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The Right Numeraire or the Just Weights? How to Make BCA Rational and Fair

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 August 2024

Marc Fleurbaey*
Affiliation:
Paris School of Economics and CNRS, Paris, France
James K. Hammitt
Affiliation:
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA
*
Corresponding author: Marc Fleurbaey; Email: marc.fleurbaey@gmail.com
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Abstract

Unweighted benefit–cost analysis (BCA) based on aggregate willingness to pay might be, at long last, falling into disrepute, as it is widely recognized that it exhibits a bias toward the wealthy, and as alternatives are appearing more and more practicable. However, the choice of alternatives is often framed in terms of choosing an alternative metric to willingness to pay in money, such as willingness to pay in healthy life years, or a measure of subjective well-being. It is argued in this paper that (i) a simple summation of individuals’ willingness to pay in any numeraire (e.g., money, healthy life years) is bound to generate non-transitivity issues in a similar way as money-based BCA, and (ii) a metric such as subjective well-being involves distributional value judgments that are too specific to reflect the relevant spectrum in the public debate. The “orthodox” weighted BCA method, which links BCA to an underlying social welfare function, offers more flexibility and guarantees transitive choices. Fortunately, in some relevant cases, these various methods may provide similar results, and the main options currently proposed all give greater weight to the worse off in the population than does unweighted BCA.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis
Figure 0

Figure 1. The compensating variation may be undefined, greater than the endowment.

Figure 1

Figure 2. The compensating variation may be undefined, greater than infinite.

Figure 2

Figure 3. A decision cycle with two situations for compensating variation.

Figure 3

Figure 4. A decision cycle with three situations for the double criterion.

Figure 4

Figure 5. The compensating variation increases with endowment in the numeraire when it is a normal good.

Figure 5

Figure 6. Satisfaction with life under different scale use across individuals.

Figure 6

Figure 7. Two scaling methods for VNM utility functions.