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Evaluating international collaboration on horizon scanning for pharmaceuticals: developing key performance indicators for the international horizon scanning initiative

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 January 2026

Brenda Leeneman*
Affiliation:
Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands Institute for Medical Technology Assessment, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands
Hedwig M. Blommestein
Affiliation:
Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands
Diana M.J. Delnoij
Affiliation:
Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands National Health Care Institute, the Netherlands
Maureen P.M.H. Rutten-van Mölken
Affiliation:
Erasmus School of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands Institute for Medical Technology Assessment, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands
*
Corresponding author: Brenda Leeneman; Email: leeneman@eshpm.eur.nl
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Abstract

Introduction

Many European countries independently conduct horizon scanning activities. However, the costs, time, and resources required can be prohibitive. To address this, the International Horizon Scanning Initiative (IHSI) was launched in 2019. IHSI aims to facilitate decision-makers and payers in negotiating fair prices and preparing for potentially disruptive pharmaceuticals. IHSI developed the Joint Horizon Scanning Database, a repository of pharmaceuticals expected to enter the European market, and initiated a series of High Impact Reports (HIRs) to highlight pharmaceuticals that have the potential to significantly impact healthcare systems. This paper outlines the development of key performance indicators (KPIs) that can be used to evaluate IHSI’s work.

Results

In close collaboration with representatives from IHSI member countries and its Executive Committee, the following KPIs were developed: “Number of IHSI member countries”, “Embedding of IHSI in national health technology assessment procedures”, “Database coverage”, “Data completeness”, “Data timeliness”, “Accuracy of identifying disruptive pharmaceuticals”, “Accuracy of identifying non-disruptive pharmaceuticals”, “Use of HIRs in preparing for disruption to the healthcare system”, and “Use of HIRs in price negotiations and financial arrangements”. Among these, “Accuracy of identifying disruptive pharmaceuticals” was considered most important, followed by “Data timeliness” and “Data completeness”. Additionally, based on consultations with nonmember countries, strategies for improvement were identified should the KPIs reveal areas for improvement. These include involving patients in the selection of pharmaceuticals and conducting reputation surveys alongside measuring KPIs. While the KPIs and strategies for improvement are specific to IHSI, they can be tailored to support other (international) horizon scanning initiatives.

Information

Type
Method
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Set of general KPIs

Figure 1

Table 2. Set of database-related KPIs

Figure 2

Table 3. Set of HIR-related KPIs

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