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The longitudinal relationship between economic and social stressors, emotion dysregulation and mental health among refugees in protracted displacement

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 March 2026

Philippa Specker*
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Gülşah Kurt
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Belinda J Liddell
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia School of Psychological Sciences, The University of Newcastle, Newcastle, NSW, Australia
David Keegan
Affiliation:
School of Social Work, Excelsia University College, Macquarie Park, NSW, Australia HOST International, Parramatta, NSW, Australia
Randy Nandyatama
Affiliation:
Department of International Relations, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
Atika Yuanita
Affiliation:
SUAKA, Indonesian Civil Society Network for Refugee Rights Protection, Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia
Rizka Argadianti Rachmah
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Joel Hoffman
Affiliation:
Sydney School of Medicine, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Shraddha Kashyap
Affiliation:
Bilya Marlee School of Indigenous Studies, The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia
Diah Tricesaria
Affiliation:
School of Social Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Mitra Khakbaz
Affiliation:
HOST International, Parramatta, NSW, Australia
Zico Pestalozzi
Affiliation:
SUAKA, Indonesian Civil Society Network for Refugee Rights Protection, Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia
Angela Nickerson
Affiliation:
School of Psychology, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
*
Corresponding author: Philippa Specker; Email: p.specker@psy.unsw.edu.au
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Abstract

Aims

Trauma-related psychopathology is markedly elevated among refugee populations, particularly those living in sustained displacement. While economic, social and psychological factors have been linked to the deterioration of mental health following trauma and displacement, these factors have rarely been investigated concurrently and longitudinally. Consequently, there is little information on the potential longitudinal mechanisms driving mental ill-health in displacement settings. This study explored the temporal association between economic stressors, social stressors, emotion dysregulation and psychopathology in 1,235 refugees displaced in Indonesia.

Methods

Refugee participants from Farsi, Dari, Arabic, Somali and English-speaking backgrounds completed an online survey at four timepoints, 6 months apart. Factors of interest were measured using validated instruments including the Patient Health Questionnaire (to assess depressive symptoms), Posttraumatic Diagnostic Scale (to assess posttraumatic stress [PTS] symptoms), Post-Migration Living Difficulties Checklist (to index economic and social stressors) and Difficulties in Emotion Regulation Scale (to assess emotion dysregulation).

Results

Random-intercept cross-lagged panel analysis revealed that economic stressors and emotion dysregulation were central to the longitudinal course of trauma-related psychopathology. Specifically, economic stressors were associated with subsequent increases in PTS symptoms (B = 0.07, p = 0.047), depressive symptoms (B = 0.17, p < .001) and social stressors (B = 0.28, p < .001), while emotion dysregulation was antecedent to increases in PTS (B = 0.16, p < .001), depression symptoms (B = 0.13, p < .001), and social stressors (B = 0.10, p = .017). Additionally, depression was associated with subsequent increases in economic stressors (B = 0.18, p = .001) and social stressors were associated with subsequent increases in economic stressors (B = 0.12, p = .037).

Conclusions

The current study identified both economic stressors and emotion dysregulation as the main drivers of psychopathology for refugees. This indicates that both the structural barriers encountered in the environment and one’s internal capacity have a substantial impact on wellbeing. These findings highlight that alongside psychological interventions, policy changes that facilitate economic empowerment are critically, and equally, important.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press.
Figure 0

Table 1. Participant characteristics at baseline

Figure 1

Figure 1. Schematic representation of variables used in the random intercept cross-lagged model (RI-CLPM). Note that while observed scores are illustrated above, RI-CLPM generates latent variables of T1-T5 observed scores (including between-persons random intercepts and within-persons deviations). PTEs = Potentially traumatic events.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Temporal ordering of emotion dysregulation, PTSD, depression and social and economic stressors: standardized cross-lagged effects. For ease of interpretation, only the significant within-persons cross-lagged paths are shown. (As the model was constrained, estimates of the standardized cross-lagged effects from T1 to T2 are very similar to those from T2 to T3, T3 to T4 and T4 to T5.) EmDysreg = emotion dysregulation, Social = social stressors, Economic = economic stressors. *p < .05, **p < .01, ***p < .001.

Figure 3

Table 2. Unstandardised and standardised within-persons autoregressive effects and cross-lagged paths

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