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A Very European Way Out: Polity Maintenance and the Design of Article 50

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 January 2024

Joseph Ganderson*
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science, European Institute, London, UK
Niccolò Donati
Affiliation:
Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
Maurizio Ferrera
Affiliation:
Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
Anna Kyriazi
Affiliation:
Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
Zbigniew Truchlewski
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science, European Institute, London, UK Department of Political Science, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute, Fiesole, Italy
*
Corresponding author: Joseph Ganderson; Email: j.ganderson@lse.ac.uk
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Abstract

Multilevel polities do not typically facilitate secession, so why did the European Union adopt Article 50? Revisiting formative debates from the 2003 Convention on the Future of Europe, we combine archival research with an original dataset of delegate debates over two levels: the existence and procedural operation of an exit article. This reveals essential new detail on the genealogy of Article 50. We locate this institutional innovation within a Rokkanian–Hirschmanian theoretical framework which treats exit closure as necessary for loyalty and resilience. Further refining this ‘polity’ perspective, we find many participants showed awareness of the potentially disruptive implications of an exit article. Yet, given extant tensions around ‘ever closer union’, a Eurocentric procedural design prevailed as a safety valve, granting EU authorities default control over any exit process. This European logic of ‘controlled opening' offers a potential blueprint for other integrating compound polities and international organizations facing backlashes from member states.

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Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Government and Opposition Ltd
Figure 0

Table 1. Challenges to Closure: Logical Responses and their Potential Polity Effects

Figure 1

Table 2. Expected Preferences of Convention Delegates by State Origin

Figure 2

Table 3. Timeline of Withdrawal Clause Proposals

Figure 3

Figure 1. All Amendments – Retain vs Delete

Figure 4

Figure 2. Retain Amendments – Pro-EU vs Pro-State

Figure 5

Table 4. Delegate Arguments and Codes

Figure 6

Figure 3. Amendment Arguments, by Category

Figure 7

Figure 4. Speech Arguments, by Category

Figure 8

Table 5. All Intervention Arguments, by Country Group and Category (% of All Arguments Advanced by Country Group)

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