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Stay or Stray: A Comparative Analysis of Short-Term Volunteer Permanence in the Theory of Planned Behavior and the Three-Stage Model of Volunteers’ Duration of Service

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2026

Álvaro Benito-Ballesteros*
Affiliation:
Department of Social, Organizational and Differential Psychology, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain Centro Universitario Cardenal Cisneros, Universidad de Alcalá, Alcalá de Henares, Spain
Fernando Chacón
Affiliation:
Department of Social, Organizational and Differential Psychology, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Raimundo Aguayo-Estremera
Affiliation:
Department of Psycobiology and Behavioral Science Methodology, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Rocío Lana-Blond
Affiliation:
Department of Social, Organizational and Differential Psychology, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain Department of Social Psychology, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid, Spain
Laura Jiménez-Rubio
Affiliation:
Department of Social, Organizational and Differential Psychology, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
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Abstract

Understanding the factors that predict volunteer retention is critical for the sustainability of nonprofit organizations (NPOs), but the determinants of volunteer permanence still require research. This study investigates the utility of the Three-Stage Model of Volunteers’ Duration of Service (3SMVDS) in predicting volunteer retention after 5 months and compares its explanatory performance to that of the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB). Through path analysis, we assess each model's ability to predict volunteer retention after a 5-month period. The data analysis from 271 Spanish novice volunteers yields significant insights. The findings indicate that the 3SMVDS is more effective than the TPB in predicting actual volunteer retention at the 5-month mark, although it presents some theoretical discrepancies with the original model. These results underscore the complexity of volunteer retention and encourages a more sophisticated theoretical understanding that could guide the development of targeted interventions for NPOs to enhance volunteer engagement and retention.

Information

Type
Research Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
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Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s) 2025
Figure 0

Fig. 1 Theory of planned bhavior. Based on Ajzen and Driver (1991)

Figure 1

Fig. 2 Three-stage model of Volunteer's duration of service. Based on Chacón et al. (2007)

Figure 2

Table 1 Descriptive statistics and bivariate correlations

Figure 3

Table 2 Path analysis—three-stage model of volunteer’s duration of service

Figure 4

Fig. 3 Path analysis diagram for the three-stage model of volunteer’s duration of service. Standardized regression coefficients, correlations, and percentage of explained variance are shown. * p = 0.05

Figure 5

Table 3 Path analysis—theory of planned behavior

Figure 6

Fig. 4 Path Analysis diagram for the Theory of Planned Behavior. Standardized regression coefficients, correlations, and percentage of explained variance are shown. * p = 0.05

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