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From acute to chronic: the PREVENT protocol for understanding pain progression after emergency department visits

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 September 2025

Michael Ray*
Affiliation:
Department of Emergency Medicine, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
Andrew C. Meltzer
Affiliation:
Department of Emergency Medicine, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
Timothy C. McCall
Affiliation:
Department of Clinical Research and Leadership, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
Keith Meldrum
Affiliation:
Unaffiliated, Kelowna, BC, Canada
*
Corresponding Author: Michael Ray; Email: michael.ray@email.gwu.edu
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Abstract

Aim:

The Pain Recognition and Evaluation to Validate Effective Neck and back Treatment (PREVENT) study aims to identify cognitive, behavioral, and treatmentrelated predictors of chronic musculoskeletal pain (CMP) development following emergency department (ED) care for acute neck or back pain after trauma.

Background:

CMP is a leading cause of global disability, yet early risk factors for its development remain poorly characterized, particularly in ED settings. This prospective observational study will recruit 246 adult patients presenting with acute (≤ 4 weeks) neck or back pain after a recent trauma. Pain beliefs – measured using pain and attitude questionnaires – serve as the primary independent variable. Mediating variables include catastrophic thinking, fear-avoidance behaviors, low physical activity, poor recovery expectations, and low self-efficacy for pain management. Covariates include demographics, social determinants of health, mental health disorders, and high-risk substance use. The primary outcome is the presence of CMP at six months, defined as pain on most or every day for at least three months. Participants will complete follow-ups at 1, 3, and 6 months. Multivariable logistic regression, mediation analyses, and interaction testing will explore effects of pain beliefs on CMP development. As a secondary aim, a subset of participants will complete Think Aloud cognitive interviews to assess response process validity for the Neck Pain Attitudes Questionnaire (Neck-PAQ), a region-specific adaptation of the Back Pain Attitude Questionnaire, analyzed using a deductive content analysis framework.

Discussion:

This study is among the first to investigate the cognitive and behavioral predictors of pain chronification in the ED. Ethical approval has been obtained from The George Washington University Institutional Review Board. Findings will inform the design of targeted, ED-based screening and intervention strategies, including adaptation of a pain-specific Screening, Brief Intervention, and Referral to Treatment (SBIRT) model. Results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications, conferences, and stakeholder engagement.

Information

Type
Protocol
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Cognitive Risk Model for Chronic Musculoskeletal Pain. This directed acyclic graph (DAG) illustrates hypothesized pathways through which pain beliefs influence the development of chronic musculoskeletal pain (pain frequency) following an ED visit. Psychological and behavioural mediators (grey), confounding variables (white), and primary outcome (blue) are shown, with arrows representing theorized causal relationships.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Study Flowchart. Flowchart outlining the PREVENT study procedures for participant screening, enrolment, and follow-up. Potential participants are identified through electronic medical record pre-screening, followed by in-person eligibility assessment and informed consent. Enrolled participants complete baseline forms and are followed at 1-, 3-, and 6-month intervals, with chart audits conducted at the 1- and 6-month time points. Screening logs are completed for all screened individuals regardless of eligibility or consent status.

Figure 2

Table 1. Study measures & assessment tools

Figure 3

Figure 3. Think Aloud Cognitive Model. This model outlines the cognitive processes engaged by participants during the Think Aloud protocol, including comprehension, recall of relevant knowledge, evaluation of truthfulness, decision making and response selection, and optional reflection and adjustment. Each stage highlights key cognitive skills involved, such as reading comprehension, analytical reasoning, and judgement, used to interpret and respond to pain-related questionnaire items.