Hostname: page-component-89b8bd64d-x2lbr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-05-06T16:00:08.542Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The tide has turned: incidence of depression declined in community living young-old adults over one decade

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 January 2019

H.W. Jeuring*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, GGZ inGeest/VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
E.O. Hoogendijk
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
H.C. Comijs
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, GGZ inGeest/VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
D.J.H. Deeg
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
A.T.F. Beekman
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, GGZ inGeest/VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
M. Huisman
Affiliation:
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Department of Sociology, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
M.L. Stek
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, GGZ inGeest/VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and the Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
*
Author for correspondence: H.W. Jeuring, E-mail: h.jeuring@vumc.nl
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Aims

Studying birth-cohort differences in depression incidence and their explanatory factors may provide insight into the aetiology of depression and could help to optimise prevention strategies to reduce the worldwide burden of depression.

Methods

Data were used from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam, a nationally representative study among community dwelling older adults in the Netherlands. Cohort differences in depression incidence over a 10-year-period (score ⩾16 on the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale) were tested using a cohort-sequential-longitudinal-design, comparing two identically measured cohorts of non-depressed 55–64-year-olds, born 10-years apart. Baseline measurements took place in 1992/93 (early cohort, n = 794), and 2002/03 (recent cohort, n = 771). As indicated by the dynamic equilibrium model of depression, potential explanatory factors were distinguished in risk and protective factors.

Results

The incidence rates for depression in the early and recent cohort were 1.91 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.59–2.27) and 1.60 (95% CI 1.31–1.94) per 100 person-years, respectively. A 29% risk reduction in depression incidence was observed in the recent cohort (HRcohort: 0.71, 95% CI 0.54–0.92, p = 0.011), as compared with the early cohort, even though average levels of risk factors such as chronic disease and functional limitations had increased. This reduction was primarily explained by increased levels of education, mastery and labour market participation.

Conclusions

These findings suggest that favourable developments of protective factors have counterbalanced unfavourable effects of risk factors on the incidence of depression, resulting in a net reduction of depression incidence among young-old adults. However, maintaining a good physical health must be a priority to further decrease depression rates.

Information

Type
Original Articles
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s) 2019
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Decline in depression incidence among young-old adults between 2002 and 2012 v. 1992 and 2002. The figure is an output of SPSS, delivered by a Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for sex and age. On the Y-axis of the figure, the cumulative incidence proportion of depression (CES-D ⩾ 16) for both cohorts is shown. On the X-axis, the survival time in months is shown (i.e. onset time to incident depression).

Figure 1

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of non-depressed respondents by cohort

Figure 2

Table 2. Factors associated with the decrease in the incidence of depression in the recent cohort

Figure 3

Table 3. Multivariate models explaining the decrease in depression incidence in the recent cohort