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Toward improved comparability of glacier mass-balance estimates: Challenges and recommendations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 May 2026

Regine Hock*
Affiliation:
Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, Alaska, USA
Matthias Huss
Affiliation:
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Sion, Switzerland
Etienne Berthier
Affiliation:
LEGOS, CNES, CNRS, IRD, UPS, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
Matthias Braun
Affiliation:
Institute of Geography, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg, Erlangen, Germany
Alex S. Gardner
Affiliation:
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
Bert Wouters
Affiliation:
Department of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Institute for Marine and Atmosphere Research and Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands
Michael Zemp
Affiliation:
World Glacier Monitoring Service, University of Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland
*
Corresponding author: Regine Hock; Email: regineho@uio.no
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Abstract

Observing glacier mass changes is essential for understanding and projecting the impacts of climate change on sea-level rise, water resources and natural hazards, as well as providing data for developing, calibrating and validating glacier evolution models. The principal methods used to measure glacier mass changes — glaciological, geodetic (surface elevation differencing) and gravimetric — differ in the spatial and temporal scales at which they are most effectively applied. Here, we review these methods in the context of challenges that arise when comparing published mass-balance estimates. Compatibility can be hampered by (1) inconsistent reporting and lack of relevant information; (2) discrepancies in which mass-balance components are included; (3) differences in the time span analyzed; and (4) variations in the spatial domain of the reported mass balance. We provide recommendations for more rigorous and comprehensive reporting of mass-balance estimates to improve comparability and synthesis of reported glacier mass changes, and we emphasize open data and code sharing to enable full reproducibility and future reinterpretation. Our recommendations apply equally to both glacier and ice-sheet mass-balance reporting, and they are generally valid for mass balances simulated by numerical models.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society.
Figure 0

Table 1. Summary of typical characteristics, error and uncertainty sources of the three principal glacier mass-balance methods. ‘Spatial resolution’ refers to the scale of the actual observations. ‘Components’ refer to the components of mass balance captured by the method.Table 1 long description.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Illustration of components of elevation change exemplified with spatially distributed data from Silvrettagletscher, Switzerland, over the period 2012–20. (a) Surface elevation change Δh based on DEM differencing (GLAMOS, 2024). (b) Surface mass balance (derived from process-based model constrained by annual in situ measurements at 17 stakes, and then converted into ice-/firn-equivalent elevation changes) (Huss and others, 2015). (c) Emergence (positive) and submergence (negative values) velocity due to flux divergence computed from the difference between (a) and (b). Surface mass balance is expressed in ice equivalent to facilitate comparison with the other components. Elevation changes due to other components than surface mass change and ice flow (Eqn (1)) are assumed negligible. In panel (d), all components are extracted from four point locations with direct measurements. The glacier is strongly out of balance as indicated by negative surface mass balances across almost the entire glacier.Figure 1 long description.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Annual mass balances (upper panels) extracted from cumulative mass anomalies (lower panels) from GRACE and GRACE-FO for the period April 2022–March 2025 for (a) Alaska and (b) Svalbard. Observational gaps (gray) are filled using spline interpolation. The light red band shows the two-sigma uncertainty in the monthly observations. Specific annual balances in the bar charts are computed in a fixed-date time system using mass-balance years of 1 September–30 August of the following year (‘fixed date’), in the stratigraphic time system (balance between consecutive annual mass minima; ‘stratigraphic’) and using annual linear trends based on a piecewise fit with break points on 1 March of each year (‘piecewise fit’) (Sasgen and others, 2022). Date labels refer to 1 January, while vertical grid lines mark the start of the fixed-date mass-balance year (1 September). The GRACE data were processed following Wouters and others (2019).Figure 2 long description.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Illustration of the effect of the presence of subaqueous ice on elevation differencing for (a) a grounded glacier and (b) a glacier with a floating tongue that retreated onto land. The longitudinal profile before (t1) and after the retreat (t2), and the corresponding elevation change Δh based on DEM data and the actual ice thickness change, are shown for each case. The hatched areas correspond to the glacier thickness losses not captured directly by surface elevation differencing. In the case of a floating tongue (panel b), total ice thickness change can be derived from surface elevation measurements since measured Δh over the floating tongue is approximately 1/10th of the total ice thickness change due to hydrostatic equilibrium. As the grounding line shifts with the retreat of the glacier, the ratio transitions from 0.1 to 1 between points G1 and G2 (the initial and the highest possible location of the grounding line, respectively). However, the precise ratio at each specific point can no longer be accurately determined retrospectively, adding uncertainty to the ice thickness change estimate in this zone.Figure 3 long description.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Violin plot showing the density distribution of glaciological survey dates aggregated by 20° latitude bands. Distributions are shown for the start and end dates of annual balances (Ba), and mid-season dates that separate the end of the winter (Bw) and the beginning of the summer balance (Bs) periods. Vertical dashed and dotted lines refer to median and first and third quantiles, respectively. The count of survey dates per latitude bin for annual (blue) and winter/summer (orange) balances is given on the right. Source: WGMS (2024).Figure 4 long description.

Figure 5

Figure 5. Boxplot of difference of glacier-wide annual and winter mass balance between a fixed-date period (annual: 1 October–30 September, winter: 1 October–30 April) and the actual measurement period (floating-date system) for 11 Swiss glaciers with long-term monitoring starting between 1914 and 2012 and extending until 2024 (n = 432). Since the start date is unknown, for the winter balance, the start of the measurement period is the day of the modeled (glacier-wide) mass minimum (i.e. stratigraphic date). Whiskers extend to the furthest data points that lie within 1.5 times the interquartile range from the quartiles. Crosses refer to outliers. Absolute deviations of measurement dates from 1 October and from 30 April were 12 ± 12 days and 0 ± 22 days (mean ± standard deviation), respectively.Figure 5 long description.

Figure 6

Figure 6. Box plot of differences in mass balance over a full year (Bannual; 1 October to the following 30 September) and the balance over longer/shorter periods (Bshifted) as a function of deviation of mass-balance year-end data from the reference date. Data are based on 14 Swiss glaciers in the period 2000–2020 and derived from a mass-balance model constrained by in situ observations (Huss and others, 2021). Results are aggregated in 10-day periods. The difference is also shown for three glaciers, each color-coded to represent different seasonal mass-balance amplitudes: low (Allalin), intermediate (Silvretta) and high (Gries). Whiskers extend from the box to the furthest data points that lie within 1.5 times the interquartile range from the quartiles. Crosses refer to outliers.Figure 6 long description.