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Results from the Ice-Sheet Model Intercomparison Project–Heinrich Event Intercomparison (ISMIP HEINO)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 September 2017

Reinhard Calov
Affiliation:
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 601203, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany E-mail: calov@pik-potsdam.de
Ralf Greve
Affiliation:
Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Kita-19, Nishi-8, Kita-ku, Sapporo 060-0819, Japan
Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Affiliation:
Centre for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa, Chiba 277-8568, Japan
Ed Bueler
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, Alaska 99775-6660, USA
Philippe Huybrechts
Affiliation:
Earth System Sciences & Departement Geografie, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium
Jesse V. Johnson
Affiliation:
Department of Computer Science, Room 417, Social Science Building, University of Montana, Missoula, Montana 59812-5256, USA
Frank Pattyn
Affiliation:
Laboratory of Glaciology, CP 160/03, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Avenue F.D. Roosevelt 50, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium
David Pollard
Affiliation:
EMS Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802-2711, USA
Catherine Ritz
Affiliation:
Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de l’Environnement, CNRS/Université Joseph Fourier – Grenoble 1, 54 Rue Molière, BP 96, 38402 Saint-Martin-d’Hères Cedex, France
Fuyuki Saito
Affiliation:
Japan Agency for Marine–Earth Science and Technology, 3173-25 Showamachi, Kanazawa-ku, Yokohama, Kanagawa 236-0001, Japan
Lev Tarasov
Affiliation:
Department of Physics and Physical Oceanography, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St Johns, Newfoundland A1 B 3X7, Canada
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Abstract

Results from the Heinrich Event Intercomparison (HEINO) topic of the Ice-Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP) are presented. ISMIP HEINO was designed to explore internal large-scale ice-sheet instabilities in different contemporary ice-sheet models. These instabilities are of interest because they are a possible cause of Heinrich events. A simplified geometry experiment reproduces the main characteristics of the Laurentide ice sheet, including the sedimented region over Hudson Bay and Hudson Strait. The model experiments include a standard run plus seven variations. Nine dynamic/thermodynamic ice-sheet models were investigated; one of these models contains a combination of the shallow-shelf (SSA) and shallow-ice approximation (SIA), while the remaining eight models are of SIA type only. Seven models, including the SIA–SSA model, exhibit oscillatory surges with a period of ∼1000 years for a broad range of parameters, while two models remain in a permanent state of streaming for most parameter settings. In a number of models, the oscillations disappear for high surface temperatures, strong snowfall and small sediment sliding parameters. In turn, low surface temperatures and low snowfall are favourable for the ice-surge cycles. We conclude that further improvement of ice-sheet models is crucial for adequate, robust simulations of cyclic large-scale instabilities.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © International Glaciological Society 2010
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Model domain of ISMIP HEINO (Calov and Greve, http://www.pik-potsdam.de/∼calov/heino/he_setup_2006_11_02.pdf).The land area is shown in white, the ocean is shaded grey. The areas inside the square ABCD (‘Hudson Bay’) and the rectangle EFGH (‘Hudson Strait’) correspond to soft sediment. The remaining land area is hard rock.

Figure 1

Table 1. Physical parameters of the standard ISMIP HEINO set-up ‘ST’ (Calov and Greve, http://www.pik-potsdam.de/∼calov/heino/he_setup_2006_11_02.pdf)

Figure 2

Table 2. Participating models

Figure 3

Table 3. Main features of the participating models (made anonymous). SIA: shallow ice approximation; SSA: shallow shelf approximation with basal drag; H eq.: ice thickness equation; T eq.: temperature equation; FD: finite-difference method; FV: finite-volume method; AA: Arakawa A grid in 3-D (Arakawa and Lamb, 1977); ABH: Arakawa B grid in the horizontal plane; AC: Arakawa C in 3-D grid; ACH: Arakawa C grid in the horizontal plane; ACH1/2/3: Arakawa C grid in the horizontal plane with method 1/2/3 (Hindmarsh and Payne, 1996, only applicable to the SIA); σ: sigma transformation in the vertical

Figure 4

Fig. 2. Average ice thickness over the sediment area, H, as a function of time in run ST for each model in the intercomparison. Only the last 50 ka are shown.

Figure 5

Fig. 3. Power spectrum of the average ice thickness over the sediment area in run ST (see Fig. 2) for each model in the intercomparison. The maximum power has been normalized to unity for each model separately.

Figure 6

Fig. 4. Fraction of warm-based ice over the sediment area, A/Ased, as a function of time in run ST for each model in the intercomparison. Only the last 50 ka are shown.

Figure 7

Fig. 5. Ice thickness at time t1 (maximum average ice thickness over the sediment area during the last 50 ka) in run ST for each model in the intercomparison.

Figure 8

Fig. 6. Ice thickness at time t2 (minimum average ice thickness over the sediment area during the last 50 ka) in run ST for each model in the intercomparison.

Figure 9

Fig. 7. Basal temperature (relative to pressure melting) at time t3 (minimum average basal temperature over the sediment area during the last 50 ka) in run ST for each model in the intercomparison.

Figure 10

Fig. 8. Basal temperature (relative to pressure melting) at time t4 (maximum extent of warm-based ice over the sediment area during the last 50 ka) in run ST for each model in the intercomparison.

Figure 11

Fig. 9. Basal sliding velocity at time t3 (minimum average basal temperature over the sediment area during the last 50 ka) in run ST for each model in the intercomparison.

Figure 12

Fig. 10. Basal sliding velocity at time t4 (maximum extent of warm-based ice over the sediment area during the last 50 ka) in run ST for each model in the intercomparison.

Figure 13

Fig. 11. Average ice thickness over the sediment area, H, as a function of time in runs ST (solid), T1 (dashed) and T2 (dotted) for each model in the intercomparison. Only the last 50 ka are shown.

Figure 14

Fig. 12. Average ice thickness over the sediment area, H, as a function of time in runs ST (solid), B1 (dashed) and B2 (dotted) for each model in the intercomparison. Only the last 50 ka are shown. The straight line in (e) belongs to run B2; it should be dotted but appears solid due to the used plot utility. There are no results from (f) for B1 or B2.

Figure 15

Fig. 13. Average ice thickness over the sediment area, H, as a function of time in runs ST (solid), S1 (dashed), S2 (dotted) and S3 (dash–dotted) for each model in the intercomparison. Only the last 50 ka are shown. There are no results from (f) for S1, S2 or S3.

Figure 16

Fig. 14. Illustration of the parameter space for each model in the intercomparison. Upper panel: variation of the surface temperature; middle panel: variation of the surface mass balance; lower panel: variation of the sliding parameter. Black boxes indicate that oscillations occur (criterion: period 5–20 ka, power >107 km2 a2, distinct peak visible in the power spectrum); white boxes show that there are no oscillations; grey boxes denote no data.