortality rates among twins were slightly lower than in the general population (SMR 0.96; CI 95% [0.95, 0.97]), but this depends on information about zygosity. Twins have slightly lower cancer incidence rates than the general population, with SIRs of 0.97 (95% CI [0.96, 0.99]) in men and 0.96 (95% CI [0.94, 0.97]) in women. Testicular cancer occurs more often among male twins than singletons (SIR 1.15; 95% CI [1.02, 1.30]), while cancers of the kidney (SIR 0.82; 95% CI [0.76, 0.89]), lung (SIR 0.89; 95% CI [0.85, 0.92]) and colon (SIR 0.90; 95% CI [0.87, 0.94]) occur less often in twins than in the background population. Our findings indicate that the risk of cancer among twins is so similar to the general population that cancer risk factors and estimates of heritability derived from the Nordic twin registers are generalizable to the background populations.

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Articles
Copyright
© The Author(s) 2019 
Figure 0

Table 1. Characteristics of the NorTwinCan Cohort of twins from same-sex twin-pairs with follow-up for cancer incidence

Figure 1

Table 2. Observed (O) and expected (E) numbers of deaths and SMR (O/E) with 95% CI among same-sex twins in the Nordic twin registers, by country and sex

Figure 2

Table 3. Observed (O) and expected (E) numbers of deaths and SMR (O/E) with 95% CI among same-sex twins in the Nordic twin registers, by zygosity

Figure 3

Table 4. Observed (O) and expected (E) numbers of cancer cases (All Sites But Nonmelanoma Skin Cancer) and SIR (O/E) with 95% CI among same-sex twins in the Nordic twin registers, by country and sex

Figure 4

Table 5. Observed (O) and expected (E) numbers of cancer cases (All Sites but Nonmelanoma Skin Cancer) and SIR (O/E) with 95% CI among same-sex twins in the Nordic twin registers, by country and zygosity

Figure 5

Table 6. Observed (O) and expected (E) numbers of cancer cases diagnosed by end of follow-up among same-sex twins in the Nordic twin registers, by sex

Figure 6

Table 7. Observed (O) and expected (E) numbers of cancer cases diagnosed by end of follow-up among same-sex twins by zygosity in the Nordic twin registers

Supplementary material: File

Skytthe et al. supplementary material

Table S1 and Figures S1-S3

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