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Understanding the characteristics and mechanisms underlying suicide clusters in Australian youth: a comparison of cluster detection methods

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 August 2020

N.T.M. Hill*
Affiliation:
Orygen, Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia Telethon Kids Institute, Perth, Australia
L.S. Too
Affiliation:
Centre for Mental Health, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
M.J. Spittal
Affiliation:
Centre for Mental Health, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
J. Robinson
Affiliation:
Orygen, Centre for Youth Mental Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
*
Author for correspondence: Nicole T.M. Hill, E-mail: nicole.hill@telethonkids.org.au
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Abstract

Aims

There is currently no gold-standard definition or method for identifying suicide clusters, resulting in considerable heterogeneity in the types of suicide clusters that are detected. This study sought to identify the characteristics, mechanisms and parameters of suicide clusters using three cluster detection methods. Specifically, the study aimed to: (1) determine the overlap in suicide clusters among each method, (2) compare the spatial and temporal parameters associated with different suicide clusters and (3) identify the demographic characteristics and rates of exposure to suicide among cluster and non-cluster members.

Methods

Suicide data were obtained from the National Coronial Information System. N = 3027 Australians, aged 10–24 who died by suicide in 2006–2015 were included. Suicide clusters were determined using: (1) poisson scan statistics, (2) a systematic search of coronial inquests and (3) descriptive network analysis. These methods were chosen to operationalise three different definitions of suicide clusters, namely clusters that are: (1) statistically significant, (2) perceived to be significant and (3) characterised by social links among three or more suicide descendants. For each method, the demographic characteristics and rates of exposure to suicide were identified, in addition to the maximum duration of suicide clusters, the geospatial overlap between suicide clusters, and the overlap of individual cluster members.

Results

Eight suicide clusters (69 suicides) were identified from the scan statistic, seven (40 suicides) from coronial inquests; and 11 (37 suicides) from the descriptive network analysis. Of the eight clusters detected using the scan statistic, two overlapped with clusters detected using the descriptive network analysis and one with clusters identified from coronial inquests. Of the seven clusters from coronial inquests, four overlapped with clusters from the descriptive network analysis and one with clusters from the scan statistic. Overall, 9.2% (12 suicides) of individuals were identified by more than one method. Prior exposure to suicide was 10.1% (N = 7) in clusters from the scan statistic, 32.5% (N = 13) in clusters from coronial inquest and 56.8% (N = 21) in clusters from the descriptive network analysis.

Conclusion

Each method identified markedly different suicide clusters. Evidence of social links between cluster members typically involved clusters detected using the descriptive network analysis. However, these data were limited to the availability information collected as part of the police and coroner investigation. Communities tasked with detecting and responding to suicide clusters may benefit from using the spatial and temporal parameters revealed in descriptive studies to inform analyses of suicide clusters using inferential methods.

Information

Type
Original Articles
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Geographical locations of suicide clusters identified in Australian youth in 2006-2015 using the scan statistic. Geographic regions are based on Statistical Area 2 geographies (red). The circles represent a group of SA2s involved in a single cluster. All suicide clusters that were detected using the scan statistic were limited to a 100 km radius but are visualised using entire SA2 boundaries.

Figure 1

Table 1. Characteristics of suicide clusters detected using the scan statistic, coronial inquests and descriptive network analysis of social linked clusters

Figure 2

Fig. 2. Geographical locations of suicide clusters identified in Australian youth in 2006–2015 using information from coronial inquests into suicide clusters. Geographic regions are based on Statistical Area 2 geographies (orange). The circles represent a group of SA2s involved in a single coronial inquest.

Figure 3

Fig. 3. Geographical locations of suicide clusters identified in Australian youth in 2006–2015 using descriptive network analysis of social linked suicide clusters. Geographic regions are based on Statistical Area 2 geographies (purple). The numbered nodes represent the sequence in which the suicide occurred beginning from the index death (1). The arrows represent the direction of exposure to suicide, and the connection between individuals in a suicide cluster.

Figure 4

Fig. 4. (a) Overlapping clusters that occurred across Australia; (b) overlapping clusters that occurred in smaller regions across Queensland (QLD); (c) overlapping clusters that occurred smaller regions across Victoria (VIC). All suicide clusters that were detected using the scan statistic occurred within a 100km radius but are visualised using SA2 boundaries

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