It is well established that twin pregnancies involve more risks during pregnancy and delivery than singleton pregnancies. This elevated risk can be attributed not only to the high number of premature births and/or growth restriction but also to delivery complications among term pregnancies, though the latter cause has declined (Montgomery et al., Reference Montgomery, Cubera, Belcher, Patrick, Funderburk, Melton and Fastenau2005a, Reference Montgomery, Cubera, Belcher, Patrick, Funderburk, Melton and Fastenau2005b).
Recent studies provide extensive documentation that being born preterm and/or with low/very low birthweight and/or small for gestational age (SGA) has a long-term effect on the person's future morbidity (Ekholm Selling et al., Reference Ekholm Selling, Carstensen, Finnström, Josefsson and Sydsjö2008). Prematurity has been shown to cause long-term sequelae such as cerebral palsy, retinopathy of prematurity, and mental retardation (Moster et al., Reference Moster, Lie and Markestad2008; Quinn et al., Reference Quinn, Gilbert, Darlow and Zin2010). Intrauterine growth restriction is associated with an increased risk of obesity, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, psychiatric disorders, and it also exhibits a potential increased risk for cardiovascular disease.
However, the long-term outcome for children born premature and/or SGA may be different for twins than singletons as the cause of prematurity among twins is, generally, of a different character than the cause of singletons’ prematurity. Among all premature births, about 30–40% are due to maternal infections, while among twin premature births the lack of space is the major cause of prematurity (Goldenberg et al., Reference Goldenberg, Culhane, Iams and Romero2008; Romero et al., Reference Romero, Mazor, Munoz, Gomez, Galasso and Sherer2008).
Also, very few studies have focused on the potential effect twinning may have on general future health outcomes and hence very little is known about the risk for long-term morbidity associated with twin pregnancy and delivery.
The purpose of this study was to examine whether twins exhibited a different outcome, in comparison with singletons, in terms of hospitalization as proxy for morbidity during adolescence and early adulthood, and to what extent differences remain when considering the divergence in birth characteristics between singletons and twins. We also wanted to examine to what extent the association of long-term health outcomes with birth characteristics differed between twins and singletons.
We have identified 16,561 twins — which approximately equals 8,000 twin pairs — in national health registers. These data provide a unique source for exploring the importance of being born a twin, compared with singletons, and its effect on future morbidity.
Material and Methods
Data
The data for this study were retrieved from Swedish population-based registries. All Swedish residents are assigned unique personal identification numbers, which enables us to individually link the information in the different registers. All registers have been validated.
• The Swedish Medical Birth Register (MBR). The MBR contains information on all births since 1973 and onward and is held by the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare (National Board of Health and Welfare, 2003).
• The Total Population Register (TPR) and the Multi-Generation Register. The TPR is held by Statistics Sweden and was established in 1968 (Statistics Sweden, 2002, 2009a). The register contains information on variables such as births, deaths, migrations, and marital status. The Multi-Generation Register is founded on information from the TPR and enabled us to identify the fathers of the studied men and women (in the MBR, only information on the mother is included; Statistics Sweden, 2010).
• The National Patient Register (NPR) and the Causes of Death Register. The National Board of Health and Welfare registers all public in-patient care in the NPR since 1987 (D'Amico et al., Reference D'Amico, Agozzino, Biagino, Simonetti and Marinelli1999; Johansson & Westerling, Reference Johansson and Westerling2000; National Board of Health and Welfare, 2008, 2010a, 2010b, 2010c) and since 1997 outpatient visits are included. The Causes of Death Register contains information on the cause and date of death and was established in 1961.
• The Education Register and the Population and Housing Census. Since 1985, Statistics Sweden continuously collects information on the educational level of the population (Statistics Sweden, 1974, 2006, 2009b).
