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Comparative analysis of real estate-based identification strategies for heirs’ property

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 February 2026

Scott Callahan*
Affiliation:
Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture , Kansas City, MO, USA
Andrew Keller
Affiliation:
Agricultural Risk Policy Center, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND, USA
*
Corresponding author: Scott Callahan; Email: scott.callahan@usda.gov
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Abstract

Researchers have struggled to identify heirs’ property (HP) via the use of real estate records for years. This paper evaluates seven distinct methodological approaches to identify HP using CoreLogic’s national property database. We find minimal convergence among these algorithms, with different methods flagging largely non-overlapping sets of properties. Certain approaches show promise – particularly in identifying properties with characteristics consistent with documented HP patterns. The lack of agreement across methods, however, makes estimating the prevalence of HP difficult. Several paths exist forward to identify HP such as adding extra property characteristics into existing algorithms, developing more sophisticated algorithms, and establishing protocols for cross-jurisdictional validation.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is a work of the US Government and is not subject to copyright protection within the United States. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association.
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© USDA Economic Research Service, 2026
Figure 0

Table 1. Explanation of the underlying characteristics of each search algorithm

Figure 1

Table 2. Descriptive statistics of acreage and estimated market value of candidate heirs’ property based on the identification algorithms

Figure 2

Table 3. Percentage overlap between candidate heirs’ property based on the identification algorithms

Figure 3

Table 4. Percentage of observations containing other hypothetical heirs’ property characteristics by heirs’ property identification algorithm

Figure 4

Table 5. Percentage of parcels and acres of candidate heirs’ property by land use