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Clinical epidemiology and a novel predicting nomogram of central line associated bloodstream infection in burn patients

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 May 2023

Yangping Wang
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Qimeng Li
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Qin Shu
Affiliation:
Laboratory of Trauma Care, School of Nursing, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Menglong Liu
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Ning Li
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Wen Sui
Affiliation:
Center for Joint Surgery, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Zhiqiang Yuan
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Gaoxing Luo
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
Haisheng Li*
Affiliation:
Institute of Burn Research, State Key Laboratory of Trauma, Burns and Combined Injury, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing China
*
Corresponding author: Haisheng Li; Email: lee58427@163.com
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Abstract

Burn patients are at high risk of central line–associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI). However, the diagnosis of such infections is complex, resource-intensive, and often delayed. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiology of CLABSI and develop a prediction model for the infection in burn patients. The study analysed the infection profiles, clinical epidemiology, and central venous catheter (CVC) management of patients in a large burn centre in China from January 2018 to December 2021. In total, 222 burn patients with a cumulative 630 CVCs and 5,431 line-days were included. The CLABSI rate was 23.02 CVCs per 1000 line-days. The three most common bacterial species were Acinetobacter baumannii, Staphylococcus aureus, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa; 76.09% of isolates were multidrug resistant. Compared with a non-CLABSI cohort, CLABSI patients were significantly older, with more severe burns, more CVC insertion times, and longer total line-days, as well as higher mortality. Regression analysis found longer line-days, more catheterisation times, and higher burn wounds index to be independent risk factors for CLABSI. A novel nomogram based on three risk factors was constructed with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) value of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.782–0.898) with a mean absolute error of calibration curve of 0.023. The nomogram showed excellent predictive ability and clinical applicability, and provided a simple, practical, and quantitative strategy to predict CLABSI in burn patients.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Flow chart of patient selection.

Figure 1

Figure 2. The annual incidence of CLABSI in burn patients. (a) The annual incidence of CVCs with CLABSI per 1,000-day line-days. (b) The annual percentage of burn patients with CLABSI in total burn patients.

Figure 2

Table 1. The distribution of drug resistance of pathogens in CLABSI

Figure 3

Table 2. Clinical features of burn patients with and without CLABSI

Figure 4

Table 3. Catheter management of central venous catheters with and without CLASBI

Figure 5

Table 4. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of risk factors for CLABSI in burn patients

Figure 6

Figure 3. Construction and evaluation of nomogram for predicting CLABSI in burn patients. (a) The developed nomogram for predicting CLABSI in burn patients; (b) ROC curves of nomogram; (c) calibration curve analysis of nomogram; (d) decision curve analysis of nomogram.

Supplementary material: File

Wang et al. supplementary material

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