Our study population was defined as ‘twins and singletons born and still living in Sweden at the age of 13’. The starting age of 13 was chosen because the focus was on long-term morbidity. A total of 1,070,380 births were registered in 1973–1983 according to both MBR and TPR; of these, 10,811 individuals (1% of all singletons) died before the age 13, 10,023 singletons, 776 twins (4% of all twins), and 12 with unknown twin status. Persons with missing values on birthweight (n = 2,114) and on gestational length (n = 4,840) were excluded. Cases that were considered to have an extremely high birthweight with respect to gestational length were excluded (n = 663). Also, 3,629 cases with an unlikely low birthweight with respect to gestational length were excluded from the analysis. Persons who had emigrated and not returned to Sweden before the age of 13 (n = 20,507) or immigrated to Sweden at age 14 and onward (n = 5,485) were excluded. Finally, 5,423 individuals were removed due to lack of information about the father of the child. The final data set, after the removal of triplets or higher order pregnancies (n = 220), comprised 1,016,688 individuals; out of these a total of 16,561 twins could be identified, as indicated by the medical birth register.
Variables and Definitions
‘Small for gestational age’ (SGA) was defined as a birthweight < -2 SD of the mean weight for the gestational length (Marsal et al., Reference Marsal, Persson, Larsen, Lilja, Selbing and Sultan1996); ‘Large for gestational age’ (LGA) was defined as a birthweight ≥ 2 SD of the mean weight for the gestational length according to the Swedish standard (Marsal et al., Reference Marsal, Persson, Larsen, Lilja, Selbing and Sultan1996). ‘Low birth weight’ was defined as birthweight below 2,500 g and ‘very low birth weight’ as a birthweight below 1,500 g. ‘Moderate preterm birth’ was defined as being born between gestational weeks 32 and 36, and ‘very preterm birth’ as being born before gestational week 32. In most of the analyses, birth characteristics were combined and dichotomized into ‘optimal’, including children born at term and appropriate for gestational age (AGA), and ‘non-optimal’, including children born SGA or preterm.
‘Educational level’ was separated into three categories: elementary school, high school, and graduate/postgraduate. ‘Parental country of origin’ was dichotomized into ‘both parents from Nordic countries’ and ‘one or both from non-Nordic countries’. ‘Mother's marital status’ had three levels: married, unmarried, and divorced/widowed. ‘Parity’ was defined as either ‘no previous deliveries’ or ‘one or more previous deliveries’. ‘Mother's age when giving birth’ was separated into four categories: 13–19 years, 20–26 years, 27–33 years, and ≥34 years.
Missing values on country of origin and marital status were all imputed with the most common value for each variable (360 cases were imputed on marital status and 8 cases on maternal country of origin, and 18 cases on paternal country of origin).
Hospitalization was used as a proxy for morbidity and was dichotomized into two levels, ‘1 or more hospitalizations’ and ‘No hospitalizations’, one for each of the studied diagnoses. Consequently, it did not measure morbidity, but rather whether individuals had been hospitalized during the study period. Total (all-cause) hospitalization was further dichotomized into <6 and ≥6. The analysis of hospitalization was limited to adolescence and young adulthood (the youngest cohort was followed until age 23 and the oldest cohort until age 33). The diagnoses studied were based on the Swedish versions of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD), ICD 9, and ICD 10, and were based on the three-digit codes which equal the main chapters, in order to capture the general morbidity within each ICD chapter. The ICD chapters also provide a well-established and well-known grouping of the diseases. In the analysis, ICD 10 codes have been converted to match ICD 9 codes and, hence, only ICD 9 is reported in the tables.
Statistical Analysis
Logistic regression was used to calculate hospitalization odds ratios in twins compared to singletons (Table 3). This analysis was also done in subgroups defined by birth characteristics (‘optimal’/‘non-optimal’; Table 4). Furthermore, by separating twins and singletons, we analyzed hospitalization odds ratios in individuals with ‘non-optimal’ birth characteristics compared with those born ‘optimal’ (Figure 1). In all these analyses, adjustments were made for socio-demographic factors (parental level of education, mother's age when giving birth, mother's civil status when giving birth, parity and study subjects year of birth and gender). In addition, logistic regression was used to estimate the twin-versus-singleton odds ratio in relation to both socio-demographic variables (Table 1) and the different birth characteristics (Table 2). Analyses were performed using IBM SPSS, version 19.0 (IBM SPSS Inc., Armonk, NY); however, confidence intervals for the odds ratios have been adjusted for the intra-pair correlation between first- and second-born twin, using cluster design effect formulas (Kirkwood & Sterne, Reference Kirkwood and Sterne2003).
