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The effects of total sleep deprivation on bayesian updating

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2023

David L. Dickinson*
Affiliation:
Dept. of Economics, Appalachian State University
Sean P. A. Drummond
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Laboratory for Sleep and Behavioral Neuroscience, University of California, San Diego Psychology Service, Veterans Affairs San Diego Healthcare System
*
*Corresponding author: Dickinson, Dept. of Economics, Appalachian State University, Boone, NC, 28608, dickinsondl@appstate.edu.
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Abstract

Subjects performed a decision task (Grether, 1980) in both a well-rested and experimentally sleep-deprived state. We found two main results: 1) final choice accuracy was unaffected by sleep deprivation, and yet 2) the estimated decision model differed significantly following sleep-deprivation. Following sleep deprivation, subjects placed significantly less weight on new information in forming their beliefs. Because the altered decision process still maintains decision accuracy, it may suggest that increased accident and error rates attributed to reduced sleep in modern society stem from reduced auxiliary function performance (e.g., slowed reaction time, reduced motor skills) or other components of decision making, rather than the inability to integrate multiple pieces of information.

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Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
The authors license this article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Copyright
Copyright © The Authors [2008] This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Figure 0

Figure 1: A week in the sleep lab: time line. (Some subjects stayed in the lab one less day and participated in a one-night sleep-deprivation study. Our examination of sleep-loss effects after one night of sleep deprivation allowed us to combine subjects from different sleep studies, whether they participated in a one-night or two-night study.)

Figure 1

Table 1: Proportion of Cage A choices as a fraction of total observations (Bayesian probabilities in parenthesis)

Figure 2

Table 2: Probit estimates of models (1), (2), and (3) (random effects specification. p-values given in parenthesis).

Figure 3

Table 3: Summary results from pooled data (experimental and Control).