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On a degenerate diffusive free boundary model for rabies in fox populations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2026

Yang Zhang
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Harbin Normal University, Harbin, China (zhangyanghit0217@163.com)
Yihong Du*
Affiliation:
School of Science and Technology, University of New England, Armidale, Australia (ydu@une.edu.au)
Zhuo Ma
Affiliation:
School of Science and Technology, University of New England, Armidale, Australia (mazh25@foxmail.com)
*
*Corresponding author.
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Abstract

In this paper, we use a degenerate reaction-diffusion system with free boundaries to model the spatial spread of rabies among foxes, whose population is divided into three sub-populations: susceptible ($S$), infected ($E$), and rabid ($I$). Based on established biological observations, susceptible and infected foxes are assumed to be territorial (random diffusion is ignored for $E$ and $S$ in the model), whereas rabid foxes disperse randomly (random diffusion is assumed for $I$), causing the spread of the disease. While $S$ evolves over the entire real line $\mathbb{R}$, $E$ and $I$ are found only in the infected region represented by an interval $[g(t), h(t)]$, which expands with moving fronts $x = g(t)$ and $x = h(t)$ as time $t$ increases. We show that this system admits a unique global solution and then analyse its dynamics and establish a spreading-vanishing dichotomy in certain natural parameter regimes. Moreover, we supply some simple sufficient conditions for the vanishing and spreading of the rabies, respectively. For example, we show that if the corresponding ODE system has basic reproduction number $\mathcal{R}_0 \gt 1$, then a spreading-vanishing dichotomy holds, and the outcome depends on the initial size of the infected region, while if a certain quantity $\mathcal R_0^* \in (\mathcal R_0,\infty)$ is no bigger than 1, then the rabies will always vanish. The degenerate nature of the model, combined with the evolving infected region, causes considerable difficulties in the mathematical treatment, both in proving the well-posedness and in understanding the long-time dynamics. This paper appears to be the first to treat a free boundary model where one reaction-diffusion equation is coupled with two ordinary differential equations.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Royal Society of Edinburgh.