Parental Socio-demographic Characteristics of Singletons and Twins Born in Sweden (1973–1983) and Living in Sweden at the Age of 13a
aHigher order of multiple births excluded from the analysis (three or more). bOdds ratio adjusted for all variables presented in the table.
Birth Characteristics of Singletons and Twins Born in Sweden (1973–1983) and Living at the Age of 13a
aHigher order of multiple births excluded from the analysis (three or more). bOdds ratio adjusted for all variables listed in Table 1.
CI = confidence interval.
Hospitalization odds ratios and corresponding 95% confidence interval for non-optimal twins versus optimal twins and non-optimal singletons versus optimal singletons, respectively.
Results
Socio-demographic and Birth Characteristics
When performing a multiple logistic regression including socio-demographic characteristics at time of birth, the odds for being a twin were statistically significantly increased with older mothers and among those where the mother had had previous deliveries (Table 1). The odds for being a twin were higher for females and for those born in the later part of the studied period.
Twins were found to be smaller for gestational age, had a lower birthweight, and were born at an earlier gestational age compared with singletons (Table 2). This also holds true when controlling for socio-demographic characteristics at birth.
Hospitalization
Adjusting for socio-demographic characteristics, twins had increased odds of ever being hospitalized compared with singletons, as well as increased odds of having six or more hospitalizations (Table 3). When analyzed by diagnosis grouped according to ICD main chapters, twins were found to have increased odds of being hospitalized for ‘Infections and parasitic diseases’, ‘Diseases of the nervous system’, ‘Diseases of the digestive system’, ‘Congenital anomalies’, and ‘External causes of illness’. Twins showed decreased odds of hospitalization for ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’ compared with singletons.
Hospitalization in Adolescence and Young Adulthood Among Twins and Singletons Born in Sweden (1973–1983) by Diagnosis
aOdds ratio adjusted for all variables listed in Table 1.
In Figure 1, hospitalization odds ratios in individuals with non-optimal compared with those with optimal birth characteristics are displayed for twins and singletons separately. In singletons, non-optimal birth characteristics were associated with increased odds of being hospitalized for each ICD 9 diagnoses chapter, as well as for total hospitalization, and for six or more hospitalizations. The general pattern in twins was similar to that of singletons; however, regarding total hospitalization and most diagnoses chapters, the odds ratio tended to be lower than those in singletons.
To evaluate to what extent the difference between singletons and twins remains when considering differences in birth characteristics, the material was stratified into two groups according to optimality at birth, optimal (AGA and term) or non-optimal (SGA or preterm birth).
This analysis (Table 4), where it was controlled for socio-demographic variables, revealed that there were no differences in ‘Total hospitalization’ or ‘Hospitalization ≥ 6 times’ between optimal twins and singletons. However, twins had higher odds of hospitalization due to ‘External causes of illness’ and reduced odds of hospitalization due to ‘Mental disorders’, ‘Diseases of the respiratory system’, and ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’ compared with singletons. In the non-optimal group, twins exhibited reduced odds of ever being hospitalized compared with singletons. Furthermore, twins had lower odds of hospitalization for several diagnoses compared with singletons: ‘Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases’, ‘Mental disorders’, ‘Diseases of the respiratory system’, ‘Diseases of the genitourinary system’, ‘Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue’, and ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’.
Hospitalization Odds Ratios During Adolescence and Young Adulthood in Twins Versus Singletons Born in Sweden (1973–1983) by Diagnosis and Birth Characteristics (Optimal*/Non-optimal**)
*Born at term and appropriate for gestational age; **born preterm and/or small for gestational age.
