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Four More Years! or So What?

The Mental Health Significance of Barack Obama’s 2012 Presidential Re-Election among Black Adults

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 September 2024

Tony N. Brown*
Affiliation:
Department of Sociology, Rice University, Houston, TX, USA
Quintin Gorman Jr.
Affiliation:
Department of Sociology, Rice University, Houston, TX, USA
Julian Culver
Affiliation:
Department of Sociology, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA
Asia Bento
Affiliation:
Department of Sociology, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
*
Corresponding author: Tony N. Brown; Email: tnbrown@rice.edu
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Abstract

This study investigated the mental health significance of Barack Obama’s 2012 presidential re-election among Blacks. Upon his re-election, we hypothesized Blacks would either feel symbolic empowerment or relative deprivation. They would feel symbolic empowerment because a man who identifies as Black won re-election to the nation’s highest office. His second victory should generate optimism, given his status as a historic first. Alternatively, they would feel relative deprivation because The Great Recession from 2007 to 2009 curtailed what Obama could achieve. More important, he withered when afforded opportunities to challenge White supremacy and championed individual responsibility. Using a quasi-experimental design with nationally representative survey data from the 2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), we predicted Blacks’ preelection and postelection poor mental health days. We found no time period main effects. However, Black men with less than a college degree experienced 1.11 more poor mental health days postelection whereas Black men with a college degree or more experienced 2.93 fewer poor mental health days postelection. These findings support relative deprivation theory.

Information

Type
State of the Discipline
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Hutchins Center for African and African American Research
Figure 0

Table 1. Descriptive Statistics Stratified by Time Period and Gender for Poor Mental Health Days, College Degree or More, and Control Variables among Black Adults in the 2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)

Figure 1

Table 2. Estimates from Negative Binomial Regression Models Stratified by Gender Predicting Poor Mental Health Days Using Time Period, College Degree or More, and Control Variables among Black Adults in the 2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)

Figure 2

Table 3. Sensitivity Analyses: Estimates from Negative Binomial Regression Models Stratified by Gender Predicting Poor Mental Health Days Using Time Period, College Degree or More, and Control Variables in the 2011 or 2012 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)

Figure 3

Fig. 1. Predicted poor mental health days among black men by college degree before and after Barack Obama’s 2012 presidential re-election, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS)