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Fifty years of Himalayan glacier mass-balance monitoring: Recommendations in honour of IYGP 2025

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 March 2026

Mohd Farooq Azam*
Affiliation:
International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, Kathmandu, Nepal Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Indore, Indore, India
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Abstract

Since the first glacier-wide mass-balance measurement on Gara Glacier (India) in 1974, researchers have monitored 38 glaciers across the Himalaya. These glaciers show a mean wastage of −0.62 ± 0.33 m w.e. a‒1, equivalent to a cumulative mass loss of −23.95 ± 1.44 m w.e. over 1974‒2023. The wastage strongly increased from −0.31 ± 0.34 m w.e. a‒1 pre-2000 to −0.66 ± 0.33 m w.e. a‒1 post-2000, indicating an acceleration of ∼9 cm w.e. per decade since 1974. Only seven glaciers (Chhota Shigri, Hoksar, Mera, Pokalde, Rikha Samba, West Changri Nup and Yala) meet the WGMS definition of benchmark glaciers, characterized by at least 10 years of continuous mass-balance observations. Glacier-wide mass-balance analysis with geodetic estimates identifies Mera and Rikha Samba as representative of the central Himalaya, while Chhota Shigri for the western Himalaya. To honour the International Year of Glaciers’ Preservation (IYGP) 2025, it is recommended to: (i) use standardized methodologies for estimating random errors in glacier-wide mass balances; (ii) reanalyse mass-balance series spanning ∼10 years or longer; (iii) expand monitoring to underexplored regions like the Karakoram, Sikkim, Zanskar and the Bhutanese Himalaya; (iv) continue monitoring of benchmark glaciers which is vital to understanding glacier response to climate change.

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This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of International Glaciological Society.
Figure 0

Figure 1. Glaciological mass balances from 38 glaciers in the Himalaya–Karakoram (HK). The mean glacier-wide mass balances (red dots) are shown for each mass balance series. Abbreviations for the glaciers are provided in Table S1, along with additional details. The HK boundaries are from Bolch and others (2019). The background grey area represents the glacierized cover from Sakai (2019).

Figure 1

Figure 2. Distribution of ablation stakes, accumulation stakes and accumulation pits on Gara Glacier (western Himalaya, India). The map is modified version of a 1:15 000 scale map (GSI, 1977). A network of 34 stakes in the ablation and 13 in the accumulation area were installed during the first glaciological expedition in 1974 by GSI on Gara Glacier (5.2 km2). In September 1975, besides measuring the ablation and accumulation from stakes, four pits were also dug in the accumulation area for annual glacier-wide mass balance estimation (Raina and others, 1977). ELA = equilibrium line altitude.

Figure 2

Figure 3. (A) Annual glacier-wide mass balances (m w.e. a−1) from the Himalayan glaciers up to 2023. A total of 302 annual mass-balance values are available from 38 glaciers. Details of each series are provided in Table S1, and glacier locations are shown in Figure 1. (B) Mean annual area-weighted glacier-wide mass balances (m w.e. a−1) from in situ observations, compared with mean annual area-weighted balances for the same 38 glaciers extracted from Dussaillant and others (2025), and with WGMS reference glaciers. The number of annual measurements is shown for in situ and WGMS data; for Dussaillant and others (2025), the number of measurements is fixed at 38 each year and is therefore not shown. (C) The histograms show the mean annual area-weighted glacier-wide mass balances (m w.e. a−1) from in situ observations along with estimated errors and the thick continuous line and shadow show the cumulative mass balances and associated uncertainty over 1974–2023.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Comparison of annual glacier-wide mass balances for (A) Chhota Shigri and (B) Mera glaciers derived from reanalysed glaciological observations and from Dussaillant and others (2025). Geodetic mass-balance estimates used to reanalyse the glaciological series are also shown for the corresponding periods. Thin error bars and envelopes indicate the uncertainty associated with the reanalysed glaciological mass balances and geodetic estimates; uncertainty estimates are not available for the Dussaillant and others (2025) series. The hydrological years 2002/03 and 2020–2023 fall outside the calibration periods on Chhota Shigri but were corrected using the mean bias estimated for 2003–2014 and 2014–2020, respectively (Azam and others, 2024). Similarly, the years beyond calibration period were calibrated on Mera Glacier (Wagnon and others, 2021).

Figure 4

Figure 5. (A) The annual glacier-wide mass balances (m w.e. a−1) from all 38 glaciers are represented as green shades (pre-2000, n = 75), blue shades (post-2000, n = 227) and red shades (2021/22 hydrological year, n = 12) vertical lines. The fitted probability density function for pre-2000 (green curve), post-2000 (blue curve) and 2021/22 hydrological year (red curve) are also shown. (B) The box whisker plot showing the data pre-2000, post-2000 and 2021/22 hydrological year. The outliers indicate the extreme negative mass balance years post-2000.

Figure 5

Figure 6. Area–duration weighted mean annual mass-balance series from the present study. Panel (A) shows the full period (1974–2023), while panel (B) compares pre- and post-2000 trends. Black lines denote Sen’s slope trends, representing long-term changes in annual mass balance and a progressive shift toward increasingly negative conditions.

Figure 6

Table 1. Representativeness of the Himalayan benchmark glaciers to their corresponding basin/valley and the whole region (central Himalaya [CH] and western Himalaya [WH]).

Figure 7

Table 2. Regional representativeness of benchmark glaciers. The geodetic estimates for the western and central Himalaya are from Hugonnet and others (2021). The glaciological mean annual glacier-wide mass balances for the selected benchmark glaciers are from the collected mass-balance database (Table S1). The null hypothesis H0 (the mean glaciological mass balance is not statistically different from the available geodetic estimates) was accepted at 95% and 90% levels over the different periods whenever both glaciological and geodetic mass balances were available (Yes = Null hypothesis accepted; No = Null hypothesis not accepted).

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