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Spatially distributed simulations of the effect of snow on mass balance and flooding of Antarctic sea ice

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 August 2021

Nander Wever*
Affiliation:
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
Katherine Leonard
Affiliation:
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Lausanne, Switzerland
Ted Maksym
Affiliation:
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), Woods Hole, USA
Seth White
Affiliation:
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
Martin Proksch
Affiliation:
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland
Jan T. M. Lenaerts
Affiliation:
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
*
Author for correspondence: Nander Wever, E-mail: nander.wever@colorado.edu
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Abstract

Southern Ocean sea ice can exhibit widespread flooding and subsequent snow-ice formation, due to relatively thick snow covers compared to the total ice thickness. Considerable subkilometer scale variability in snow and ice thickness causes poorly constrained uncertainties in determining the amount of flooding that occurs. Using datasets of snow depth and ice thickness acquired in the Weddell Sea during austral winter 2013 (AWECS campaign) from three floes, we demonstrate large spatial variability of a factor 10 and 5 for snow and combined snow and ice thickness, respectively. The temporal evolution after the floe visit was recorded by automatic weather station and ice mass balance buoys. Using a physics-based, multi-layer snow/sea ice model in a one-dimensional and distributed mode to simulate the thermodynamic processes, we show that the distributed simulations, modeling flooding across the entire heterogeneous floe, produced vastly different amounts of flooding than one-dimensional single point simulations. Three times the flooding is produced in the one-dimensional simulation for the buoy location than distributed (floe-averaged) simulations. The latter is in close agreement with buoy observations. The results suggest that using point observations or one-dimensional simulations to extrapolate processes on the floe-scale can overestimate the amount of flooding and snow-ice formation.

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Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Fig. 1. The three ice stations (labeled PS81/5XX) and trajectories of the two IMBs used in this study, for (a, b) ice thickness and (c, d) snow depth, as determined from the IMB data. When the trajectory is colored gray, ice and/or snow thickness could not be determined due to poor data quality. The installation location of each IMB coincides with the location of an ice station (circles), the last reported location by each IMB is shown by the squares. The position of the 1st and 15th days of each month is labeled.

Figure 1

Table 1. Ice station coordinates, start date, duration and collected measurements and installed buoys

Figure 2

Fig. 2. Map of ice station PS81/506 in a floe-based coordinate system, with northing and easting aligned with WGS 84/UTM zone 27S (EPSG 32727) at the start of the Magnaprobe survey, with colors denoting (a) snow+ice thickness from GEM-2, and (b) snow depth from Magnaprobe. The black dots denote the GPS surveyed points, the triangles denote the TLS reflectors and the black lines denote the retro-drilling transects. Lower panels show snow+ice thickness (c) and snow depth (d) along the floe-scale walk, with markers A to F showing corresponding points between the graphs and the maps in (a, b).

Figure 3

Fig. 3. Map of ice station PS81/517 in a floe-based coordinate system, with northing and easting aligned with WGS 84/UTM zone 22S (EPSG 32722) at the start of the Magnaprobe survey, with colors denoting (a) snow+ice thickness from GEM-2, and (b) snow depth from Magnaprobe. The black dots denote the GPS surveyed points, the triangles denote the TLS reflectors and the black lines denote the retro-drilling transects. The blue lines in the TLS field denote the SMP transects. Blue labels starting with ‘SP’ denote the location of the eight snow pits used to calibrate the SMP. Lower panels show snow + ice thickness (c) and snow depth (d) along the floe-scale walk, with markers A to F showing corresponding points between the graphs and the maps in (a, b).

Figure 4

Fig. 4. Maps of snow thickness (a, d, g), snow+ice thickness (b, e, h) and flooded layer depth (c, f, i) from the distributed simulation for ice station PS81/506 for initial conditions on 15 July (a, b, c), around half-way into the simulation on 1 November (d, e, f) and towards the end of the simulation on 1 February (g, h, i).

Figure 5

Fig. 5. Maps of snow thickness (a, d, g), snow+ice thickness (b, e, h) and flooded layer depth (c, f, i) from the distributed simulation for ice station PS81/517 for initial conditions on 1 August (a, b, c), around half-way into the simulation on 1 September (d, e, f) and towards the end of the simulation on 14 October (g, h, i).

Figure 6

Fig. 6. Snow thickness, freeboard and snow+ice thickness distributions for ice station PS81/506, based on floe-scale Magnaprobe and GEM-2, Magnaprobe and GEM-2 inside the TLS field, the retro-drilling survey, and measurements upon installation of the AWS buoy and IMB. Distributions are shown as the violin plots (Hintze and Nelson, 1998). The violin plot combines a box plot (shown in black, indicating the median by a white dot, the interquartile range by a black box and either the minimum or maximum value or 1.5 times the interquartile range, whichever is closer to the median, by the black lines) with a symmetrically plotted rotated kernel density which shows the full, smoothed and distribution.

