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Immunological predictors in first-episode psychosis: findings from one-year prospective follow-up study

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 April 2026

Talat Sarikavak
Affiliation:
Psychiatry, Istanbul Atlas University Faculty of Medicine, Türkiye
Özgür Özkalaycı
Affiliation:
Psychiatry, Istanbul Bagcilar Training and Research Hospital, Türkiye
Damla Isman Haznedaroglu*
Affiliation:
Psychiatry, Ege University Faculty of Medicine , Izmir, Türkiye
Aytül Zerrin Sin
Affiliation:
Internal Medicine, Ege University Faculty of Medicine, Türkiye
Emine Nihal Mete
Affiliation:
Internal Medicine, Ege University Faculty of Medicine, Türkiye
Hayriye Elbi
Affiliation:
Psychiatry, Sanko Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi, Türkiye
*
Corresponding author: Damla Isman Haznedaroglu; Email: damla.isman.haznedaroglu@ege.edu.tr
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Abstract

Objective:

Emerging evidence suggests that immune dysregulation may play a key role in the pathophysiology of psychosis. However, longitudinal studies integrating both innate and adaptive immune components in the same sample remain scarce. This study aimed to examine a broad spectrum of immunological parameters in first-episode psychosis (FEP) patients, both at onset and after treatment, in comparison to healthy controls.

Methods:

Thirty-two minimally treated FEP patients (no lifetime psychotropic exposure >1 month) and 26 healthy controls were assessed at baseline. 20 patients completed a follow-up approximately one year later. Immunological markers – including complete blood count (leukocyte, neutrophil, lymphocyte, monocyte), C-reactive protein (CRP), SAA, complement components (C3, C4), and immunoglobulins (IgG, IgA, IgM, IgE) – were measured at both time points. First-episode psychosis was confirmed using SCID (DSM-IV). Symptom severity was evaluated using PANSS and BPRS. ROC and logistic regression analyses were performed to assess predictive value.

Results:

Neutrophil, monocyte, C3, C4 levels and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were significantly elevated in patients at both time points, with no change over time. CRP was elevated at T1 but normalised at follow-up. In contrast, immunoglobulin levels showed temporal and dimensional associations with symptom severity. NLR was correlated with negative symptoms during the acute phase, while IgG was associated with positive symptoms during remission. Elevated NLR and C4 predicted patient status in logistic regression analysis.

Conclusion:

This longitudinal study provides a system-level immunological profile across illness phases in FEP. The findings underscore distinct and dynamic contributions of innate and adaptive immunity to the onset and progression of psychosis.

Information

Type
Original Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided that no alterations are made and the original article is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press or the rights holder(s) must be obtained prior to any commercial use and/or adaptation of the article.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Scandinavian College of Neuropsychopharmacology
Figure 0

Figure 1. Flowchart of participant recruitment and follow-up. The diagram illustrates participant screening, exclusion criteria, baseline inclusion (T1), and follow-up assessment (T2) in the first-episode psychosis cohort.

Figure 1

Table 1. Descriptive analysis of the cohort

Figure 2

Table 2. Correlations between symptom severity and immunological parameters

Figure 3

Figure 2. Associations between changes in immunological markers and symptom severity over time. Scatter plots depict correlations between Δ (T2–T1) changes in selected immune parameters and changes in PANSS scores. Solid lines represent linear regression fits.

Figure 4

Table 3. ROC analysis for immunological parameters and chosen thresholds at T1

Figure 5

Table 4. The logistic regression model applied according to chosen threshold values to predict FEP at T1

Figure 6

Figure 3. System-level model of immune dysregulation across illness phases in first-episode psychosis. The schematic summarises the proposed interaction between innate immune activation during the acute phase and adaptive immune involvement during remission, based on longitudinal findings of the present study.Source: Image(s) adopted by Servier Medical Art (https://smart.servier.com), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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