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EEG-based frontal excitation/inhibition balance as an objective biomarker for cognitive fatigue across multiple sclerosis and Long COVID

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 January 2026

Stefanie Linnhoff
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Otto-von-Guericke University, Magdeburg, Germany Center for Behavioral Brain Sciences, Otto-von-Guericke University, Magdeburg, Germany
Roi Cohen Kadosh
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of Surrey, Guildford, UK
Tino Zaehle*
Affiliation:
Department of Neurology, Otto-von-Guericke University, Magdeburg, Germany Center for Behavioral Brain Sciences, Otto-von-Guericke University, Magdeburg, Germany Institute for Medical Psychology, Otto-von-Guericke University, Magdeburg, Germany German Centre for Mental Health (DZPG), partner site Halle-Jena-Magdeburg, Magdeburg, Germany
*
Corresponding author: Tino Zaehle; Email: tino.zaehle@med.ovgu.de
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Abstract

Background

Cognitive fatigue is a prevalent and disabling symptom in neurological and post-viral conditions, including multiple sclerosis (MS) and Long COVID. Assessment relies largely on self-report, and no validated objective biomarker exists, limiting reliable diagnosis and treatment monitoring. The aperiodic exponent of the Electroencephalogram (EEG) power spectrum, reflecting the excitation/inhibition (E/I) balance, is a promising candidate biomarker. We examined whether aperiodic exponent values can objectively identify pathological fatigue and assessed their classification accuracy.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study, including 119 participants: 36 healthy controls, 33 with Long COVID-related fatigue (LCOF), and 50 with MS (23 fatigued and 27 nonfatigued). Resting-state EEGs were analyzed, and associations with fatigue ratings and group differences were assessed. Logistic mixed-effects regression models evaluated classification accuracy for fatigue status.

Results

Lower frontal aperiodic exponents were associated with higher cognitive fatigue across participants. Fatigued individuals, regardless of diagnosis, showed reduced frontal exponent values compared with nonfatigued groups, while no differences emerged in occipital regions. Logistic regression confirmed that frontal exponent values significantly predicted fatigue status, improving classification accuracy beyond age and depression, with good sensitivity and specificity.

Conclusions

The frontal aperiodic exponent is a regionally specific biomarker of cognitive fatigue across MS and LCOF. Mechanistic interpretation suggests an altered prefrontal E/I balance, which could inform the development of targeted interventions to alleviate cognitive fatigue. It offers a clinically accessible tool to complement self-report, support trial stratification, and enable objective treatment monitoring. Importantly, its presence across distinct disorders highlights its value as a transdiagnostic marker of fatigue.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Group characteristics, mean (± SD)

Figure 1

Figure 1. Multifaceted evidence linking frontal aperiodic exponent to fatigue. (a) Topographical distribution of p-values from Kendall’s $ \tau $ correlations between aperiodic exponent values and subjective fatigue scores. Electrodes are color-coded according to the statistical significance of the observed correlations. (b) Group comparison of the aperiodic exponent values in the frontal region of interest. Boxplots show average aperiodic exponent values for each group (HCs, LCOF, and MS with fatigue [MS + F] and without fatigue [MS − F]), with individual data points overlaid (*p < .05). (c) Association between subjective fatigue scores and the average aperiodic exponent values within the frontal region of interest. Each point represents a single subject, color-coded by group (HC, LCOF, and MS group). The black line indicates the linear trend with a 95% confidence interval. (d) Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the full logistic regression model (blue) and the model using only the aperiodic exponent as a predictor (red). The dashed diagonal line represents the performance of a random classifier.

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