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The Relative Importance of Global Agricultural Subsidies and Tariffs, Revisited

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 September 2023

Kym Anderson*
Affiliation:
University of Adelaide, Adelaide and Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
Erwin Corong
Affiliation:
Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA
Anna Strutt
Affiliation:
Waikato Management School, University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand
Ernesto Valenzuela
Affiliation:
Federation University, Berwick, Victoria, Australia
*
Corresponding author: Kym Anderson, Email: kym.anderson@adelaide.edu.au
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Abstract

Over the past three decades, tariff protection to farmers has fallen and partly been replaced by domestic support, whilst support for farmers in some emerging economies has grown. Against that backdrop, this paper provides new estimates of national economic impacts of global agricultural tariffs and domestic supports. Using the latest global economy-wide GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) model calibrated to 2017, we simulate (a) the removal of food and agricultural domestic supports and agri-food tariffs and (b) the removal also of tariffs on imports of non-agricultural goods. We find that agricultural support policies are still an important part of the global welfare cost of all goods’ trade-restrictive policies (albeit only half as costly as in 2001), and tariffs still dominate the global welfare cost of all farm-support programs. That farm support could be re-instrumented to relieve natural resource and environmental stresses, boost food and nutrition security, and alleviate poverty and income inequality.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The World Trade Organization
Figure 0

Figure 1. Agricultural NRAs for developing countries: the European Union and all OECD, 1955 to 2020 (%, weighted average using as weights the value of production without assistance).Notes: The pre-1986 five-year average estimates are from Anderson (2009), as are the later developing country average rates, which are for 1985–1989, 2000–2004, and 2014 (the latter from www.ag-incentives.org). Prior to 1986, the rates are for Western Europe and all high-income countries rather than the EU and OECD, respectively.Sources: Anderson (2009), OECD (2021), and www.ag-incentives.org.

Figure 1

Table 1. Agricultural NRA by country, 1986–1988, 2001–2003, 2017–2019, and 2020 (%, weighted average using value of production without assistance as weights)

Figure 2

Figure 2. Component shares of agriculture's PSE, Japan, EU, and all OECD, 1986–1988, 2001–2003, and 2019 (%)Source: OECD (2021).

Figure 3

Table 2. Component shares of agriculture's PSE, by country, 2019 (%)

Figure 4

Table 3. Domestic subsidies and import tariffs on agricultural and food products and on non-agricultural goods in the updated GTAP database, 2017 (%)

Figure 5

Table 4. Gains in welfare from regional and global elimination of domestic subsidies and import tariffs on all agricultural and food products, 2001 (in italics) and 2017 (current US$ billion and %)

Figure 6

Figure 3. Impact on net farm incomesa of removing all of the world's agri-food tariffs and domestic producer subsidies, 2017 (%, omitting those whose change is in the ±3% range). Note:aChange in value of total factor returns to farm sectors (excluding processed agricultural products).Source: Authors’ GTAP model results.

Figure 7

Table 5. Gains in welfare from regional and global elimination of domestic subsidies and import tariffs on all goods, 2001 (in italics) and 2017 (current US$ billion and %)

Supplementary material: File

Anderson et al. supplementary material

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