Model validations included an investigation of possible two-way interaction effects between parental education and twinning as well as gender and twinning. Significant interactions between twinning and gender were found for ‘Diseases of the genitourinary system’ (p = .001), ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’ (p = .007), and ‘Total hospitalization’ (p = .001). Statistically significant interactions were also found for twinning and father's educational level for ‘Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases, and immunity disorders’ (p = .008). Finally, statistically significant interactions were also found between twinning and mother's educational lever for ‘Diseases of the circulatory system’ (p = .009) and ‘External causes of morbidity and mortality’ (p = .002).
To adjust also for non-optimal subtype (Table 4, last column), the hospitalization odds ratio for non-optimal twins compared with non-optimal singletons was adjusted for both socio-demographic characteristics and birth characteristics, that is, weight for gestational age and degree of prematurity (defined as gestational week in Table 2). Twins exhibit a lower likelihood not only for hospitalization or total hospitalization but also on several diagnoses (‘Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases’, ‘Blood diseases’, ‘Mental disorders’, ‘Diseases of the nervous system’, ‘Diseases of the respiratory system’, ‘Diseases of the genitourinary system’, ‘Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue’, ‘Congenital anomalies’, and ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’) compared with singletons.
Discussion
In this study, hospitalization was used as a proxy for morbidity, and by utilizing data from the national health register the hospitalization among twins compared with singletons was analyzed; this is discussed in further detail later. We found that twins had an overall higher number of hospitalizations during childhood, adolescence, and early adulthood, when adjustment for socio-demographic variables was done. This was not unexpected considering the divergence in birth characteristics between twins and singletons and the extensive evidence from earlier studies of poorer long-term health in individuals born preterm or SGA (Ekholm Selling et al., Reference Ekholm Selling, Carstensen, Finnström, Josefsson and Sydsjö2008). As the present study also shows, these health effects of being born non-optimal are essentially similar in twins and singletons (Figure 1).
Previous studies on the importance of twinning with respect to morbidity and mortality are somewhat inconclusive (Cunningham et al., Reference Cunningham, MacDonald, Gant, Leveno, Gilstrap, Hankins and Clark1997). Despite this, twins have been found in several studies to have increased odds for neonatal morbidity and mortality (Ananth & Sulian, Reference Ananth, Sulian, Blickstein and Keith2005; Cooke, Reference Cooke2010). Studies have also indicated that when looking at congenital malformation rates (all diagnoses included), no differences have been found between twins and singletons (Cooke, Reference Cooke2010). However, when looking at specific diagnoses such as cerebral palsy, several studies report increased odds for twins (specifically monozygotic twins; Cooke, Reference Cooke2010; Scher et al., Reference Scher, Petterson, Blair, Ellenberg, Grether, Haan and Nelson2002). These findings were confirmed in this study.
We also found, when stratifying by optimality at birth, that these differences diminish or are even reversed for some ICD chapters. However, increased odds of being hospitalized due to external causes were still found for optimal twins in comparison to optimal singletons. A possible explanation to twins’ increased odds for hospitalization due to ‘External causes of illness’ could be the twinning itself. Being a pair could possibly lead to them challenging one another and hence become more adventurous than singletons. Also, it is more challenging to attend two children of the same age compared with one (Segal, Reference Segal2011). It should also be noted that in individuals with optimal birth characteristics, hospitalization odds (in adolescence and early adulthood) were lower in twins for ‘Mental disorders’, ‘Respiratory diseases’ as well as for ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’.
