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Global, regional, and national disease burden and attributable risk factors of HIV/AIDS in older adults aged 70 years and above: a trend analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease study 2019

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 December 2023

Min Du
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
Min Liu
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
Jue Liu*
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China Institute for Global Health and Development, Peking University, Beijing, China Global Center for Infectious Disease and Policy Research & Global Health and Infectious Diseases Group, Peking University, Beijing, China Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases (Peking University), Ministry of Education, Beijing, China
*
Corresponding author: Jue Liu; Email: jueliu@bjmu.edu.cn
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Abstract

We aimed to assess the burden and trend of the HIV/AIDS epidemic among older adults over the past three decades at different geographical levels, based on the data collected from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) study 2019. This assessment identified the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) using Joinpoint regression analysis. Globally, the incidence of HIV/AIDS has decreased (AAPC = −3.107); however, the overall prevalence has consistently increased (AAPC = 5.557). Additionally, both mortality (AAPC = 2.166) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs; AAPC = 2.429) have increased. The highest increasing trends in female HIV/AIDS incidence and prevalence were observed in the Central Asia region. However, for males, these trends were observed in the Oceania region and the high-income Asia Pacific region, respectively. In recent decades, females aged 70–74 years had the highest incidence and prevalence, while males aged 70–74 years had highest mortality and DALYs in low social development index (SDI) regions. Unsafe sex resulted in 15 381.16 deaths, accounting for 90.73% of all HIV/AIDS deaths, and 331 140.56 DALYs, accounting for 91.12% of all HIV/AIDS DALYs. The HIV/AIDS disease burden differs by region, age, and sex among older adults. Sexual health education and targeted screening for older adults are recommended.

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Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. HIV/AIDS incidence and prevalence among older adults in 1990 and 2019, and their temporal trends from 1990 to 2019

Figure 1

Figure 1. Global trends in the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of HIV/AIDS from 1990 to 2019. (a) Incidence; (b) prevalence; (c) mortality; (d) DALYs.APC, annual percentage change; DALYs, disability adjusted life years

Figure 2

Figure 2. Trends in the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of HIV/AIDS in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. (a) Incidence; (b) prevalence; (c) mortality; (d) DALYs.AAPC, average annual percentage change; DALYs, disability adjusted life years

Figure 3

Figure 3. Incidence and trend of HIV/AIDS from 1990 to 2019 by global, SDI, GBD, WHO, and World Bank income regions.AAPC, average annual percentage changes; CI, confidence interval; GBD, Global Burden of Diseases; SDI, social development index; WHO, World Health Organization

Figure 4

Table 2. HIV/AIDS mortality and DALYs among older adults in 1990 and 2019, and their temporal trends from 1990 to 2019

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