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A problem‐based approach to understanding public support for referendums

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2026

Hannah Werner
Affiliation:
Centre for Political Research, KU Leuven, Belgium
Sofie Marien
Affiliation:
Centre for Political Research, KU Leuven, Belgium
Andrea Felicetti*
Affiliation:
Centre for Political Research, KU Leuven, Belgium
*
Address for correspondence: Andrea Felicetti, Centre for Political Research, Faculty of Social Sciences, KU Leuven, Parkstraat 45, 3000 Leuven, Belgium. Email: andrea.felicetti@kuleuven.be
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Abstract

A prominent explanation of widespread popular support for referendums is dissatisfaction with the functioning of representative democracy. In this article, the aim is to gain a better understanding of how dissatisfaction affects support for referendums. Drawing on previous research, it is argued here that citizens follow a problem‐based approach in their support for referendums, in that referendums are considered a suitable solution to address some specific problems in a political system but not all. Survey data from the 2012 European Social Survey (29 countries; N = 37,070) is used to show that citizens’ expectations towards and evaluations of representatives relate to support for referendums. In particular, dissatisfaction with the ability of governments to listen to their citizens is associated with higher support for referendums. In contrast, citizens dissatisfied with the government's ability to lead are less supportive of referendums. Furthermore, the relationship between dissatisfaction with governments’ ability to listen varies across countries depending on the level of experience with decision making via referendum. In countries where referendums are used more often, the expectation of referendums being able to solve the problem of unresponsive government is weaker. This study offers important insights into the different ways in which preferences and evaluations of representative practices relate to popular support for referendums.

Information

Type
Original Articles
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
Copyright © 2019 The Authors. European Journal of Political Research published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of European Consortium for Political Research
Figure 0

Figure 1. Support for referendums across representative ideals.Notes: N = 54,515.Source: ESS (2012).

Figure 1

Table 1 Multilevel regression explaining support for referendums

Figure 2

Figure 2. The effects of different types of dissatisfaction on support for referendums.Notes: Estimates are the result of a multilevel regression (see Table 1, model III). N = 37,235.Source: ESS (2012).

Figure 3

Table 2 Random slopes models explaining cross‐country variation

Figure 4

Figure 3. Slope coefficients for the effect of dissatisfaction with listening on support for referendums across countries.Notes: Estimates are the results of a multilevel regression with random slopes (Table 2, model I). N = 28,849. Weights could not be applied for this visualisation.Source: ESS (2012).

Figure 5

Figure 4. The marginal effect of dissatisfaction with listening function on support for referendums across experience with referendums.Notes: Estimates are the result of a multilevel regression (see Table 2, model III). Experience with referendums presents that amount of referendums that have been held on the national level since 1970. Switzerland is excluded from analysis.

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