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Campaigning against the Casta: Electoral Personalism and the Rise of Javier Milei in Argentina

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 March 2026

Diego Luján*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay
Gonzalo Puig Lombardi
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay
Sarah Ledoux
Affiliation:
Department of Politics, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
*
Corresponding author: Diego Luján; Email: diego.lujan@cienciassociales.edu.uy
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Abstract

Personalism is a pervasive phenomenon in Latin American politics. This article examines the rise of Javier Milei in Argentina as a particular variety of electoral personalism in a country that has undergone a profound economic and social crisis. We argue that Milei combined self-promotion appeals (similar to recent cases like Nayib Bukele in El Salvador) with context-specific appeals (such as salient ideological rhetoric and moral content) to blame the crisis situation in Argentina on the Argentine political class, pejoratively depicted as the casta. To support our theoretical argument, we provide empirical evidence based on qualitative and quantitative text analyses of Milei’s public appearances and social media posts to identify the salience of each particular appeal in his presidential campaign. Finally, we use public opinion data to illustrate how Milei’s electoral discourse appealed to the Argentinean voter, which ultimately accounts for his electoral success.

Information

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Government and Opposition Ltd.
Figure 0

Figure 1. Milei’s Discourse in Selected Public Appearances

Note: Points denote the frequency of the most used words in Javier Milei’s public appearances during the presidential campaign.
Figure 1

Figure 2. Milei’s Discourse on Social Media (X)

Note: Points denote the frequency of the most used words in Javier Milei’s posts on X during the presidential campaign.
Figure 2

Table 1. Comparison between Milei’s Discourse on Social Media and in Public Appearances: Scores for the Three Main Appeals

Figure 3

Table 2. Milei’s Derogatory Nicknaming of His Opponents during the 2023 Presidential Campaign

Figure 4

Figure 3. Individual-level Effects on Respondents’ Propensity to Support Milei and His Party, La Libertad Avanza (LLA)

Note: See the Supplementary Material online for complete estimations.
Supplementary material: File

Luján et al. supplementary material

Luján et al. supplementary material
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