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DIFFERENT WAYS TO CUT A CAKE: COMPARING EXPERT-BASED AND STATISTICAL TYPOLOGIES TO TARGET SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION TECHNOLOGIES, A CASE-STUDY IN SOUTHERN ETHIOPIA

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 November 2016

DAVID BERRE*
Affiliation:
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), c/o World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), ICRAF House, United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, Kenya CIRAD, UPR AÏDA, Avenue Agropolis, 34 398 Montpellier cedex 5, France
FRÉDÉRIC BAUDRON
Affiliation:
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), Shola Campus, ILRI, 5689 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
MENALE KASSIE
Affiliation:
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), c/o World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), ICRAF House, United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, Kenya
PETER CRAUFURD
Affiliation:
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), c/o World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), ICRAF House, United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, Kenya
SANTIAGO LOPEZ-RIDAURA
Affiliation:
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), Km. 45, Carretera Mexico-Veracruz, El Batan, Texcoco, Edo. de México, CP 56130, México
*
††Corresponding author. Email: david.berre@cirad.fr
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Summary

Understanding farm diversity is essential to delineate recommendation domains for new technologies, but diversity is a subjective concept, and can be described differently depending on the way it is perceived. Historically, new technologies have been targeted primarily based on agro-ecological conditions, largely ignoring socioeconomic conditions. Based on 273 farm households' surveys in Ethiopia, we compare two approaches for the delineation of farm type recommendation domains for crop and livestock technologies: one based on expert knowledge and one based on statistical methods. The expert-based typology used a simple discriminant key for stakeholders in the field to define four farm types based on Tropical Livestock Unit, total cultivated surface and the ratio of these two indicators. This simple key took only a few minutes to make inferences about the potential of adoption of crop and livestock technologies. The PCA-HC analysis included a greater number of variables describing the farm (land use, household size, cattle, fertilizer, off-farm work, hiring labour, production). This analysis emphasized the multi-dimensional potential of such a statistical approach and, in principle, its usefulness to grasp the full complexity of farming systems to identify their needs in crop and livestock technologies. A sub-sampling approach was used to test the impact of data selection on the diversity represented in the statistical approach. Our results show that diversity structure is significantly impacted according to the choice of a sub-sample of 15 of the 20 variables available. This paper shows the complementarity of the two approaches and demonstrates the influence of data selection within large baseline data sets on the total diversity represented in the clusters identified.

Information

Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - SA
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2016
Figure 0

Table 1. Descriptive statistics of the variables used to build typologies and their role in the analysis.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Graphic illustration of expert-based typology of 273 farm household in Southern Ethiopia (each line represent the threshold defined on expert-based typology).

Figure 2

Figure 2. Average value of selected variables to describe expert-based typology of 273 farm household in Southern Ethiopia (differences between types was assessed through ANOVA tests and were significant (P < 0.001) for all variables).

Figure 3

Figure 3. Graphical exploration of Principal component analysis (PCA) and hierarchical clustering (HC) for 273 farm household in Southern Ethiopia: (a) Projection of variables on the PC1–PC2 plan; (b) Projection of farmers according to their types on the plan PC1–PC2.

Figure 4

Table 2. Main characteristics of farming systems types according to statistical typology.

Figure 5

Figure 4. Distribution of global inertia in two first principal components (PCs) for 1000 PCA runs of 15 variables out of the 20 available. Red bar and green bar represent respectively the sample with the minimum (29.6%) and maximum (44.2%) global inertia in two first PCs. The dotted line represents the average value of 37.4 %.

Figure 6

Table 3. Two samples amongst the 1000 draws of 15 variables out of 20 which represent the minimum and the maximum global inertia in the two first PCs (ticks means that the variable is considered in this typology, and crosses that this variable is not considered in this typology).

Figure 7

Figure 5. Comparison of results of expert-based typology and statistical typology. Figures in each cell represent the number of farmers belonging to the statistical type (read horizontally) and expert-type (read vertically).