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Incidence and predictors of Escherichia coli producing extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL-Ec) in Queensland, Australia from 2010 to 2019: a population-based spatial analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 October 2022

Weiping Ling*
Affiliation:
Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, UQ Centre for Clinical Research, Herston, Brisbane, Australia
Angela Cadavid-Restrepo
Affiliation:
Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, School of Public Health, Herston, Brisbane, Australia
Luis Furuya-Kanamori
Affiliation:
Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, UQ Centre for Clinical Research, Herston, Brisbane, Australia
Patrick N. A. Harris
Affiliation:
Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, UQ Centre for Clinical Research, Herston, Brisbane, Australia Central Microbiology, Pathology Queensland, Royal Brisbane & Women's Hospital, Herston, Brisbane, Australia
David L. Paterson
Affiliation:
Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, UQ Centre for Clinical Research, Herston, Brisbane, Australia ADVANCE-ID, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore
*
Author for correspondence: Weiping Ling, E-mail: w.ling@uq.net.au
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Abstract

The dissemination of Escherichia coli producing extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL-Ec) is evident in the community. A population-based spatial analysis is necessary to investigate community risk factors for ESBL-Ec occurrence. The study population was defined as individuals with ESBL-Ec isolated in Queensland, Australia, from 2010 to 2019. Choropleth maps, global Moran's index and Getis-Ord Gi* were used to describe ESBL-Ec distribution and identify hot spots. Multivariable Poisson regression models with or without spatially structured random effects were performed. A total of 12 786 individuals with ESBL-Ec isolate were identified. The crude incidence rate increased annually from 9.1 per 100 000 residents in 2010 to 49.8 per 100 000 residents in 2019. The geographical distribution of ESBL-Ec changed from random to clustered after 2014, suggesting presence of community-specific factors that can enhance occurrence. Hot spots were more frequently identified in Outback and Far North Queensland, future public health measures to reduce transmission should prioritise these communities. Communities with higher socioeconomic status (RR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.55–0.79, per 100 units increase) and higher proportion of residents employed in the agricultural industry (RR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.67–0.95, per 10% increase) had lower ESBL-Ec incidence. Risk factors for occurrence appear differential between remote and city settings and this should be further investigated.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Annual incidence rate of ESBL-Ec per 100 000 residents in Queensland from 2010 to 2019.

Figure 1

Fig. 2. Annual SMR of ESBL-Ec incidence per postal area and overall geographical distribution across Queensland.

Figure 2

Fig. 3. Annual ESBL-Ec hot spots identified in Queensland.

Figure 3

Table 1. Summary of community demographic factors in 439 Queensland postal areas with residents in 2016

Figure 4

Table 2. Multivariable spatial analysis of demographic predictors and ESBL-Ec incidence in 2016, with comparison of results across 3 different models

Figure 5

Fig. 4. Posterior mean variance of structured random effects per postal area across Queensland.

Supplementary material: File

Ling et al. supplementary material

Tables S1-S3 and Figures S1-S3

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