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Estimating the burden of illness caused by domestic waterborne Legionnaires’ disease in Canada: 2015–2019

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 January 2024

Carrie K. M. McMullen
Affiliation:
Foodborne Disease and Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Division, Centre for Foodborne, Environmental and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Infectious Diseases and Vaccination Programs Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Guelph, ON, Canada
Brendan Dougherty*
Affiliation:
Foodborne Disease and Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Division, Centre for Foodborne, Environmental and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Infectious Diseases and Vaccination Programs Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Guelph, ON, Canada
Diane T. Medeiros
Affiliation:
Water Quality Division, Water and Air Quality Bureau, Healthy Environments and Consumer Safety Branch, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
Gordon Yasvinski
Affiliation:
Water Quality Division, Water and Air Quality Bureau, Healthy Environments and Consumer Safety Branch, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
Deepak Sharma
Affiliation:
Water Quality Division, Water and Air Quality Bureau, Healthy Environments and Consumer Safety Branch, Health Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
M. Kate Thomas
Affiliation:
Foodborne Disease and Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Division, Centre for Foodborne, Environmental and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Infectious Diseases and Vaccination Programs Branch, Public Health Agency of Canada, Guelph, ON, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Brendan Dougherty; Email: brendan.dougherty@phac-aspc.gc.ca
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Abstract

Legionellosis is a disease caused by the bacterium Legionella that most commonly presents as Legionnaires’ disease (LD), a severe form of pneumonia. From 2015 to 2019, an average of 438 LD cases per year were reported in Canada. However, it is believed that the actual number of cases is much higher, since LD may be underdiagnosed and underreported. The purpose of this study was to develop an estimate of the true incidence of illnesses, hospitalizations, and deaths associated with LD in Canada. Values were derived using a stochastic model, based on Canadian surveillance data from 2015 to 2019, which were scaled up to account for underdiagnosis and underreporting. Overall, there were an estimated 1,113 (90% CrI: 737–1,730) illnesses, 1,008 (90% CrI: 271–2,244) hospitalizations, and 34 (90% CrI: 4–86) deaths due to domestically acquired waterborne LD annually in Canada from 2015 to 2019. It was further estimated that only 36% of illnesses and 39% of hospitalizations and deaths were captured in surveillance, and that 22% of illnesses were caused by Legionella serogroups and species other than Legionella pneumophila serogroup 1 (non-Lp1). This study highlights the true burden and areas for improvement in Canada’s surveillance and detection of LD.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that no alterations are made and the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained prior to any commercial use and/or adaptation of the article.
Copyright
© Crown Copyright - His Majesty the King in Right of Canada as represented by the Minister of Health, 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Schematic of the multiplier approach used to estimate the annual number of domestically acquired Legionnaires’ disease (LD) illnesses in Canada from 2015 to 2019, adapted from Thomas et al. [21]. Laboratory confirmed illnesses were based on the data from the Canadian Notifiable Disease Surveillance System (CNDSS). Illnesses caused by Legionella pneumophila serogroup 1 (Lp1) comprised roughly 95% of lab confirmed illnesses, and the other 5% were due to non-serogroup 1 L. pneumophila and non-L. pneumophila serogroups and species (non-Lp1). The selected lab test (UAT) cannot diagnose non-Lp1 LD; therefore, separate models were used to achieve a final estimate.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Schematic of the multiplier approach used to estimate the annual number (based on national surveillance data from 2015 to 2019) of hospitalizations and deaths attributable to domestically acquired Legionnaires’ disease (LD) in Canada, adapted from Thomas et al. [22]. National hospitalizations/deaths were based on data from the Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database (DAD) and the Hospital Morbidity Database (HMDB). Hospitalizations/deaths caused by Legionella pneumophila serogroup 1 (Lp1) comprised roughly 95% of cases, and the other 5% were due to non-serogroup 1 L. pneumophila and non-L. pneumophila serogroups and species (non-Lp1). The selected lab test (UAT) cannot diagnose non-Lp1 LD; therefore, separate models were used to achieve a final estimate.

Figure 2

Table 1. Mean (and 90% credibility interval (CrI)) estimated annual Legionnaires’ disease illnesses in Canada, 2015–2019, after accounting for underreporting, underdiagnosis, and proportion attributed to waterborne sources

Figure 3

Table 2. Mean (and 90% credibility interval (CrI)) estimated annual Legionnaires’ disease hospitalizations and deaths in Canada, 2015–2019, after accounting for under- and over-capture of cases in the Discharge Abstract Database (DAD), and underdiagnosis

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