When the comparisons were restricted to twins and singletons with non-optimal birth characteristics, and adjusting for both socio-demographic and birth characteristics (i.e., also allowing gestational size and degree of prematurity to vary), the twins did somewhat better than singletons for a number of diagnoses (ICD 9 chapters ‘Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases’, ‘Blood diseases’, ‘Mental disorders’, ‘Diseases of the nervous system’, ‘Diseases of the respiratory system’, ‘Diseases of the genitourinary system’, ‘Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue’, ‘Congenital anomalies’, and ‘Symptoms, signs, and ill-defined conditions’). The reason for this is probably that the causes of non-optimal birth characteristics differ between twins and singletons. Singletons are often delivered prematurely due to pregnancy complications such as infections, while children in multiple pregnancies often are delivered preterm due to lack of space (Goldenberg et al., Reference Goldenberg, Culhane, Iams and Romero2008; Romero et al., Reference Romero, Mazor, Munoz, Gomez, Galasso and Sherer2008). Both infections and multiple pregnancies are known risk factors for premature delivery, as is maternal age and smoking (Goldenberg et al., Reference Goldenberg, Culhane, Iams and Romero2008; Romero et al., Reference Romero, Mazor, Munoz, Gomez, Galasso and Sherer2008; Tandberg et al., Reference Tandberg, BjØrge, BØrdahl and Skjaerven2007). This was validated in the analysis when data were stratified on optimal/non-optimal birth characteristics where twinning mainly had an effect in the strata for non-optimal birth characteristics. This suggests that twins born in the non-optimal category, even though dealing with several health issues, do somewhat better than singletons on these conditions. The same implications from twinship have been reported on fetal mortality and risk for cerebral palsy (Scher et al., Reference Scher, Petterson, Blair, Ellenberg, Grether, Haan and Nelson2002).
This is a population-based study in which all children born between 1973 and 1983 and who were still alive and still living in Sweden at the age of 13 were included. The major strength of the study is that it is population based and therefore includes a large number of individuals. All data were prospectively collected from registers maintained by the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare and Statistics Sweden. These registers are evaluated regularly and cover 99% of all newborns. The reporting to the NPR is complete for inpatient hospital care and 98.6% of all incidents are correctly classified (National Board of Health and Welfare, 2008, 2010a). We used the NPR to study hospitalization rather than morbidity as outpatient data were not available until 1997. Moreover, hospitalization was dichotomized as the likelihood for hospitalization and the duration for some diagnoses has changed over time. Also, through the unique personal identification numbers, we were able to link data on socio-demographic variables with data on their births and hospitalizations, which allowed for a thorough/extensive analysis. The data did not allow us to control for homozygotic and dizygotic twins. However, the primary goal in this study was to analyze potential differences between twins and singletons, regardless of the twin being homozygote or dizygote. Another potential problem is the estimation of gestational length in twin pregnancies. It is possible that twins’ gestational age is sometimes underestimated due to a very early intrauterine uterine growth restriction and hence causing a bias in the analyses. Finally, since the study population was defined as persons born between 1973 and 1983, the twinning rate in this study was not affected by in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatment, nor had hormone stimulation without IVF any major effect; the twinning rate in the study period rose marginally, from 8.2 to 9.1 twin births/1,000 women (National Board of Health and Welfare, 2009). Since 1983, there has been a marked increase of twin births in Sweden (National Board of Health and Welfare, 2009) as well as globally (Imaizumi, Reference Imaizumi1997). The increase in twinning rates is partly due to IVF but also due to hormone stimulation without IVF. Another contributing factor is the increasing maternal age (Fellman & Erikson, Reference Fellman and Erikson2005; Tandberg et al., Reference Tandberg, BjØrge, BØrdahl and Skjaerven2007), which further motivates the need for investigating the morbidity among twins.
Conclusions
In the total study cohort, twins generally had higher odds of being hospitalized than singletons. When the cohort was grouped into those with optimal and non-optimal birth characteristics, that is, SGA and/or preterm birth respectively, twins born with non-optimal birth characteristics had a reduced odds of being hospitalized due to ‘Congenital anomalies’, ‘Diseases of the nervous system’, and ‘Diseases of the genitourinary system’ when adjusting for both socio-demographic and birth characteristics. Compared with optimal singletons, optimal twins exhibited an increased likelihood of being hospitalized due to ‘External causes of illness’.
