Hostname: page-component-89b8bd64d-j4x9h Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-05-07T01:56:22.787Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Changes in COVID-19-related outcomes, potential risk factors and disparities over time

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 August 2021

Youfei Yu
Affiliation:
Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
Tian Gu
Affiliation:
Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
Thomas S. Valley
Affiliation:
Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA Institute for Healthcare Policy and Innovation, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
Bhramar Mukherjee*
Affiliation:
Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA Rogel Cancer Center, University of Michigan Medicine, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
Lars G. Fritsche
Affiliation:
Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA Rogel Cancer Center, University of Michigan Medicine, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA Center for Statistical Genetics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
*
Author for correspondence: Bhramar Mukherjee, E-mail: bhramar@umich.edu
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

To investigate temporal trends in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related outcomes and to evaluate whether the impacts of potential risk factors and disparities changed over time, we conducted a retrospective cohort study with 249 075 patients tested or treated for COVID-19 at Michigan Medicine (MM), from 10 March 2020 to 3 May 2021. Among these patients, 26 289 were diagnosed with COVID-19. According to the calendar time in which they first tested positive, the COVID-19-positive cohort were stratified into three-time segments (T1: March–June, 2020; T2: July–December, 2020; T3: January–May, 2021). Potential risk factors that we examined included demographics, residential-level socioeconomic characteristics and preexisting comorbidities. The main outcomes included COVID-19-related hospitalisation and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The hospitalisation rate for COVID-positive patients decreased from 36.2% in T1 to 14.2% in T3, and the ICU admission rate decreased from 16.9% to 2.9% from T1 to T3. These findings confirm that COVID-19-related hospitalisation and ICU admission rates were decreasing throughout the pandemic from March 2020 to May 2021. Black patients had significantly higher (compared to White patients) hospitalisation rates (19.6% vs. 11.0%) and ICU admission rates (6.3% vs. 2.8%) in the full COVID-19-positive cohort. A time-stratified analysis showed that racial disparities in hospitalisation rates persisted over time and the estimates of the odds ratios (ORs) stayed above unity in both unadjusted [full cohort: OR = 1.98, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.79, 2.19); T1: OR = 1.70, 95% CI (1.36, 2.12); T2: OR = 1.40, 95% CI (1.17, 1.68); T3: OR = 1.55, 95% CI (1.29, 1.86)] and adjusted analysis, accounting for differences in demographics, socioeconomic status, and preexisting comorbid conditions (full cohort: OR = 1.45, 95% CI (1.25, 1.68); T1: OR = 1.26, 95% CI (0.90, 1.76); T2: OR = 1.29, 95% CI (1.01, 1.64); T3: OR = 1.29, 95% CI (1.00, 1.67)).

Information

Type
Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Descriptive characteristicsa of the COVID-19 tested or diagnosed cohort (n = 249 075)

Figure 1

Fig. 1. COVID-19 Outcomes Stratified by Race/Ethnicity in Each Time Period. Abbreviations: COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; ICU, intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; T1, 10 March 2020, to 30 June 2020; T2, 1 July 2020, to 31 December 2020; T3, 1 January 2021, to 3 May 2021. + Logistic regression with Firth's correction. a Multivariable logistic regression with adjustment 1 (age + sex + race/ethnicity). b Multivariable logistic regression with adjustment 2 (adjustment 1 + Neighbourhood Socioeconomics Disadvantage Index). c Multivariable logistic regression with adjustment 3 (adjustment 2 + comorbidity score).

Figure 2

Table 2. Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals)a of COVID-19-related outcomes from logistic regression

Figure 3

Fig. 2. Hospitalisation (A) and ICU Admission (B) for Black and White Patients in the Full Cohort. Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; NDI, Neighbourhood Socioeconomic Disadvantage Index. The results were from the model logit P(YCOVID = 1|X, Covariate) = β0 + βXX + βRaceRace + βintX × Race + βCovCovariate, where YCOVID denotes hospitalisation (A) or ICU admission (B), and Covariate = age + sex + NDI ( + comorbidity score in the demographic and socioeconomic status models). Results that are statistically significant at the level of 0.05 are in bold.

Supplementary material: File

Yu et al. supplementary material

Yu et al. supplementary material

Download Yu et al. supplementary material(File)
File 314 KB