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New methods of geothermal potential assessment in the Pannonian basin

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 February 2020

Annamária Nádor*
Affiliation:
Mining and Geological Survey of Hungary, Columbus 17–23, H-1145Budapest, Hungary
László Sebess-Zilahi
Affiliation:
Mining and Geological Survey of Hungary, Columbus 17–23, H-1145Budapest, Hungary
Ágnes Rotár-Szalkai
Affiliation:
Mining and Geological Survey of Hungary, Columbus 17–23, H-1145Budapest, Hungary
Ágnes Gulyás
Affiliation:
Mining and Geological Survey of Hungary, Columbus 17–23, H-1145Budapest, Hungary
Tamara Markovic
Affiliation:
Croatian Geological Survey, Sachsova 2, P.O. Box 268, HR-10001Zagreb, Croatia
*
Author for correspondence: Annamária Nádor, Email: nador.annamaria@mbfsz.gov.hu

Abstract

The Pannonian basin in Central Europe is well known for its rich geothermal resources. Although geothermal energy has been utilised, mainly for direct use purposes, for a long time, there are still a lot of untapped resources. This paper presents novel methods for outlining and assessing the theoretical and technical potential of partly still unknown geothermal reservoirs, based on a case study from the Dráva basin, one of the sub-basins of the Pannonian basin along the Hungarian–Croatian border. The presented methods include reservoir delineation based on combining geological bounding surfaces of the Upper Pannonian basin-fill units with a set of isotherms deriving from a conductive geothermal model. The geothermal potential of each identified reservoir was calculated by a Monte Carlo method, which was considered as being represented by the heat content of the fluids stored in the effective pore space (‘moveable fluid’). The results underline the great untapped geothermal potential of the Dráva basin, especially that of the reservoir storing thermal water of 50–75°C, which has the largest volume and the greatest stored heat content.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s) 2020
Figure 0

Table 1. Categories of geothermal potential (Rybach, 2010)

Figure 1

Figure 1. Thickness of Neogene sediments in the Pannonian basin (Horváth, 1988). DB refers to the Dráva basin case study area, the top and bottom surfaces of whose most important potential porous geothermal reservoirs are displayed in Figures 3–6, also showing the location of the regional geological cross section in Figure 2.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Geological cross section of the Dráva basin (Rotár-Szalkai et al., 2018). Location is shown in Figure 1.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Top surface of the BF50–75 reservoir. The white patch indicates that the 50°C isotherm is most probably found in the very thick Quaternary sediments in the central depression of the Dráva basin (Figure 2), which is not considered as a sensu stricto ‘basin-fill reservoir’ due to its relatively low temperature.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Bottom surface of the BF50–75 reservoir.

Figure 5

Figure 5. Top surface of the BF75–100 reservoir.

Figure 6

Figure 6. Bottom surface of the BF75–100 reservoir.

Figure 7

Table 2. Input and calculated parameters for quantifying the technical potential

Figure 8

Table 3. Input parameter values for the Dráva basin

Figure 9

Table 4. Estimated heat content of effective porosity, at confidence levels P90, P50, P10, with and without applying the recovery factor of 0,1

Figure 10

Figure 7. Distribution of the estimated theoretical potential according to P90, P50 and P10 for the BF75–100 reservoir in the Dráva basin.

Figure 11

Figure 8. Calculated heat content of the BF reservoirs in the Dráva basin. Note that the BF50–75 reservoir is the most propitious in terms of P10, P50 and P90 values.