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Artificial intelligence in clinical trial participant recruitment and retention: A scoping review and meta-analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 April 2026

Ziran Yin
Affiliation:
Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University , NC, USA
Yun-Chung Liu
Affiliation:
Duke University, NC, USA
Jonathan Chong Kai Liew
Affiliation:
School of Chemistry, Chemical Engineering and Biotechnology, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore
Rui Yang
Affiliation:
Department of Biomedical Informatics, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
Stephanie Hendren
Affiliation:
Duke University, NC, USA
Elisa Ma
Affiliation:
Duke University, NC, USA
Zhaomei Geng
Affiliation:
Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, University of California San Diego, CA, USA
Jiahan Wang
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin-Madison, WI, USA
Henry Foote
Affiliation:
Duke University, NC, USA
Christopher Lindsell
Affiliation:
Duke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University, NC, USA
Chuan Hong*
Affiliation:
Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University , NC, USA
*
Corresponding author: C. Hong; Email: chuan.hong@duke.edu
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Abstract

Recruitment and retention challenges continue to hinder the success of clinical trials. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a promising means to optimize various clinical trial processes; however, its impact specifically on recruitment and retention has not been comprehensively evaluated. This scoping review utilized the Joanna Briggs Institute framework and adhered to PRISMA-ScR guidelines, systematically searching literature published between January 2018 and June 2024 across multiple databases. Of the 21,573 records screened, 121 studies were included. A meta-analysis was conducted to quantitatively assess the performance of AI-driven tools. AI applications for patient screening demonstrated strong performance, achieving a pooled sensitivity of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.84–0.95) and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.72–0.85). AI tools employed for eligibility identification and classification also exhibited strong outcomes, with pooled sensitivities of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.76–0.84) and 0.92 (95% CI: 0.84–0.96), respectively, and precisions of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.80–0.88) and 0.91 (95% CI: 0.85–0.95). AI tools aimed at identifying patient cohorts showed moderate effectiveness (pooled sensitivity: 0.70 [95% CI: 0.52–0.84]; AUC: 0.74 [95% CI: 0.61–0.84]). Overall, AI presents significant potential for enhancing clinical trial recruitment and retention, with effectiveness varying across specific applications. These findings underscore AI’s valuable role in improving trial efficiency and data quality.

Information

Type
Review Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Association for Clinical and Translational Science
Figure 0

Table 1. Brief summary of included studies

Figure 1

Figure 1. PRISMA-ScR flowchart for the scoping review process. Out of 189 full-text articles that passed the title and abstract screening, 68 were excluded primarily because they were review papers, lacked AI application, or did not focus on recruitment or retention.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Clinical trial recruitment and retention workflow. The included studies were grouped into ten categories based on the workflow stage targeted by the AI tool.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Clinical subject area & publication information. Most of the studies included came from institutions in the USA, and many did not explicitly address biases or disparities. Retrospective and theoretical AI applications predominated among these studies. Machine learning was the most commonly used AI approach.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Sensitivity meta-analysis for papers using machine learning for patient screening, with estimates represented by pooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals.

Figure 5

Figure 5. Precision meta-analysis for papers using machine learning to identify eligibility criteria, with estimates represented by pooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals.

Figure 6

Figure 6. Meta-analysis results for studies using machine learning methods to classify clinical trial eligibility criteria. The upper plot indicates the performance measured using precision, with estimates represented by pooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals. The lower plot indicates the performance measured using F-1 score, with estimates represented by pooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals.

Figure 7

Figure 7. Sensitivity meta-analysis for papers using machine learning to identify patients/cohort, with estimates represented by pooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals.

Figure 8

Table 2. Between-study heterogeneity by task and metric: for each task–metric stratum, the number of studies (k), τ2 (between-study variance), and I2 (% variability due to heterogeneity) were reported. Consistently high I2 indicates substantial cross-study dispersion in reported performance

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