Hostname: page-component-76d6cb85b7-s74w7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-07-15T14:54:59.945Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Polarized White Attitudes Toward Black Lives: Did The Party Do It?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 June 2026

McKenzie Bennett*
Affiliation:
Political Science, University of Notre Dame College of Arts and Letters, USA
*

Abstract

Among White Americans, have attitudes toward the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement become increasingly polarized between 2016 and 2020, and was that polarization sustained through 2024? This study conceptualizes BLM polarization as a growing divergence in attitudes toward the movement—both in overall evaluations and in widening gaps across key orientations such as partisanship, racial resentment, social dominance orientation (SDO), and authoritarianism. Building upon recent work on partisan polarization, I examine individual-level changes in racial attitudes toward BLM over an extended time period and determine if partisanship or other socio-psychological predispositions predict this change. Through the use of the American National Election Studies (ANES) 2016–2020–2024 panel data, I find that BLM polarization occurred from 2016 to 2020 and remained robust from 2020 to 2024. Racial resentment, SDO, and authoritarianism also served as important factors associated with BLM polarization, alongside party affiliation.

Information

Type
Research Note
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - SA
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the same Creative Commons licence is used to distribute the re-used or adapted article and the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press or the rights holder(s) must be obtained prior to any commercial use.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of American Political Science Association
Figure 0

Figure 1. Density plot of BLM feeling thermometer for White Americans in 2016, 2020, and 2024.

Figure 1

Table 1. The effect of 2016 socio-psychological and political orientations on 2020 BLM feelings (OLS estimates)

Figure 2

Table 2. The effect of 2020 socio-psychological and political orientations on 2024 BLM feelings (OLS estimates)

Figure 3

Table 3. Estimates of cross-lagged effects between feelings about black lives matter and party identification

Figure 4

Table 4. Estimates of cross-lagged effects between feelings about black lives matter and social–psychological orientations

Supplementary material: File

Bennett supplementary material

Bennett supplementary material
Download Bennett supplementary material(File)
File 163.1 KB