Figure 7

Fig. 7. As Figure 6, but for ice station PS81/517. Due to thick ice, ice thickness and freeboard were not determined upon installation of the AWS.

Figure 8

Fig. 8. Snow density in the upper ~30 cm of the snow cover from SMP, for the west–east transect (a) and the south–north transect (b) inside the TLS field at the ice station PS81/517. The insets show a histogram of all densities recorded by the SMP, binned with bin widths of 10 kg m−3. The thin black solid line shows the snow surface from TLS and the thick black line shows the approximate transition between snow and ice, determined using Magnaprobe combined with the TLS data.

Figure 9

Fig. 9. Data measured by the buoys installed at PS81/506 and MERRA-2 output, for (a) snow depth (HS) measured by the AWS and determined from the IMB, and data from the snow particle counters (SPC) shown as the cumulative sum of the logarithm of the recorded number of particles, and cumulative precipitation from MERRA-2. The SPC data are scaled between the bottom and top of the graph. (b) shows the air temperature (TA) and wind speed (VW) from both the AWS and MERRA-2. (c) shows the temperatures recorded by the IMB, masked by the manually determined interfaces. The depth is relative to the snow–ice interface upon installation of the IMB and indicated by a dashed line. The snow surface is indicated by a thin dashed line and flooding by a dotted line.

Figure 10

Fig. 10. As Figure 9, but for PS81/517. Flooding could not be determined in the data from this IMB.

Figure 11

Fig. 11. Results for the 1-D simulation for the IMB installed at ice station PS81/506, for (a) temperature, and (b) volumetric LWC. The depth is relative to the initial snow–ice interface, which is indicated by a dashed black line. Sea level is denoted by a solid black line, and the sea-ice top, flooding level and sea ice bottom determined from the IMB data are shown by a dotted, solid and dashed cyan line, respectively. In (b), dry snow is colored gray.

Figure 12

Fig. 12. Results for the 1-D simulation for the IMB installed at ice station PS81/517, for (a) temperature, and (b) volumetric LWC. The depth is relative to the initial snow–ice interface, which is indicated by a dashed black line. Sea level is denoted by a solid black line. The ice–ocean interface from a simulation with an ocean heat flux of 2 W m−2 is shown by a black dotted line. The sea-ice top and sea-ice bottom determined from the IMB data are shown by a dotted and dashed cyan line, respectively. The IMB data did not reveal the occurrence of flooding. In (b), dry snow is colored gray.

Figure 13

Fig. 13. Results for (a) the 1-D SNOWPACK simulation initialized with average snow and ice thickness of the fields used to initialize the spatially distributed Alpine3D simulation and (b) the spatially distributed Alpine3D simulation for ice station PS81/506. The depth on the y-axis is relative to sea level. Gray areas indicate the snow (defined as a dry snow density lower than 700 kg m−3) and blue areas indicate the presence of flooding (defined as a bulk density larger than 900 kg m−3 and a LWC larger than $21.7\percnt$). The remainder of the domain is considered ice and colored in cyan.

Figure 14

Fig. 14. As Figure 13, but for PS81/517.

Figure 15

Fig. 15. Temporal evolution of the depth of the flooded layer for ice station PS81/506, defined as (for the simulations) layers with a bulk density exceeding 900 kg m−3 and LWC exceeding $21.7\percnt$, and (for the IMB data) determined from the thermistor string response. The cyan and yellow dashed line show results from a distributed simulation where precipitation was decreased by 25% and the ocean heat flux was reduced to 5 W m−2, respectively.

Figure 16

Fig. 16. Temporal evolution of the fractional area of pixels where flooding is detected, defined as layers with a bulk density exceeding 900 kg m−3 and LWC exceeding $21.7\percnt$ for ice station PS81/506, for thresholds of a minimum flooded layer depth of 0 cm (solid lines), 5 cm (dashed lines) and 10 cm (dotted lines).

Figure 17

Fig. 17. As Figure 13, but where (b) shows the distributed simulation enforcing hydrostatic balance, with each pixel initialized with the floe-averaged initial conditions to mimic the 1-D simulation. (c) is as (b), but with updating observed freeboard using changes in buoyancy. (a) is identical to Figure 13a, but repeated here to allow for a direct comparison. Definitions of color coding as shown in Figure 13.

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